Catching Up On Tuesday Night…

June to date is running warmer (+3.6°) and wetter (+0.71″) than normal in Indianapolis.

That said, drastic changes have taken place over the past 24 hours for the cooler and drier. In fact, as we write this, many central IN neighborhoods are enjoying temperatures in the lower 60s already at the 10 o’clock hour. An unseasonably cool night is in store with widespread low-mid 50s come Wednesday morning. (Anyone else craving fall)?!🍂

Highs Wednesday afternoon will only reach the upper 70s for most.

Our next chance of rain will arrive on scene to close the work week, however, moisture return still doesn’t look terribly impressive. We’ll continue advertising widely scattered coverage Friday.

The plot thickens as we roll into the crucial Independence Day weekend. Latest data suggests a hefty rain storm will be in our general vicinity, but we caution many details have to be ironed out. Our forecast, locally, Sunday-Monday may differ drastically over a relatively short piece. Fine tuning on track, timing, and amounts will have to be adjusted.

GFS ensemble members also show the challenging times ahead.

Stay tuned! In the meantime, get those window opens and enjoy the weather!

Bill McMillan June 28, 2016 No Comments Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Monday Evening Video Update…

Cooler, more refreshing times are building in. Temperatures come mid week will have you asking “Is this late June?!”

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Bill McMillan June 27, 2016 No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Dew points, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Independence Day, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Refreshing Feel On The Way…

Screen Shot 2016-06-27 at 8.35.11 AM

Highlights:

Isolated PM storm
Drier and much cooler air coming
Late week storm chance

Much Cooler Weather On Deck…A secondary cold front will slip through central IN this evening. While most of today will be rain-free, an isolated to widely scattered shower or storm can’t be ruled out as the front moves through later this evening. Following the frontal passage, an unseasonably cool air mass will pour into the area and set up a very pleasant mid week stretch. Hard to beat lower-middle 50s at night and 70s during the day in late June.

Our next chance of rain and storms will arrive Friday. Early indications as of now suggest dry conditions and pleasant temperatures going into the long Independence Day weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

Snowfall: 0.00″
Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″

Bill McMillan June 27, 2016 No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Independence Day, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather

PM Strong Storms…

The morning is off to a sunny, muggy, and warm start. Temperatures will rise into the lower 90s this afternoon, but when we look at heat indices, it’ll feel like around 100 degrees across many central IN neighborhoods.

The visible satellite shows the sunny skies in place right now, but we note the cloud deck off to the northwest. That’s in association with a frontal boundary that will press through our region tonight.

Vis A line of thunderstorms will develop later this afternoon and a few of these could be strong to severe as they push to the south. Large hail and damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern. We think best chances of thunderstorms across central IN will come during the mid to late afternoon hours into the early evening.

11p The air mass is loaded with moisture today. In fact, precipitable water values will zoom to 2″+ this afternoon and suggest the threat of torrential rainfall with any storm that develops.

Once to Tuesday, a MUCH cooler, drier air mass will arrive on the scene and help set up an unseasonably cool close to the month.

Bill McMillan June 26, 2016 No Comments Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Fantastic Saturday!

Screen Shot 2016-06-25 at 8.58.02 AM Highlights:

Beautiful Saturday
Storms return Sunday
Much cooler next week

Couldn’t Ask For Better Weather…After a week filled with multiple days of rain and storms, we’re rewarded with simply phenomenal weather today! Dry conditions and mostly sunny skies will combine with lower humidity and highs in the mid/ upper 80s to create a great day to be outdoors.

Humidity will return Sunday and a frontal boundary will press in during the afternoon. Storm chances will be on the rise and a strong to severe storm can’t be ruled out. While storm coverage won’t be as widespread as this past week, we’ll keep an eye on the radar tomorrow evening.

The big story next week is the MUCH cooler air mass that will blow into town. A shower will accompany the unseasonably cool air Tuesday before we return to mostly dry conditions for the middle of the week.