Category: Unseasonably Cool Weather

Damp Open To The Weekend; Improvements On The Way…

Highlights:

  • Damp at times through Saturday
  • Sunshine returns
  • Looking ahead to Christmas

Rain Gear Needed…A storm system will lift north along the Ohio River between now and Saturday night before crossing the Appalachians and “jumping” to the mid Atlantic coast Sunday into Monday.  This will result in periods of rain today and Saturday.  Heaviest and most concentrated rainfall will remain along and south of the I-70 corridor- especially across southwest IN.  For the majority of us, this won’t be a major rain event.

Improving weather will develop for the 2nd half of the weekend as we introduce at least a little sunshine into the forecast.  That sunshine will set the tone for the new work week, including a nice stretch of weather (by late-December standards) Monday through Wednesday.

A cold front will blow through the state Thursday with a shower possible, followed by colder air to close the work week.

Looking ahead towards Christmas, we still anticipate this to be around the timeframe that we’re transitioning back to colder air.  It’s far too early to get specific around rain or snow, but the transitional pattern does support the idea of more active times.  Stay tuned…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/damp-open-to-the-weekend-improvements-on-the-way/

Damp At Times Into The Weekend; Christmas Pattern Change?

 

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/damp-at-times-into-the-weekend-christmas-pattern-change/

Stormy Pattern Ahead For The Heart Of The Holiday Season?

A “relaxation” of the well below normal cold is on the way.

While this will support a 5-10 day period of temperatures of 5° to 10° above average (milder overnight lows, and a few days with highs at or above 50° are a good bet during the period, as well), the stage is already being set in motion for a return of colder conditions around the Christmas holiday.  While admittedly, transitional periods can be “finicky,” there’s support from other pattern drivers behind a wintry return between the 12.22 and 12.24 time period.  Furthermore, data suggests that there will be plenty of storminess to boot.

For those that love to review the operational model data as it rolls in (in some cases, up to 4 times per day), expect wild swings as the data begins to “hone in.”  Despite some of that model fluctuation, we expect the pattern to look something like this around Christmas.

We expect the mean ridge position to set up shop over the Pacific northwest.  This will result in a warmer than average regime across the west.  At the same time, the trough will be pushing back into the east. As the cold air settles back in, we expect a rather active time of things during the period.  This certainly doesn’t mean we’re talking snow storms, but it does appear likely that at least one or two systems of interest loom.  We’ll have to deal with the challenges that will come from one or both as time draws closer.

While a “transitional” pattern appears likely around Christmas, there are growing concerns of a return of sustained cold as we get into the new year.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/stormy-pattern-ahead-for-the-heart-of-the-holiday-season/

Turning More Unsettled; Looking Ahead Towards Christmas…

A couple of storm systems will impact the region between Wednesday and the weekend, but neither look particularly impressive. What does look a little more “interesting” is the pattern evolution as we get closer to Christmas… Video discussion and updated 7-day below!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/turning-more-unsettled-looking-ahead-towards-christmas/

Freezing Fog This Morning; Unsettled Late Week Conditions…

Highlights:

  • Freezing fog this morning
  • Mid and late week rain
  • Briefly milder mid-month

Slow It Down…Freezing fog is creating slick travel in and around the city, itself, and points north.  Please allow extra time to reach your destination this morning and take it slow.  As we move into the afternoon, the low clouds and fog should slowly lift, but it’s likely not until we get to mid to late afternoon. With the longer period of fog and clouds, we’ve dropped forecast highs a few degrees today.

We should still get in on a sunny Tuesday before our first of a series of storm system begin to impact the area Wednesday.  Weak low pressure will result in increasing clouds and a narrow band of showers Wednesday afternoon.  Rain may mix with snow across north-central parts of the state.

As we look ahead, a slow moving (bigger) storm system spells periods of wet weather as we close the week and head into the weekend.  While it won’t rain the entire time, periods of moderate to heavy rain are possible during the period, along with gusty winds, and an overall “raw” feel.  Early thinking here is that we salvage the 2nd half of the weekend with at least a touch of sun.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/freezing-fog-this-morning-unsettled-late-week-conditions/