Category Archives: Unseasonably Cool Weather

Agri-Worries: Reason To Be Concerned…

February-to-date is running significantly above average (a whopping 9°+ above average at IND).

The anomalous warmth is impressive enough, but perhaps the most impressive is the duration of the unseasonably warm, April-like, warmth.  By the time all is said and done (Friday night), many communities will set multiple new records for so many consecutive days of 60°+ level warmth in the month of February.  That doesn’t set well for spring vegetation.  Given the look to the overall pattern in the weeks ahead, it’s hard to deny the glaring signs for additional well above normal warmth (speaking in “overall” terms).  Accordingly, vegetation will likely continue to sprout and bloom early with such a pattern- even as far north as here in central IN.

That said, even in the warmest of patterns, “jabs” of late-season arctic air can make it’s presence felt.  Despite our thoughts on being finished with sustained wintry conditions, we’re far from finished with cold “jabs.”  With spring vegetation likely to be well ahead of schedule, concerns are valid for potential damage to early season growth as we move forward over the coming weeks.

Let’s remember, on average, it’s not until we get to mid and late April before we can signal the “all clear” on the last 32° freeze.  Still have a long way to go, friends…

No Comments Arctic Cold, Spring, Spring Tease, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Spring-Like Now, But Winter Returns This Weekend…

Highlights:

  • Dense morning fog
  • Tuesday showers
  • Severe potential Friday
  • Much colder this weekend

Two Seasons This Week…We’re starting the work week with dense fog across central Indiana.  This will eventually burn off to a variably cloudy sky by afternoon, along with continued unseasonably warm temperatures.

A weak weather system will press through the state Tuesday and this will help lead to a period of showers Tuesday morning into the early afternoon hours.  This won’t be a big event (most neighborhoods should accumulate between 0.10″-0.25″ of rain), but plan to pack the rain gear as you leave the house Tuesday morning.

A much stronger storm system will impact the region Thursday into Friday.  As strong low pressure passes by to our northwest it’ll help pull anomalously warm, moist air northward Friday.  Strong to severe thunderstorms may occur along the strong cold front that will pass late Friday.  While we still have time to “fine tune” details on timing, early thinking would place greatest emphasis on large hail and damaging wind potential.  Stay tuned.

Much colder air will hit with authority Friday night and set-up a wintry weekend.  The spring-like feel of this past weekend will be all but a distant memory and flurries may fly Saturday morning in the colder, blustery air.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall:  Trace
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Fog, Forecast, Hail, Rain, Severe Weather, Spring Tease, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy

Extended Dry Period; Spring-Like Weekend Ahead…

Highlights:

  • Chilly today
  • Spring-like weekend
  • Extended dry period

Beautiful Weather…There’s no reason to waste many pixels on this forecast.  Despite a slight “speed bump” today (temperatures will top out a few degrees below normal), the balance of this 7-day forecast period is one that will feature unseasonably pleasant (and quiet) weather.  We’ll note periods of clouds today as weak cold air advection kicks in, along with a gusty northerly breeze this afternoon.

After Thursday morning, it’s off to the races as an extended period of sunshine will be with us as we wrap up the work week and head into the weekend.  Temperatures will reach 60 Friday, mid/ upper 60s this weekend, and near 70 Monday.

The next weather item of note will be increasing clouds late Tuesday, followed by showers Wednesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Spring Tease, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Pleasant Start; Nighttime Showers…

Highlights:

  • Sunshine gives way to showers
  • Colder mid-week
  • Warmth returns

Showers Arrive Tonight…The weekend is off to a pleasant start, but clouds will increase this afternoon and light showers will follow by evening, continuing into early Sunday morning.  Rainfall amounts won’t be impressive, with most around one-quarter inch.  It’ll be an unseasonably mild weekend, with highs today pushing close to 60° and early highs Sunday around 50° before cooler air spills in for the second half of the weekend.

The majority of the upcoming work week will be precipitation-free.  A dry cold front will pass Tuesday evening and this could result in a couple of snow flurries or light snow showers.  As of now, the better coverage of snow showers appears to be to our east for our friends in Ohio.  We’ll turn colder Wednesday and Thursday, but have no fear as moderating temperatures will quickly return as we roll into next weekend.  In fact, the period just beyond the current 7-day looks downright spring-like, including highs that may push close to 70° early in Week 2.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Friday Morning Notebook: Warmer Times This Weekend…

Happy Friday, friends.  We’re still cold this morning, but a look at the change in temperatures compared to 24 hours ago shows the milder trend that will be with us through the upcoming weekend.  Highs today will reach the upper 40s and 55-60 Saturday.

Winds will turn strong and gusty out of the southwest this afternoon, noted by the tightly packed isobars (lines of equal pressure) along with considerable mid and high level clouds.

Clouds will lower and thicken Saturday and we may also have to deal with periods of fog, as well.  Showers and drizzle will lift into town as the day progresses, especially by afternoon and evening.

We don’t expect heavy rain this weekend.  In fact, model data continues to really back off on expected totals.  The general consensus is between 0.15″ and 0.25″ across central Indiana.

After a mild Saturday, cooler (but not cold) air will ooze into the Ohio Valley Sunday.

Resurgent cold air will blow into town during the middle and latter portions of the upcoming work week.  Highs will return to the 30s with overnight lows in the lower 20s.  We’ll likely add scattered snow showers into the mix as well.

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Drizzle, Fog, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy