Category: Unseasonably Warm

Feb 14

Messy Monday Morning Commute; Watching Tuesday…

Screen Shot 2016-02-14 at 9.45.26 PMHighlights:

  • Freezing drizzle to start the day
  • Watching another storm system Tuesday
  • Mild and windy close to the week

Messy Monday Morning Commute; Watching Tuesday…After the snowy Valentine’s Day across the region, we’re concerned freezing drizzle will develop and add to what already will be a slick commute in spots overnight and Monday morning. Allow extra drive time and take it slow.

Attention will quickly shift to Tuesday as a vigorous piece of upper level energy dives southeast. We have to fine tune the track later Monday, but this has the potential to spread a swath of accumulating snow over portions of the state Tuesday afternoon and evening.  Stay tuned.

We turn windy, but much milder to wrap up the work week. Friday and most of the weekend will feature a taste of spring as a strong SW flow takes hold and helps pump well above normal temperatures into the area.  Don’t get used to the mild air, as cold will return to wrap up Feb and head into March.

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Feb 12

Bitterly Cold; Accumulating Sunday Snow…

Screen Shot 2016-02-12 at 9.23.20 PMHighlights:

  • Bitterly cold
  • Light accumulating snow Sunday
  • Active pattern continues, but with questions

Bitterly Cold; Accumulating Sunday Snow…We label the cold that we’ll deal with Saturday “hurt your face” cold.  It’ll be a bitter day with lows in the lower-mid single digits (even some areas below zero), a biting NW wind, and AM lake-generated snow streamers across eastern portions of the state.  Bundle up, friends!

We still track accumulating snow for Valentine’s Day.  Clouds will lower and thicken Sunday morning and snow should overspread the area as we progress into the late morning hours.  The potential of a plowable snow still looks good from this distance, and we’ll have our initial snowfall map out later Saturday (want to get a look at the full 00z suite before issuing).

Right on the heels of Sunday’s snow maker will be another disturbance Tuesday. Modeling differs on the track (surprise, surprise ;-)), but the potential is there for additional accumulating snows Tuesday into Wednesday.  Stay tuned.

After a final disturbance Wednesday (with light snow potential), we’ll see a marked wind shift to the south to close the week, followed by a brief, but impressive, surge of milder air.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/bitterly-cold-accumulating-sunday-snow/

Feb 04

Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…

Screen Shot 2016-02-04 at 9.31.11 PMHighlights:

  • Nice close to the work week
  • Enjoy a mild weekend
  • Much colder next week with snow

Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…Weak ridging will be with us as we close out the work week.  This will supply a very nice Friday, after some freezing fog concerns in spots early.

The upcoming weekend will feature a weak weather maker scooting through here Saturday and that could have just enough “umph” to produce a flurry or sprinkle. Otherwise, look for mild weather for Super Bowl weekend. Enjoy it!

A cold front will push through the region late Sunday. A band of moisture will likely accompany this front- rain to snow type deal.  As we move into early and mid next week, the weather pattern will be dominated by strong western ridging and a significant eastern trough.  Models will likely continue to struggle handling the specifics concerning timing and strength with the individual disturbances and we’ll have to keep a close eye on early to mid next week moving forward.  As it stands now, we think most widespread snow showers/ squalls come Monday into Tuesday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/not-a-bad-weekend-winter-returns-next-week/

Feb 03

Northern Branch To Be Dealt With; Complicated Wintry Pattern Next Week…

A very busy, and WINTRY, pattern awaits next week. There are more questions than answers right now concerning the all-important specifics, but modeling is leaning more towards the northern stream dominating the pattern.  While this takes the chances of one big, phased storm out of the equation, challenges abound, and ultimately the sensible weather may be very similar once everything is said and done, locally.

The upcoming weekend will be tranquil and mild.  Continue Super Bowl prep and enjoy it.

Heading into Monday, an arctic cold front will move through the Ohio Valley and may be accompanied by a band of precipitation- likely rain to snow.

As we move into Monday night and Tuesday, forecast models are liking the idea of low pressure developing over the Great Lakes region and suggest this low slowly moves south into the Ohio Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday.  At the same time, individual “spokes” of energy, or upper air disturbances, will move through the area in the fast, cold northwest flow.

Nstream

500mb pattern Monday night. Source: Tropicaltidbits.com

GFS ensembles. Source: Weatherbell.com

GFS ensembles. Source: Weatherbell.com

From a temperature perspective, what at one time (now) was a warm pattern, suddenly turns much colder than normal (early next week).

2

3Stay tuned as we move forward and continue to fine tune the details.  As of now, we’re confident on an accumulating snow event early-mid next week, but have a long way to go concerning details on timing, duration, etc.

Video update later this evening.  Make it a great Wednesday!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/northern-branch-to-be-dealt-with-complicated-wintry-pattern-next-week/

Feb 02

Tuesday Evening: Stormy For Some Tonight; Wintry Next Week…

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