Bumpy Ride Possible This Afternoon And Evening…

While the weather is currently quiet across central Indiana, that will likely change in a significant way as we progress into the afternoon and evening hours.

As we look at the current radar, note the widespread showers and thunderstorms off to our southwest. More importantly, the latest couple of frames indicate a strengthening line of storms beginning to “bow” out along the eastern flank (along the MO/ IL state line).

The environment in place upstream into southern and central Indiana remains one that would tend to favor these storms strengthening further in the coming hours.

We note the Storm Prediction Center has nudge the Slight Risk further north to encompass more of southern and central Indiana with their latest update and we would agree with this.

We think storm coverage (and intensity) will really begin to ramp up after 3p and the latest HRRR shows this nicely:

Greatest concern with any severe storms that develop has to do with strong and potentially damaging straight line winds. It’ll be important to remain weather-aware this afternoon into the evening hours.

*More later this evening, including our finalized July Outlook.

Stormy Evening Is Replaced With Cooler And Drier Air; Looking Ahead To The Busy Weekend On Deck…

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to march east across the state this evening. As has already been the case, the primary concern with this line of storms will be damaging straight line winds and the NWS has been busy issuing warnings this evening.

The line will pass into eastern Indiana over the next hour, or so, before weakening as it rumbles into Ohio.

Much cooler and drier air will work in overnight and you’ll certainly notice the difference out the door in the morning. Lows will fall into the lower 50s by morning. We’ll go even lower than that Tuesday morning with widespread middle 40s expected.

Resurgent warmth and humidity will make a return for the 2nd half of the week and with it will come that sultry feel. As a new heat ridge takes up residence across the region, storm systems will “flirt” with the area from time to time. Accordingly, we expect unsettled conditions not only for the 2nd half of the work week, but continuing into the Indy 500/ Memorial Day weekend. It certainly won’t rain and storm the entire time, but the threat for a passing storm at any time will be high.

More in the morning around the pattern evolution into early-June, but we continue to believe the MJO will have it’s say and that things will transition towards an eastern trough as we put a wrap on May and open June.

VIDEO: Hot Saturday Gives Way To Sunday Storms; Pattern Changes Ahead For Early-June…

A sunny, but hot Saturday is on deck before we introduce strong thunderstorms into the picture for the second half of the weekend. We also look ahead to the pattern…

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