Category Archives: T-storms

Bonus Summertime…

Highlights:

  • Scattered shower and t-storm chances return
  • Warm pattern continues
  • Changes loom later next week

Enjoy The Warmth While We Have It…A frontal boundary will “meander” around the Ohio Valley over the next couple of days.  It’ll sink south as we close the work week before lifting back north as a warm front this weekend.  At the same time, surface low pressure will track from the Plains into the Great Lakes this weekend.  The end result will be more unsettled conditions returning to the region after our extended dry spell.  It certainly won’t rain the entire time (in fact, most of the forecast period will be rain-free), but plan for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms at times beginning as early as Wednesday.  Additionally, as the front sags south Friday, slightly cooler air will work into central Indiana before a warmer southerly air flow takes over once again this weekend.

As we flip the page to next week, a couple of frontal boundaries will push southeast.  Additionally, the “wild card” in this forecast is what may eventually become of an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico.  While modeling differs on the evolution of things, a couple of solutions bring this into the north-central Gulf Coast this weekend before moving north and delivering widespread rain inland.  It’s far too early for specifics, but we’ll keep a close eye on things.

Back to the FROPA discussion:  The initial front won’t have much impact on area temperatures (still well above normal), but will be enough to include widely scattered storm chances early next week.  The second frontal passage will lead to a MUCH cooler feel just beyond the current 7-day period.  In fact, the air will grow chilly enough in the 8-10 day timeframe where it’ll actually feel more like November, and the first frost of the season may await for most of central Indiana…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, First frost, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Warm Week With Increasing Rain Chances…

Highlights:

  • Dry open to the work week
  • Warming trend develops
  • Turning more unsettled

Week Opens Dry; Ends Unsettled…High pressure will remain in control of our weather as we open up the new work week.  This will supply continued dry conditions along with a warming trend as our refreshing easterly flow transitions to the south.

This southerly air flow will help transport moisture northward as we progress into midweek and a “sluggish” front will begin to impact the area Wednesday evening into Thursday.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop and as the front meanders around the region, shower and thunderstorm chances will continue into the weekend.  Forecast models differ on the evolution of things over the weekend and result in the sensible weather conditions ranging from more widespread showers and embedded thunder to more of a “splash and dash” variety of rain coverage.  We’ll fine tune things as we progress through the week.

Much cooler air is forecast to return just past the current 7-day forecast period.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.75″- 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm

Summer Continues Into Next Week Before Cool Changes Take Over…

Highlights:

  • Summer-like heat continues
  • Dry times prevail
  • Much cooler air looms

A Little Something For Everyone…If you’re a fan of summer, this forecast has it!  If you’re a fan of fall, this forecast has that, too!  Summer-like heat will dominate through the short-term with only a slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm today.  Most will remain dry and that dry theme will carry us into the new work week ahead.  Unseasonably hot (upper 80s to near 90 is downright hot) conditions will also continue as we open up the new week.

That said, a long advertised cold front will push towards the region by midweek and this will provide enough lift to create widely scattered thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday morning.  Significant and widespread rains aren’t, unfortunately, anticipated.  The bigger deal will be the much cooler air that will spill into the region Thursday and set the stage for an unseasonably cool open to October.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm