Category: Unseasonably Warm

Averages for May are as follows:

*High: 72.8

*Low: 52.6

*Rainfall: 5.05″

*Snowfall: Trace

When all is said and done, this is how we see the last month of meteorological spring shaping up:

Medium and longer range guidance has been anything but consistent over the past few weeks for May, which doesn’t help in producing a monthly outlook. A large part of this may have to do with the renewed hyperactive MJO.

This can lead to volatile swings in the overall pattern as we get into the mid to late part of the month. Early on, confidence is higher in a “battle” setting up between late season anomalous cold across the north and budding summer-like warmth across the south.

This will help add fuel to the fire in what should be an overall wet month across a large portion of the country.

With that said, we think ridging is likely to keep the extreme southeastern region drier than normal for the bulk of the month.

As we look towards mid-May, that battle between southeastern ridging and troughiness across the northern region continues to argue for active times remaining.

Speaking more specific to central IN and the greater OHV region overall, we think a cooler and wetter than normal month awaits. Unfortunately, delays are likely to continue from an agriculture/ Plant ’19 perspective…