Category: T-storms

Nov 02

One More Warm Day; T-storm Chances Tonight…

screen-shot-2016-11-02-at-7-35-00-amThe 2016-2017 IndyWx.com Winter Outlook is now available.

Highlights:

  • Unseasonably warm Wednesday
  • T-storms tonight
  • Cooler close to the work week

Cold Front Arrives Late Tonight…The majority of today will be dry (and warm), but we do note some of the high resolution model data suggest we deal with an initial round of scattered showers and thunderstorms this evening (in the 4p-7p time frame).  This would be in advance of more widespread showers and thunderstorms tonight into the wee morning hours Thursday.

Cooler air will flow into the region to wrap up the work week and dry conditions will prevail through the upcoming weekend.  We note patchy frost potential Saturday morning away from the city.

Our next storm system will approach early next week.  From this distance, Election Day looks mostly dry through the daytime hours,  but shower chances will begin to increase by evening.

Longer term, model data continues to suggest we’re in line for a mid-month pattern change to cooler conditions.  While this will initially be a “step-down” (back and forth) process, the potential is on the table for a downright wintry pattern to develop by late month.  We note the GEFS (GFS ensembles) keying in on this (images courtesy of weatherbell):

Days 1-5

1

Days 6-10

2

Days 10-15

3

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/one-more-warm-day-t-storm-chances-tonight/

Nov 01

VIDEO: Touching base on Tuesday evening…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-touching-base-on-tuesday-evening/

Oct 19

VIDEO: Quick Wednesday Evening Video Update…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-quick-wednesday-evening-video-update/

Oct 18

VIDEO: Colder Changes To Close The Week; Wet Thursday Ahead…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-colder-changes-to-close-the-week-wet-thursday-ahead/

Oct 16

Remarkable Summer Feel Through Mid Week; Late Week Changes…

Before we talk about the warmth, we have some showers and embedded thunder to deal with across parts of the region today.  Best rain chances today will be along and north of I-70, but a few showers could scoot south later this afternoon.  We note most concentrated rain should fall through the early afternoon hours before moving out to allow for a dry evening.

Forecast radar 1p, courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Forecast radar 12p, courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Forecast radar 2p, courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Forecast radar 2p, courtesy of Weatherbell.com

We get back to a dry pattern Monday and Tuesday.  Along with the dry conditions, unseasonably warm temperatures can be expected.  Along with the summer-like feel, very strong southwest winds will be noted (gusts to 30-40 MPH).

A strong SW flow will promote 30-40 MPH gusts early week. Courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

A strong SW flow will promote 30-40 MPH gusts early week. Courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

The warmest temperature anomalies will be located over the Ohio Valley this week. Courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

The warmest temperature anomalies will be located over the Ohio Valley this week. Courtesy of Tropicaltidbits.com

Highs Monday and Tuesday will top out in the lower to middle 80s and rival records across central IN.  While that’s impressive enough, overnight lows of 65-70 are almost unheard of.

Overnight lows Tuesday morning will be close to 70 degrees. Courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Overnight lows Tuesday morning will be close to 70 degrees. Courtesy of Weatherbell.com

Cooler air will begin to move in by late week as a trough replaces the warm ridge.  While we’re very confident on the much cooler feel, details in regards to the specifics around rain timing and amounts remain “muddy” at best.  We’ll forecast best rain chances to arrive Thursday, but caution this may have to be fine tuned as we move forward.  Highs that were in the 80s for early week will crash late week (upper 50s to lower 60s).

European ensemble shows the cool and unsettled late week pattern. Courtesy of Weatherbell.com

European ensemble shows the cool and unsettled late week pattern. Courtesy of Weatherbell.com

As of now, next weekend looks dry and cool, but it was only yesterday that rain chances looked like they may continue into the early portions of the weekend. Stay tuned.  As previously mentioned, temperatures will be much cooler (upper 30s to lower 40s for lows and lower to middle 60s for highs).

Complete 7-day will be posted later!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/remarkable-summer-feel-through-mid-week-late-week-changes/