Category: Unseasonably Cool Weather

Thursday Weather Notebook…

Good morning and happy Thursday! Your updated 7-day will arrive on-site this evening. Major hurricane Joaquin remains the big focal item across the weather community this morning, but there’ve been…

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Times, They Are A Changing…

Screen Shot 2015-09-30 at 7.14.53 AMHighlights:

  • Much cooler and breezy for mid week
  • Windy, chilly, and wet end to the week
  • Drier early next week

A complicated series of events will lead to a memorable week/ weekend of weather along the eastern seaboard.  Between the cold front that moved through here last night, Joaquin (well on it’s way to becoming a hurricane this morning), and energy that moved out of the Gulf of Mexico, the eastern seaboard is in for a major flood event, and long duration wind/ beach erosion event.

Before we discuss potential impacts closer to home, let’s talk the short term.  Showers will continue to push south this morning and a dry, breezy, and cooler day is coming.  Thursday will be breezy and cool, but dry also.

It’s when we get to the weekend that things begin to shift.  We know windy and chilly conditions are a given this weekend (you can take that to the bank).  We caution that much fine tuning will be required as we progress through the next couple days in regards to rainfall.  Here’s our best stab as of this morning.

1.) Showers pinwheel west Friday afternoon and evening as east winds strengthen- gusts 25-30 MPH.

2.) Steadier rains fall Saturday and Sunday with east and northeast winds gusting to 30-40 MPH.

3.) Steady rains diminish and give way to scattered showers Monday before we’re back to dry weather Tuesday.  Winds also begin to diminish during this period, but gusts to 20-30 MPH are still possible Monday out of the north.

Stay tuned, as the rainfall forecast is still up for much debate and will have to be fine tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.75″

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Windy And MUCH Cooler; What About Rain Chances?

All eyes remain focused on Joaquin this evening and the eventual impacts dealt to the eastern seaboard, and, at least indirectly, back into the Ohio Valley.  Latest satellite imagery this…

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Rain Today; Windy And Much Cooler Times Ahead…

Screen Shot 2015-09-29 at 7.04.40 AMHighlights:

  • Rainy weather today
  • Much cooler conditions coming
  • Prolonged stretch of strong winds

The region will be under a squeeze play of sorts today as tropical moisture continues to lift north from the Gulf Coast and a cold front approaches from the northwest.  The end result will be for an expanding shield of rain to encompass a large portion of central IN as the day progresses.  Heaviest rainfall is still expected downstate, but there will also be some localized heavier totals across central IN, as well.  This, of course, is much needed.

The cold front will pass tonight and shut off any threat of rain.  The big story will become the much cooler air mass settling into the region for the foreseeable future.  Additionally, factor in the goings on along the eastern seaboard with an area of high pressure building in from the north and very windy conditions can be expected as we move through late week into the weekend.  Strong and gusty northeast winds will be very persistent, with gusts up to 30 MPH at times.

We’ll continue to keep close tabs along the happenings along the eastern seaboard late in the period.  As of now we think high pressure should keep us dry and cool, but stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1″

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CFSv2 Catching On?

Just a quick post to highlight the recent trend from the CFSv2. Note as we’ve progressed through the past couple weeks the model has been shifting the mean ridge position…

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