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Category: T-storms
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/cool-and-unsettled-is-the-theme/
Sep 25
Time Is Ticking On Summer-Like Feel…
A cold front has it’s eyes set on Indiana and will pass through the state Monday morning. Ahead of the front, scattered thunderstorms that we’re seeing on radar this evening (around 8p as we type this up) will transition into more widespread showers and embedded thunder during the wee morning hours Monday as the front moves through.
Forecast radar 7a Monday.
In general, rainfall totals should be around one half inch, but we do note some locally heavier totals can be expected where evening thunderstorms track.
Storm total rainfall should be around half an inch for most.
Once the front blows through Monday morning, winds will shift to the northwest and help usher in a much cooler feel of things. In fact, we expect highs tomorrow afternoon only in the upper 60s for most neighborhoods. Temperatures will then fall quickly into the 40s tomorrow night.
It’ll feel like fall tomorrow.
The majority of the upcoming work week will feel much more like fall, including an extended stretch of lows in the 40s to lower 50s and highs in the 60s. We’ll have to keep a close eye on the late week forecast for rain prospects in association with a cut off upper low. More details on that in the AM. Make it a great evening.
An unseasonably cool week is dialed up.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/time-is-ticking-on-summer-like-feel/
Sep 23
Much Cooler Air On Deck…
Highlights:
- Dry, warm close to the work week
- Warm weekend
- Much cooler air awaits
Summer Feel Gives Way To An Autumn Chill…A backdoor cold front will press into central IN over the weekend and will serve as a focal point for increased clouds at times (northern portions of the state today and more of central IN Saturday). While an isolated to widely scattered shower is possible with this front, most will remain rain-free straight through the weekend. Temperatures will remain well above normal across the region.
A stronger cold front will march towards the area to open the work week. Showers and embedded thunder will accompany the frontal boundary as it pushes through the region. We’ll then note a marked NW wind shift by evening and that will help usher in a true push of fall air. A stretch of mornings with lows in the 40s and highs in the 60s during the day will take us through mid week. Those cooler readings will really being to ignite the color change across central IN.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/much-cooler-air-on-deck/
Sep 22
Hot, Dry Pattern Continues For Now; MUCH Cooler Next Week…
The remainder of the work week and this weekend will remain dry and unseasonably warm. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 80s with overnight lows in the lower to middle 60s through the period. Strong ridging will keep us rain-free with plentiful sunshine.
A “backdoor” cold front will approach the region from the northeast late in the weekend, but won’t have enough “umph” to push the drier, cooler air our friends across the northeast and mid Atlantic will enjoy our way.
The evolution of the pattern from an unseasonably warm, dry regime to a much cooler, autumnal feel will, undoubtedly, feature showers and thunderstorms as we transition. Modeling continues to waffle back and forth in regards to rainfall totals. As of now, we’ll highlight Monday-Wednesday with increased rain chances.
Thereafter, we turn MUCH cooler. Data suggests Tuesday-Friday features temperatures much more like we’d expect for late September. Lows in the 45-50 degree range, along with highs between 65-70 can be expected.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/hot-dry-pattern-continues-for-now-much-cooler-next-week/
Sep 21
Hot Now, But Changes Coming…
Highlights:
- Warmth continues
- Dry weather through the weekend
- Timing issues early next week
Sunglasses Required…The first half of the period is as easy as the second half is difficult so we won’t waste any time on it. Look for lots of sunshine, unseasonably warm temperatures, and dry conditions through the weekend. A “backdoor” cold front will be close to the region Sunday, but the impact it has on our immediate region will be minimal. Eastern portions of the state will experience a cooler second half of the weekend with a breezy easterly flow.
The challenging period arrives to open up the work week and the GFS and European couldn’t be further apart. There’s a 48 hour difference between when the GFS slides the strong cold front through (Monday) and European (Wednesday). You can imagine, the sensible weather differs from a continuation of the unseasonably warm and dry conditions until Wednesday (European) or a true blast of fall air arriving Monday (GFS).
For the purpose of this forecast, we’ll lean more towards the GFS. While it hasn’t been perfect, it’s easy to argue it’s been handling things in a much more consistent manner than the European as of late. Furthermore, when the European completely “lost” this front earlier in the week, the GFS at least kept the idea alive and kicking. Now the European model is having to play “catch up.” With all of that said, we expect the cold front to deliver scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday followed by a significant drop in temperatures Monday night. Unsettled weather would continue Tuesday with the much cooler air. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/hot-now-but-changes-coming/