Category: Windy
Highlights:
- Prolonged unseasonably chilly pattern
- Mid week thunderstorms
- Snow flurries and another hard freeze late week
Have The Jackets And Sweaters Handy…A cold front slipped through central IN this morning and a NW wind shift is already doing the “dirty work” in delivering a much colder air mass to greet us out the door this morning. Get used to it, as a very chilly week is on tap!
A hard freeze will occur tonight as skies turn mostly clear and winds diminish. Tuesday will dawn sunny, but clouds will increase late and a light shower is possibly by the evening hours.
Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will push into the region Wednesday morning. While it’ll be briefly warmer (still slightly below average though), don’t get used to it. Much colder air will be with us to wrap up the work week.
A secondary push of late season arctic air will blow into town Thursday with showers before transitioning to snow flurries/ scattered snow showers Friday morning. The coldest morning in this late season chilly pattern looks to arrive Saturday morning, including widespread lower 20s.
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Highlights:
- Busy, active pattern
- Unseasonably cool
- Multiple hard freezes ahead
Fast-Moving Weather Pattern…The upcoming forecast period will feature multiple fast-moving weather systems in an almost every other day format. It’s an unseasonably chilly pattern, as whole, as well.
Saturday has opened with plentiful sunshine, but clouds will quickly increase and winds will turn strong (50+ MPH gusts) as we progress into the afternoon. Batten down the hatches. A few showers will accompany those clouds and some small hail is also possible with a few “stronger” showers. As colder air pours in this evening, widely scattered snow showers will impact north-central IN.
A hard freeze will take place tonight into Sunday morning. High pressure will briefly supply a mostly sunny day Sunday, but our next system will approach late Sunday night. Consequently, SW winds will turn strong and gusty late Sunday and a broken band of showers will be associated with reinforcing chilly air late Sunday night into the pre dawn hours Monday.
A more significant storm system will arrive on the scenes mid week and feature more widespread rains Wednesday (perhaps an embedded thunderstorm, as well). As a cold front slides through here Thursday, MUCH colder air will push into central IN and transition lingering left over moisture into scattered snow showers/ flurries late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Friday certainly won’t feel much like April around these parts…
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The SPC has shifted the slight risk area NW with their latest outlook. Before we talk storms, today is actually the pick of the week as we’re dry during…
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We have scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms to deal with today and Monday (along with plenty of dry time, too), but our attention is beginning to shift to the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday- particularly Tuesday night.
The SPC has outlined most of the state for a *Slight Risk* of severe thunderstorms Tuesday.
We note surface dew points surge into the upper 50s and lower 60s Tuesday.
This should be sufficient enough to help fuel a developing thunderstorm cluster in IL Tuesday afternoon/ evening that will likely race eastward with time Tuesday night. We note a strong area of low pressure over the upper Mid West that will “bull-whip” a cold front through the region Tuesday night. This will tap into the available moisture and relative warmth (lower to middle 70s a good bet for highs Tuesday) to continue the storm threat through IN and into western OH during the late evening/ overnight.
All modes of severe weather appear to be in play right now, but we’re particularly concerned about the potential of damaging straight line winds within any thunderstorm complex that develops Tuesday afternoon/ evening. We’ll also have to monitor the potential of discrete cells that develop away from the primary storm complex.
We turn cooler and windy Wednesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/monitoring-severe-potential-tuesday-night/
Highlights:
- Turning stormy this weekend
- Warm open to the week
- Active times give way to a colder finish to the week
Thunderstorms Develop Tonight…A warm front is lifting through the state this morning and this could spark a few showers as it passes through central IN through the late morning hours. Most of today will be dry before heavier rains and embedded thunderstorms push into the region tonight into Sunday morning. By the way, don’t forget to set those clocks ahead an hour tonight ;-).
Rather unsettled weather will continue through the early and middle portions of the work week, but we caution timing is still up in the air. It’s an active regime that will require fine tuning. As things stand now, we forecast scattered showers and storms Monday and a mostly dry Tuesday. Gusty SW winds will pull anomalous warmth into the region Tuesday before storms blow into the state late Tuesday night/ Wednesday. This is in association with a cold front that will have things feeling much cooler around these parts to close the work week.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.25″ – 1.75″ (locally heavier totals)
Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.
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