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Category: Unseasonably Warm
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-hot-and-humid-splash-and-dash-storms/
Jun 30
Serious Heat & Humidity Continues In The Week Ahead…
An expansive upper level ridge will keep many across the eastern half of the country very hot and humid over the upcoming week. The worst of this particular heat wave, relative to average, will center itself over the Great Lakes and Northeast.

More specific to central Indiana, daily highs in the lower to middle 90s and overnight lows in the lower to middle 70s will continue into late next week. For the most part, this is a dry pattern, as well, BUT there will be a few exceptions.
The first of such arrives Sunday evening into Sunday night with the potential of a line of showers and thunderstorms rumbling into the state. We note high resolution models weaken this line of storms as it arrives into central Indiana (likely after dark Sunday), but we’ll keep an eye on things. As things stand now, the western half of the state stands the greatest risk of getting meaningful rain Sunday evening.


Thereafter, additional isolated to widely scattered storm coverage is possible- primarily during the afternoon and evening hours, but more than not will remain rain-free. 7-day precipitation totals check in this morning in the 0.25″ to 0.75″ range.
In the longer range, we should begin to see a transition to “less hot” 🙂 conditions next weekend followed by a more significant pattern change for the second half of July as the upper level ridge retrogrades west, centering itself over the Rocky Mountain region.


Not only will this likely lead to a cooler second half of July, but should also offer up an increasingly active and wetter northwesterly flow for our immediate region.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/serious-heat-humidity-continues-in-the-week-ahead/
Jun 28
VIDEO: Looking At The Longer Range…
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Jun 28
NEW JMA Weeklies Shed Light On The Long Range…
Changes are brewing in the longer range and the latest JMA Weeklies illustrate this nicely.
Week 1
No changes are needed to the expected significant heat wave to open the month of July. Heat and humidity will reach excessive levels at times- heat indices of 100° to 110° at times. While isolated coverage of storms are possible a few of the days (primarily afternoon and evening variety), it’s a dry pattern, overall.
Week 2
The pattern is in a transitional period during this time frame as the upper ridge retrogrades west. While still warm, the hottest conditions will shift west under the upper ridge. The other take-away? An active northwest flow returns with an emerging “ring of fire” pattern.
Weeks 3-4
While perhaps a bit quick, the model reverses things entirely by the Weeks 3-4 time frame. There’s no denying we think the hottest period of the summer will be behind us by mid-July, and while this type pattern shown below is where we think the dominant overall pattern is heading for the second half of summer, the model may be a bit aggressive here. Regardless, the Weeks 3-4 time frame are expected to not only reverse, but turn cooler than average over the Great Lakes region.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/new-jma-weeklies-shed-light-on-the-long-range/
Jun 26
VIDEO: Heat And Humidity Build This Weekend, Can’t Rule Out Storms Either…
This evening’s video update discusses the building heat and humidity into the holiday week, but also hits on the need to include daily storm chances in our extended forecast, as…
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