Category: Tropics

VIDEO: Alberto’s Moisture Arrives Late Tomorrow Night…

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Alberto’s Tropical Moisture Tracks North Later This Week…

Understanding tropical remnants can be a headache to track once inland, here’s our best idea of where we currently think Alberto’s remnant tropical moisture will track this week.  More specific to Indiana, we believe best opportunity for tropical downpours will come late Tuesday night through early Thursday.  Wednesday appears to be the wettest day.

The combination of blocking high pressure off the Florida coast and the lack of forcing to the northwest should allow the remnants of Alberto to track north, northwest into the middle and latter parts of the week before curling northeast into southeast Canada and New England by next weekend.

The European output (shown above) paints a swath of 1″ to 2″ with locally heavier rainfall into parts of IL and IN.  Again, we think the majority of this comes in that Tuesday night through Thursday morning time period.

When we look at forecast precipitable water, values climb above 2″ Wednesday and will help promote locally heavy downpours.

This isn’t expected to be a particularly long lasting event and we should get back to an increasingly dry regime as next weekend approaches.

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VIDEO: Couple Storms Around Today; Watching Alberto’s Remnants Next Week…

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VIDEO: Heat Builds For The Indy 500 & Memorial Day Weekend; What About Rain Chances?

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The Heat (And Humidity) Is On This Indy 500; Memorial Day Weekend…

As we grow closer to the big Indy 500 and Memorial Day weekend, forecast guidance continues to back away from what at one point looked like a rather unsettled weekend.  Instead, it appears as if heat and humidity will grab the headlines.  While we can’t rule out an isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm (best chances of that coming Sunday and Monday), most will remain rain and storm free this weekend.  Even if you’re one of the “lucky ones” to get under a storm, it’ll pass quickly and sunshine will return.

While “tropical mischief” approaches the central Gulf Coast this weekend, an upper level ridge will dominate our weather.  This supports the drier trend the models are now going to and also will help boost temperatures.  We forecast highs at or around the 90° mark Saturday through Memorial Day- well above the average high of 78°.

The other big story, especially for those planning to attend the race, will be increasing humidity over the weekend.  Forecast dew points will approach and exceed the 70° mark Sunday afternoon, providing a very tropical feel to the air.

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