Category: Unseasonably Cool Weather

Tuesday Morning Rambles…

 5-10 day temperature anomalies. SOURCE: Tropicaltidbits.com   Week 2 Accumulated Precipitation Anomalies. SOURCE: Tropicaltidbits.com  Interested in our personalized consulting services? Email bill@indywx.com for more details.  We’re just beginning a very wintry…

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Busy, Cold Winter Pattern…

Screen Shot 2016-02-08 at 6.45.51 PMHighlights:

  • Embedded Tuesday squalls!
  • Fast moving NW flow!
  • Bigger winter threat to close the week and again late weekend?

Busy, Cold Winter Pattern…The short term will continue to be dominated by a slow moving upper low over the region. Individual “spokes” (disturbances) of energy will rotate around the upper low and provide enhanced snow showers and embedded heavier squalls through Tuesday night.  As promised, there will be “haves” and “have nots” with this system and, in general, we still like the idea of most folks in the 1″-3″ range with a few isolated heavier totals.

This is a challenging northwest flow and can wreck havoc on the timing front.  Our best idea right now takes a disturbance southeast Wednesday, but this should remain a touch too far west to prevent much more than our southwest tier counties from seeing much, if any, snow.

A stronger clipper may deliver accumulating snow to wrap up the work week and then we also have our late weekend winter event to fine tune.  Get the idea we’re locked into a busy time of things? 🙂

Interested in our detailed consulting services? E-mail bill@indywx.com for further details.

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Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…

Screen Shot 2016-02-04 at 9.31.11 PMHighlights:

  • Nice close to the work week
  • Enjoy a mild weekend
  • Much colder next week with snow

Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…Weak ridging will be with us as we close out the work week.  This will supply a very nice Friday, after some freezing fog concerns in spots early.

The upcoming weekend will feature a weak weather maker scooting through here Saturday and that could have just enough “umph” to produce a flurry or sprinkle. Otherwise, look for mild weather for Super Bowl weekend. Enjoy it!

A cold front will push through the region late Sunday. A band of moisture will likely accompany this front- rain to snow type deal.  As we move into early and mid next week, the weather pattern will be dominated by strong western ridging and a significant eastern trough.  Models will likely continue to struggle handling the specifics concerning timing and strength with the individual disturbances and we’ll have to keep a close eye on early to mid next week moving forward.  As it stands now, we think most widespread snow showers/ squalls come Monday into Tuesday.

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Northern Branch To Be Dealt With; Complicated Wintry Pattern Next Week…

A very busy, and WINTRY, pattern awaits next week. There are more questions than answers right now concerning the all-important specifics, but modeling is leaning more towards the northern stream dominating the pattern.  While this takes the chances of one big, phased storm out of the equation, challenges abound, and ultimately the sensible weather may be very similar once everything is said and done, locally.

The upcoming weekend will be tranquil and mild.  Continue Super Bowl prep and enjoy it.

Heading into Monday, an arctic cold front will move through the Ohio Valley and may be accompanied by a band of precipitation- likely rain to snow.

As we move into Monday night and Tuesday, forecast models are liking the idea of low pressure developing over the Great Lakes region and suggest this low slowly moves south into the Ohio Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday.  At the same time, individual “spokes” of energy, or upper air disturbances, will move through the area in the fast, cold northwest flow.

Nstream

500mb pattern Monday night. Source: Tropicaltidbits.com

GFS ensembles. Source: Weatherbell.com

GFS ensembles. Source: Weatherbell.com

From a temperature perspective, what at one time (now) was a warm pattern, suddenly turns much colder than normal (early next week).

2

3Stay tuned as we move forward and continue to fine tune the details.  As of now, we’re confident on an accumulating snow event early-mid next week, but have a long way to go concerning details on timing, duration, etc.

Video update later this evening.  Make it a great Wednesday!

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Tuesday Evening: Stormy For Some Tonight; Wintry Next Week…

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