Category: Unseasonably Warm

Mid Week Snow Storm For Parts Of The Area…

Screen Shot 2016-02-22 at 7.32.33 AMHighlights:

  • Nice open to the week
  • Mid week winter storm for parts of the area
  • Wind and heavy, wet snow

Mid Week Snow Storm For Parts Of The Area…Today is easy!  Weak high pressure will supply dry skies and a quiet time of things, but trouble’s lurking for mid week.

Clouds will increase Tuesday and rain will move in Tuesday evening as a developing storm system lifts northeast out of Texas, into the TN Valley, and into the eastern Ohio Valley.  Long term Hoosiers know that’s a classic track for a snow hit here across central IN and that will likely ring true for portions of the area Wednesday evening into Thursday.  We forecast rain to transition to a heavy, wet snow from northeast to southwest Wednesday afternoon into the evening.  There’s still fine tuning ahead, but as things stand now, this could be a significant event (6″+) for some central and northern IN neighborhoods.  Stay tuned.

The other component of this storm will be a strong and gusty northeast wind that eventually shifts to the north and northwest Wednesday into Thursday.  Cold conditions will be with us to wrap up the work week as the big dig begins for some.

2:23:16-2:25:16Initial

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/22/mid-week-snow-storm-for-parts-of-the-area/

Nice Finish To The Weekend; Mid Week Storm Brewing…

Screen Shot 2016-02-21 at 10.39.59 AMHighlights:

  • Beautiful finish to the weekend
  • Mid week storm brewing with many questions
  • Snow potential for some
  • Colder pattern developing

Nice Finish To The Weekend; Mid Week Storm Brewing…A disturbance responsible for overnight/ early morning thunderstorms and heavy rain across southern IN is tracking east.  Drier air is working in now and we’ve dialed up a beauty of a close to the weekend across central IN.

The work week will get started on a quiet note, but trouble is brewing for mid week as a big storm system lifts out of the southern Plains and into the lower Ohio Valley.  We forecast a lowering and thickening cloud deck Tuesday followed by rain developing.  As colder air gets pulled into the system, rain will begin to transition to a heavy, wet snow across portions of the area.  Exactly who sees the transition and when remain in question and will have to be fine tuned as time goes along.  That said, the potential is there for a heavy, wet snow “thump” across a portion of our area.  Stay tuned.

This storm will set things into a much colder and rather active time to close the work week and head into next weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/21/nice-finish-to-the-weekend-mid-week-storm-brewing/

Saturday Morning: Spring Today, But Winter Returns…

To date, February is running slightly cooler and drier than average, locally.       Expect a beautiful Saturday and we officially have issued a white leg warning. 🙂 With highs…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/20/saturday-morning-spring-today-but-winter-returns/

Thursday Evening Rambles…

1.) 10-day Client discussions (Pro and Premium) and our March Outlook (Premium) has been sent to your inbox. 2.)  A windy warm-up is still on track as we wrap up…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/18/thursday-evening-rambles/

Wednesday Evening Video Update…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/17/wednesday-evening-video-update-4/

Tuesday Evening Video Discussion…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/16/tuesday-evening-video-discussion/

Monday Evening Rambles…

1.)  Tuesday’s upper air disturbance looks to track further and further SW with each and every passing model run.  While we’ll keep an eye on things, it’s apparent that best snow chances will be across far SW counties, and even that may be generous (this thing is tracking much further west than what appeared a couple days ago), courtesy of NCEP.

42.)  A significant warm-up is still on schedule for late week, centered on Friday, where temperatures will likely push to, or exceed, 60 degrees as ridging builds in.  Image courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com.

13.)  The warmth will be brief, however, as a colder pattern returns (thank you positive PNA), including an interesting look for winter storm potential across the east days 8-10.  (No need to get fancy with specifics at this juncture).

2

PositivePNA4.) The significant cold over the past 7 days has really eaten away at the warm start to the month, courtesy of Weatherbell.com.

ncep_cfsr_noram_t2m_week_anom

ncep_cfsr_noram_t2m_2weeks_anom5.) Nearly 44% of the Lower 48 is snow covered at present. That compares to 25.6% of the Nation covered in snow for the same time last year.

nsm_depth_2016021505_National

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/15/monday-evening-rambles-2/

Messy Monday Morning Commute; Watching Tuesday…

Screen Shot 2016-02-14 at 9.45.26 PMHighlights:

  • Freezing drizzle to start the day
  • Watching another storm system Tuesday
  • Mild and windy close to the week

Messy Monday Morning Commute; Watching Tuesday…After the snowy Valentine’s Day across the region, we’re concerned freezing drizzle will develop and add to what already will be a slick commute in spots overnight and Monday morning. Allow extra drive time and take it slow.

Attention will quickly shift to Tuesday as a vigorous piece of upper level energy dives southeast. We have to fine tune the track later Monday, but this has the potential to spread a swath of accumulating snow over portions of the state Tuesday afternoon and evening.  Stay tuned.

We turn windy, but much milder to wrap up the work week. Friday and most of the weekend will feature a taste of spring as a strong SW flow takes hold and helps pump well above normal temperatures into the area.  Don’t get used to the mild air, as cold will return to wrap up Feb and head into March.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/14/messy-monday-morning-commute-watching-tuesday/

Bitterly Cold; Accumulating Sunday Snow…

Screen Shot 2016-02-12 at 9.23.20 PMHighlights:

  • Bitterly cold
  • Light accumulating snow Sunday
  • Active pattern continues, but with questions

Bitterly Cold; Accumulating Sunday Snow…We label the cold that we’ll deal with Saturday “hurt your face” cold.  It’ll be a bitter day with lows in the lower-mid single digits (even some areas below zero), a biting NW wind, and AM lake-generated snow streamers across eastern portions of the state.  Bundle up, friends!

We still track accumulating snow for Valentine’s Day.  Clouds will lower and thicken Sunday morning and snow should overspread the area as we progress into the late morning hours.  The potential of a plowable snow still looks good from this distance, and we’ll have our initial snowfall map out later Saturday (want to get a look at the full 00z suite before issuing).

Right on the heels of Sunday’s snow maker will be another disturbance Tuesday. Modeling differs on the track (surprise, surprise ;-)), but the potential is there for additional accumulating snows Tuesday into Wednesday.  Stay tuned.

After a final disturbance Wednesday (with light snow potential), we’ll see a marked wind shift to the south to close the week, followed by a brief, but impressive, surge of milder air.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/12/bitterly-cold-accumulating-sunday-snow/

Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…

Screen Shot 2016-02-04 at 9.31.11 PMHighlights:

  • Nice close to the work week
  • Enjoy a mild weekend
  • Much colder next week with snow

Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…Weak ridging will be with us as we close out the work week.  This will supply a very nice Friday, after some freezing fog concerns in spots early.

The upcoming weekend will feature a weak weather maker scooting through here Saturday and that could have just enough “umph” to produce a flurry or sprinkle. Otherwise, look for mild weather for Super Bowl weekend. Enjoy it!

A cold front will push through the region late Sunday. A band of moisture will likely accompany this front- rain to snow type deal.  As we move into early and mid next week, the weather pattern will be dominated by strong western ridging and a significant eastern trough.  Models will likely continue to struggle handling the specifics concerning timing and strength with the individual disturbances and we’ll have to keep a close eye on early to mid next week moving forward.  As it stands now, we think most widespread snow showers/ squalls come Monday into Tuesday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/04/not-a-bad-weekend-winter-returns-next-week/

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