Thursday Evening Rambles…

1.) Matthew is rumbling towards the east coast of FL this evening and data continues to suggest a landfall near West Palm Beach late tonight or during the predawn hours Friday.  Regardless, an extended period of hurricane conditions, beach erosion, surge, and heavy rain await the FL peninsula.

For the Space Coast region, this very well could be the most significant hurricane the area has seen.  Our thoughts and prayers continue for our family and friends in Matthew’s path.

Radar around 8p Thursday.
Radar around 8p Thursday.
Forecast radar 1a Friday.
Forecast radar 1a Friday.

Most model data likes the “loop de loop” idea and potentially brings Matthew back in for a second FL landfall early next week (in a much weaker state, thankfully, due to upwelling and shear).

al14_current2.) A cold front will pass through our neck of the woods as we put a wrap on the work week.  While moisture is limited with the front, a much cooler air mass will greet us out the door Saturday morning.  A light shower is possible Friday afternoon or evening, but this won’t be a big deal and most high school football games will remain dry.  Temperatures Saturday morning will be in the 40s with lingering low clouds and areas of fog possible.  We should shake the morning low cloudiness and allow for sunshine most of the day.  Temperatures will remain crisp; generally in the lower to middle 60s for highs.

A chilly start is anticipated Saturday morning.
A chilly start is anticipated Saturday morning.

The weekend into early next week will remain pleasant, with chilly, clear nights and lots of sunshine during the day, along with cool afternoon highs.

3.)  The longer term pattern through at least the middle of October is one that features anomalous warmth and dry conditions.  In fact, it’s not entirely out of the realm of possibility for afternoon highs to reach close to 80 once again towards Day 10…. We shall see.

We warm back up above average in the 6-10 Day period
We warm back up above average in the 6-10 Day period
A mainly dry pattern continues
A mainly dry pattern continues

Taste Of Summer Mid Week Gives Way To A Much Cooler Weekend…

screen-shot-2016-10-04-at-7-19-43-amHighlights:

  • Moderating temperatures
  • Not impressed with rain amounts with our front
  • Much cooler weekend

Lots Of Sunshine; Significantly Cooler Weekend…In the short-term, high pressure will supply central IN with a beautiful Tuesday, complete with pleasant conditions and lots of sunshine.

Moisture will begin to return Wednesday with an increasingly moist feel to the air mass as the day progresses.  An isolated shower is possible, especially across western portions of the state, but most of the region should remain rain-free.

Our next opportunity of rain comes Friday as a cold front moves in to close the work week.  As of now, we’re not impressed with rainfall amounts as the front crosses the state.  Our wind will shift to the NW and turn gusty Saturday with much cooler air pouring into the region.  A nice cool, crisp, autumn weekend awaits.  The season’s coolest air thus far will greet us over the weekend.

In the tropics, Hurricane Matthew remains at the forefront.  Those who live along the East Coast (from the FL peninsula all the way up the eastern seaboard) should keep a close eye on forecasts and data over the next few days.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″

Tropical Feel This Weekend…

Screen Shot 2016-08-26 at 6.01.18 AMHighlights:

  • Scattered weekend storms
  • Humid air mass
  • Less storm coverage early next week

Air You Can Wear…A very warm, moist, and unstable air mass will remain in place across the region this weekend.  While storms will be scattered, the moisture-laden air will help promote locally heavy storms at times.  Get used to heat indices in the mid-upper 90s into early next week.  Yuck!

Storm coverage will be on the decrease, overall, as we open the new work week.  That said, we have to maintain isolated coverage.  A weak boundary will slip through central IN the middle of next week and lead to scattered to numerous storms Wednesday.

In the tropics, Invest 99L remains at the forefront.  There are many more questions than answers at this time, but if the disturbance (somehow, someway) can make it into the southeastern GOM early next week, conditions will be much more favorable for development.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.75″-1.25″ (locally heavier amounts)