Oct 13
It’s a wet and stormy start for many this morning. Despite some local downpours and embedded thunder, all of this morning’s storms will remain below severe levels. Periods of showers…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/stormy-times-today-severe-weather-tonight/
Oct 11
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– –/ 59 |
42/ 62 |
56/ 73 |
55/ 67 |
52/ 63 |
51/ 60 |
50/ 69 |
Cool Autumn Weekend…The rest of today will feature mid and high level cloudiness, but dry conditions. Cool north to northeast winds will blow and require jackets or sweaters if venturing outside for too long of a time.
Be sure to enjoy the brief dry weather Saturday as shower chances return as early as Sunday, particularly during the afternoon hours and on. Moisture will begin to surge back north in advance of a storm system that will lead to some rough weather around these parts to open the new work week.
Monday Severe Potential…Gusty southwest winds will usher in a warmer and more humid feel of things Monday out ahead of our next strong storm system. We continue to closely monitor the potential of severe weather Monday night into Tuesday morning and want to highlight the threat of damaging straight line wind potential embedded with a possible squall line. Beforehand, showers and embedded thunder will be possible during the daytime Monday.
We note the GFS remains consistent on strong to severe storm potential Monday night into Tuesday morning while the European is more delayed (suggesting more of a threat during the day time Tuesday). For now, we’re leaning more towards the GFS and we’ll have more on the early week severe threat Sunday. Locally heavy rain is also a good bet during this time, including widespread 1″-1.5″, with locally heavier totals.
Taking The More Optimistic Approach…Some forecast data wants to keep considerable cloudiness and pesky light showers around into the mid week period, but for now we’re still going with the more optimistic outlook and including drier weather along with cooler temperatures for the balance of the upcoming work week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
We continue to highlight Monday night/ Tuesday morning for the potential of severe weather, including damaging straight line winds. Here’s what the high resolution NAM simulated radar suggests at 8p Monday local time.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/cool-autumn-weekend-severe-storm-potential-monday-night/
Oct 09
While rain and chilly air are the headlines as we wrap up the work week and open another important college football weekend (my anticipation is building rapidly for my beloved Tigers taking on a dangerous MS. State squad Saturday afternoon- WAR EAGLE, btw), our attention is continuing to focus in on the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms Monday night and Tuesday morning across the region.
Forecast models continue to suggest strengthening low pressure will track northeast from MO into IL and MI Monday night into Tuesday morning.
The region will briefly get into a warm and humid environment Monday and Monday night (plenty capable of fueling strong to severe thunderstorm development). Temperatures in the 70s will combine with dew points in the low to mid 60s.
A ribbon of precipitable water values will approach 2″ across the state Monday night. This supports heavy and locally flash flood producing rainfall. Forecast models continue to key on additional Monday-Tuesday rainfall in the 1-2″+ range.
We’ll continue to closely monitor the data as we move forward, but at this early juncture, make a mental note to be weather-aware Monday night into Tuesday morning as strong to severe thunderstorm potential develops.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/carefully-watching-monday-night-tuesday-for-storm-potential/
Oct 09
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50/ 59 |
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41/ 59 |
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Not “Chamber Of Commerce” Weather…A frontal boundary will slip through the region this evening before stalling just south of Indianapolis. An area of low pressure will move along the front Friday while chilly Canadian high pressure to our north tries to suppress things. The battle ground will lie across central portions of the Ohio Valley. Pack the rain gear and the cool weather attire.
Today, anticipate showers and rather gloomy conditions. We’re not anticipating any sort of heavy rainfall across the region, but instead mostly light rain with embedded pockets of moderate rainfall. Another push of rain will move into town Friday. Heaviest rainfall should primarily fall along the I-70 corridor and points south Friday. Total rainfall from today and Friday should range from 0.25″ to 0.50″ with some heavier totals possible downstate.
Not A Bad Weekend…We’ll likely get some dry time in this weekend as the region remains in between weather systems over the Saturday-Sunday period. After a mainly dry Saturday, rain chances return Sunday.
Bigger Storm Early Next Week…A rather robust storm system will impact the region Monday night into Tuesday with heavy rain potential and the threat of strong to severe thunderstorms. We’ll keep a close eye on things as we move through the weekend and update the forecast accordingly.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
John Salewicz took this stellar photo of the lunar eclipse Wednesday morning. Thanks, John!
Our forecast radar products show another slug of moisture aimed at a Friday AM arrival.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/not-the-best-of-weather-to-close-the-work-week/
Oct 07
1.) We posted our weekly outlook last night and this can be found below. An active weather pattern continues. 2.) A cold front will move through the region later this evening. As a result, showers and embedded thunder will be around into the afternoon hours before drier, cooler air builds in tonight behind the front. Forecast radar shows rain and embedded storm chances continuing into the afternoon:
3.) Wednesday looks like the pick of the week with plentiful sunshine and pleasantly cool temperatures. 4.) Rain and storm chances return as early as Thursday into Friday. 5.) Friday stands to be quite an ugly day with rain chances and a new push of unseasonably chilly air. A big thermal fight will be in place Friday as portions of northern Indiana don’t make it out of the 40s while temperatures across far southern areas of the state go into the 70s. More specific to our region, look for falling daytime temperatures starting in the upper 50s.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/tuesday-morning-rambles/
