Category: T-storms

Sep 06

Tuesday Evening Weather Notebook…

It’s been a cool and dry start to the month of September. Through the first few days, IND is running 0.70° below normal and 0.44″ below average precipitation. 


The upper ridge currently in place will deliver more late summer heat through the end of the work week. It’ll remain mostly dry, as well. 


Much better rain and storm chances will have to be built into our forecast Friday into Saturday, courtesy of a cold front moving into the region. 


A much cooler regime will settle into the region over the weekend. Highs behind the front in the 70s with lows in the 50s will be common- after rain potential of 1″-1.5″ for most. 


A reinforcing shot of cool air will arrive the middle of the following week. Early indications suggest the second shot of fall-like air will be even cooler than this weekends’ and could feature widespread 40s at night. 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/tuesday-evening-weather-notebook/

Sep 03

Warmth Next Week Gives Way To A Cool Mid Month…

The refreshingly cool couple days we’ve recently enjoyed will begin to give way to moderating temperatures today.  Humidity levels will remain pleasant and it’ll be a great Labor Day weekend to spend time outdoors.  Highs will top out around 80 today and into the middle 80s Sunday.  Labor Day will feature the mercury climbing closer to the 90 degree mark.  – Fitting, I suppose, for the unofficial end to summer.

Humidity levels will be on the uptick come Monday evening and Tuesday as Gulf moisture is transported northward.

GulfMoistureIt’ll be a downright hot week, as well.  Temperatures will top out around 90 through the end of the short work week.

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_4As we rumble into next weekend and the following week indications continue to point towards wetter and cooler times.

After a dry week ahead, rain and storms will come with that increased humidity next weekend.

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_7Early numbers off the press suggest 1″-2″ rains possible next weekend.

The increased rain and storm chances signal another shift in the pattern towards a cooler one just beyond the Day 10 period.  From experience, I would look for this trough around mid month to trend deeper (more significant) as time draws closer.

gfs-ens_z500a_us_47It’s possible the first push of widespread 40s loom around the middle of the month.  Time will tell…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/warmth-next-week-gives-way-to-a-cool-mid-month/

Sep 02

Hot Weather Returns…

Screen Shot 2016-09-02 at 7.24.49 AMHighlights:

  • Sun-filled days
  • Turning hot
  • Storm chances return by mid week

Refreshing Temperatures (For Now)…High pressure and a dry northeast flow will continue to support refreshing conditions across the region.  Plentiful sunshine along with low humidity values will create ideal weather to spend time outdoors as we go into the long Labor Day weekend.  Perhaps a bonfire is in order this evening?

Eventually, our air flow will back around to the southwest and this will allow a much warmer and increasingly humid air mass to return.  Sunday will be noticeably hotter, but the true push of humidity will arrive Labor Day into Tuesday.  It’ll, officially, feel “oppressive” by mid week.  That increased moisture will also help ignite scattered storm chances Wednesday into Thursday.

Looking just beyond the (7) day period shows the potential of a cooler period building back in next weekend…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/hot-weather-returns/

Aug 31

Refreshing Times Ahead…

Screen Shot 2016-08-31 at 7.16.54 AMHighlights:

  • Scattered afternoon storms
  • Turning much drier and cooler tonight
  • Refreshing into the weekend

Cold Front Inbound…We’re getting to that time of the year where cold fronts will begin to pack more and more of a punch, offering up increasingly cool to, eventually, cold air…  An early fall-like front will surge south this evening.  Ahead of the boundary, scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into the evening- particularly from central into southern portions of the state.  Storms will be moving relatively quickly this evening so flash flood concerns are limited.

Behind the front, much drier and cooler air will ooze into the region tonight and set us up for an absolutely delightful few days of weather, complete with dry skies and low humidity.  Temperatures into the upper 40s wouldn’t surprise us Saturday morning for outlying communities.

Eventually the heat will return from Labor Day into most of next week.  As moisture surges north, scattered storm chances will also return to our forecast by Tuesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/refreshing-times-ahead/

Aug 30

Changes Ahead…

Today into Wednesday will offer up more of what we’ve grown so accustomed to over the past several days- incredibly humid air, along with scattered heavy thunderstorms.  Similar to days past, the humid, “heavy” nature to our air will help fuel localized torrential downpours.

Thankfully, the hour glass has been “flipped” and time is running out on the humid air mass.  In fact, as early as Thursday morning, we’ll notice a huge change.  A northeast flow will provide a much drier brand of air and temperatures will also cool significantly.  Several mornings (Thursday through Sunday) will feature lows in the 50s with highs in the 70s.  Lows into the upper 30s will drive southeast into the high ground of the beautiful east TN mountains.

NEFlow

1

3Eventually, our air flow will back around to the southwest and help push Labor Day into the “hot” territory.  Highs in the upper 80s to around 90 will be common for Labor Day, itself.

The balance of the first half of September looks warm, but there are indications for changes to begin showing up towards mid to late month that would lead towards more sustained, consistent pushes of cool…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/changes-ahead/