Category: Windy

Mar 11

Potential Damaging Wind Event On The Table Thursday…

After a cold open to March, a taste of spring will develop this week as temperatures go into the 50s Tuesday, 60s Wednesday, and 70s (not a typo) for the first time this year on Thursday. Unfortunately, this spring preview will be joined by a strong and potentially damaging wind event Thursday.

A combination of ingredients has us particularly concerned in advance of this event:

  • A well mixed airmass
  • Lapse rates exceeding 8 deg or higher C/Km- enabling easier access to the high winds aloft (you can read more about this here if curious)
  • Dry slot after Wednesday showers and Thursday evening rain

Accordingly, the potential of 60 MPH + gusts are possible Thursday and we’d expect the National Weather Service to eventually have to issue high wind products as we get closer. These are the type gusts that will lead to downed trees and scattered power outages.

Already, modeling is producing ominous signals for very high and potentially damaging gusts out of the southwest Thursday. Stay tuned, friends.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/03/11/potential-damaging-wind-event-on-the-table-thursday/

Mar 10

VIDEO: Weekly Outlook; More Around The Late March Pattern…

Looking at the week ahead and the pattern as we move through the latter portion of March…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/03/10/video-weekly-outlook-more-around-the-late-march-pattern/

Mar 09

Rain And Embedded Thunder Increases This Afternoon; Strong Wind Event Tonight…

Our quiet Saturday will transition to a rather “bumpy” time of things by the afternoon into tonight as a storm system moves through. Showers and embedded thunder off to our southwest this morning will rumble across central Indiana this afternoon and evening.

Radar update at 11:15a

Forecast radar products show widespread showers and embedded thunder through the afternoon hours into the evening. Coverage of rain will be greatest between 2p and 6p. Some locally heavy downpours are possible. While severe weather isn’t expected across central Indiana, a few strong to severe storms, capable of damaging straight line winds, will be possible across southern parts of the state. Storm total rainfall amounts of 0.75″ to 1.25″ will be common across the region.

Attention will then shift to strong and gusty winds this evening into tonight. Gusts of 50-55 MPH will be common across central Indiana during this timeframe. Unfortunately, downed trees and potential for power outages will be on the increase tonight.

Winds will remain gusty into Sunday morning, but begin to diminish through the day.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/03/09/rain-and-embedded-thunder-increases-this-afternoon-strong-wind-event-tonight/

Mar 09

VIDEO: Storms Rumble In This Afternoon; Looking Ahead To The Remainder Of March…

A wet and stormy time of things will develop this afternoon, followed by increasingly gusty winds tonight and early Sunday. Winds will gust in excess of 50 MPH at times…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/03/09/video-storms-rumble-in-this-afternoon-looking-ahead-to-the-remainder-of-march/

Mar 08

Friday Morning Video Update: Unsettled And Windy Weekend On Deck…

The weekend will feature showers and thunderstorms along with strong and gusty winds (in excess of 50 MPH at times Saturday evening-night)…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/03/08/friday-morning-video-update-unsettled-and-windy-weekend-on-deck/

Feb 25

All-Access Video: Does Another High Wind Event Loom This Weekend?

The potential of another high wind event this weekend is on the table and we look ahead to a much colder than average open to March…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/02/25/all-access-video-does-another-high-wind-event-loom-this-weekend/

Feb 24

Potential Wintry Mischief Through Early March? Late Month Changes…

Top wind gusts today have reached 66 MPH at IND with numerous reports of downed trees and power lines throughout the northern half of Indiana.

As we look ahead through the upcoming week, a couple of rather minor systems may deal light precipitation to the area, but it’s what lies ahead next weekend that’s already drawing interest. Unfortunately, modeling is trying it’s best for a “repeat” high wind event next Saturday.

The overall setup is eerily similar as a rapidly strengthening surface low tracks northeast into the Great Lakes region. This setup would once again support 50+ MPH gusts.

With the pattern change underway at this point, colder air will be more readily available and backside snow may be more “meaningful” next weekend. That’s something we’ll be keeping a close eye on.

Winter weather enthusiasts will have a couple of weeks of at least being on the playing field for the possibility of late season accumulating snow, but it continues to look like that window closes quickly by mid-March as a true spring pattern takes hold.

A much colder than average pattern can be expected through the first half of March, including the potential of a couple opportunities for late season accumulating snow.
Once to mid-March, eastern ridging is expected to take hold of the pattern and result in a much warmer 2nd half of the month.

For those who watch the operational data with each and every update (sometimes as much as 4 times per day)- tread with caution. While significant late season winter storms can result from such a pattern change that’s underway, it’s impossible to worry about specifics in this type of regime until within 4-6 days.

It would appear the pattern would support potential “fun and games” next Saturday, the 2nd, and possibly again in the March 5th-6th time frame.

Enjoy it while you have it, lovers of winter… Signals continue to point towards a significant shift to warmer times for the 2nd half of March.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/02/24/potential-wintry-mischief-through-early-march-late-month-changes/

Feb 24

Sunday Morning Video: Repeat Next Weekend?

Is another damaging wind event on the horizon next weekend?

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/02/24/sunday-morning-video-repeat-next-weekend/

Feb 23

Saturday Afternoon Video Update: Damaging Winds Develop Late Tonight; More Conversation Around The March Pattern…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/02/23/saturday-afternoon-video-update-damaging-winds-develop-late-tonight-more-conversation-around-the-march-pattern/

Feb 23

Batten Down The Hatches…

A rapidly strengthening surface low will track out of the Plains today into the Great Lakes by Sunday.

On the warm side of the storm, a severe weather outbreak will develop across the MS River Valley and western TN Valley today. A few strong, long-track, tornadoes are likely, unfortunately. To the northwest of the low’s track, an out and out blizzard will develop across the upper Midwest.

Here on the home front, an unsettled Saturday awaits. While late morning and afternoon showers are possible, better chances of more organized and heavier downpours and embedded thunder will arrive this evening into tonight.

In general, we anticipate between 0.25″ to 0.50″ of rain with this storm system. A few gusty storms are possible across southern Indiana, but widespread severe weather isn’t expected.

The cold front will pass Sunday morning and you’ll know it. Winds will increase overnight, but turn particularly gusty Sunday.

Sustained 25-30 MPH winds can be expected Sunday with gusts of 50 to 60 MPH. These kind of speeds will be plenty capable of downing trees and power lines and we’d recommend having your storm-ready kit handy in the event you lose power Sunday.

Light snow will be blown about by the strong winds Sunday morning into the afternoon, but we’re not expecting much in the way of accumulating (trace to a dusting in some areas).

We’ll have an updated video posted a bit later this afternoon! Make it a great Saturday!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/02/23/batten-down-the-hatches/

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