Category: Thanksgiving

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/24/video-colder-air-flows-in-talking-sunday-snow-and-wintry-mix/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/23/giving-thanks-and-talking-a-little-snow/

Nov 22

Models Trend More Organized…

• Filed under Arctic Cold, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, snow, Thanksgiving, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Rambles

• November 22, 2023

Updated 11.22.23 @ 3:03p

We’ve been keying in for several days on the energy that will lead to a Thanksgiving and Black Friday Winter Storm for the Rockies, and eventually a swath of accumulating snow into the Plains over the holiday weekend. To no surprise, modeling continues to trend more organized with this energy as it moves across the Plains and into the Ohio Valley this weekend. The time we’re monitoring for potential wintry impacts across central Indiana come early Sunday morning, continuing into the afternoon.

As bullish as we’ve been on this trending towards a more substantial system, capable of producing snow, locally, we remain confident that this won’t be some sort of significant winter storm. Why? Pattern recognition on both fronts. That said, the potential of a light snow accumulation across central Indiana Sunday is very much alive and kicking as of this evening. Know that we’ll be here right through the holiday and the weekend tracking the latest and will continue to keep you posted moving forward.

Regardless if we receive snow or not, the coldest air so far this season is on deck early next week.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/22/models-trend-more-organized/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/22/video-dry-weather-returns-just-in-time-for-thanksgiving-cold-pattern-settles-in-to-close-november-and-open-december/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/21/video-calming-things-down-just-in-time/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/20/video-timing-out-weather-conditions-for-the-all-important-thanksgiving-week-cold-pattern-evolves/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/19/video-getting-the-yuck-out-of-the-way-ahead-of-thanksgiving-cold-close-to-november-and-open-to-december/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/18/video-pre-thanksgiving-day-storm-and-a-cold-close-to-november/

Nov 17

More On The Cold Close To November…

• Filed under Arctic Cold, Client, Ensemble Discussion, EPO, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, MJO, PNA, snow, Thanksgiving, Unseasonably Cool Weather

• November 17, 2023

Updated 11.17.23 @ 11a

The stars are all aligning to drive a significant shift in the overall regime towards one that should yield cooler (and, at times, colder) than normal temperatures as we navigate the back half of the month.

First, we have the MJO. Note how we’re set to slide into Phases 1 and 2 between now and end of the month.

These are progressively cold phases this time of year. Phase 1 has residual warmth across the Northeast (more seasonable here on the home front) before Phase 2 becomes overwhelmingly cold.

We then have the combo of the negative EPO and positive PNA. Both cold signals for our neck of the woods.

It’s no wonder model guidance is jumping on the persistent eastern trough to close out the month.

At some point in the 8-12 day period, I’d anticipate a true dislodge of true early season arctic air to get involved in the pattern. Think lows into the upper 10s, lower 20s and highs in the 30s. Still far too early to get specific with snow chances, but they will come before month’s end.

Stay tuned…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/17/more-on-the-cold-close-to-november/

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/17/video-much-colder-pattern-develops-to-close-november/