Category: Unseasonably Cool Weather
Spring Fever This Weekend…Lots of sunshine and enough of a southwesterly air flow will help boost temperatures to around the 50 degree mark this afternoon from IND and points south (even some mid to upper 50s possible far down state). Farther north, the deeper snowpack will limit warming and instead keep highs in the upper 30s to near 40 across the northern third of the state.
A cold front will blow through the region Sunday evening with some light shower activity and colder air moving in Sunday night that may lead to a few flurries/ light snow showers Monday morning. Another fast-moving weather disturbance will blow through Wednesday with a light shower and then we’ll welcome winter back into the region with authority. Much colder air and snow showers return for the end of the week.
Looking ahead, mid and late February appears to have plenty of wintry “fun and games” in store for the region. Winter’s far from finished….
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.20″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Dusting – 1″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/nice-saturday-but-winters-far-from-finished/
Spring Fever Anyone?! Hearing lots of rumbles of folks craving spring, as is usually the case around these parts come early February. We still have more winter to go, but this weekend may lead to a surge in spring fever as temperatures moderate. We may have to deal with more clouds than we’d like, but temperatures will warm to well above normal levels- especially Sunday. We’ll introduce a couple of showers into the mix for the second half of the weekend, but these won’t be a big deal.
Slightly colder air moves in early next week, but it’s really not until after a weak disturbance passes Wednesday that the true arctic plunge will take place.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.20″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Trace
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/moderating-weekend-temperatures/
Not A Bad Day Today; Snow Event Wednesday…After a cold start today, temperatures will moderate into the lower to middle 30s this afternoon. We’ll be in a weak southerly air flow this afternoon as a disturbance tracks to our north.
The big focus of this forecast package has to do with Wednesday. We forecast a quiet start to the day, but clouds will quickly lower and thicken and widespread snow, briefly heavy, will overspread all of the region tomorrow afternoon. This will be a dry, powdery snow as all of the snow will fall behind an arctic boundary that will slip through the region. As of now we forecast 2″-3″ of snow tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow evening. Strong and gusty north winds will lead to blowing and drifting issues Wednesday evening. All in all, expect the Wednesday evening rush to be impacted. Frigid air will settle over the region by Thursday morning with dry conditions returning.
Temperatures will slowly moderate briefly out ahead of our next weekend weather maker. Keep an eye on Sunday-Monday as that will be our next opportunity for accumulating wintry precipitation.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 2″ – 4″
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/decent-day-today-snowy-wednesday-afternoon-ahead/
Models are handling the arctic front and associated wave differently from one another, but we tend to favor more of a GEM/ European blend. As it is, even the GFS is beginning to see the snow threat. The NAM (below) sees snow overspreading the region Wednesday afternoon and evening.
This is a different set-up than anything we’ve seen this winter as the majority of precipitation develops on the backside of the frontal boundary. An “ana front” is one that features clouds and precipitation developing behind the frontal system. The air behind this boundary will be of arctic origin and lead to very high snow ratios- meaning it won’t take much moisture to “fluff” up a few inches of snow across the region. Strong and gusty winds will also develop Wednesday night and temperatures will plummet (single digits or below zero Thursday morning). Blowing and drifting will be a concern. Stay tuned as we continue to look over the data.
The other item on the agenda has to do with Sunday. Once again we’ve got another major model battle on our hands. Taken verbatim, the GFS would imply a relatively boring weather weekend with some clouds and light rain (possibly ending as light snow Saturday night into Sunday). On the other hand, the European model implies a winter storm threat for the Ohio Valley Sunday….
Needless to say, there’s a lot going on and despite the headaches of last weekend, we may be back in a similar position for the upcoming weekend. And you thought you wanted this job?! 🙂
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/accumulating-snow-potential-wednesday-evening-model-madness-this-weekend/
Bundle Up…Snow showers and gusty winds are combining with refreezing of snow and moisture on roadways to create slick travel this Monday morning. Leave extra time on your way to work and school this morning and travel safely. Additionally, gusty northwest winds are pushing wind chill values into the subzero ranks. As we progress through the day we should see increasing sunshine, but it’ll remain frigid.
Our next storm system of interest arrives by the middle of the week. Forecast models differ on the timing and amount of moisture with this next storm, but there’s the chance of accumulating snow arriving Wednesday. This would be in advance of a quick-hitting pop of arctic air. We’ll keep a close eye on things.
The active pattern remains into the upcoming weekend as increasing clouds give way to showers Saturday and a transition to more a of wintry mix Sunday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″ – 2″
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.20″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/cold-start-to-the-work-week-watching-wednesday/
