Category: T-storms

Jul 08

Wet, Stormy Open To The Weekend Before 2nd Half Improvements…

• Filed under Client, Forecast Discussion, Rain, Short term update, T-storms

• July 8, 2023

Updated 07.08.23 @ 6:28a

There’s no need for an alarm clock this morning, friends. A widespread complex of rain and storms continues to push into central Indiana at 6:30a.

We’ll have to deal with a few hours of rain and thunder before things begin to dry out mid and late morning (west to east). Sunshine should also slowly work back into the picture enough to help destabilize things just enough for a second (less widespread) round of showers and storms by this evening. These will likely initiate around the city with more widespread coverage south.

We’ll then all enjoy a greatly improved weather pattern by tonight continuing into Sunday. Lower humidity and pleasantly warm temperatures will make up a beautiful 2nd half of the weekend.

More on the long range pattern a bit later today in our client video discussion.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/07/07/video-watching-saturday-storm-threat-next-week-opens-nice-before-turning-unsettled-mid-and-late-week/

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Jul 04

Wednesday Evening Rumbles…

• Filed under Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Severe Weather, Short term update, T-storms

• July 4, 2023

Updated 07.04.23 @ 10:53p

Most of our hump day should feature quiet conditions. A couple renegade storms will likely fire up during the mid to late afternoon hours. These will be ahead of a more organized line of storms impacting Illinois. That particular line will rumble east into the state towards 10p to 11p and likely reach the city, itself, around midnight.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) includes central Indiana in a ‘marginal’ risk of severe weather Wednesday. Damaging straight line winds are of biggest concern with this line.

While we’ll need to monitor radar trends and overall timing, as of this evening, it doesn’t appear that this will be a widespread severe weather maker (available energy and a late evening arrival argue against this being a significant event).

On the road early tomorrow morning but will be sure to have a fresh video update posted Wednesday evening with updates on the above and a look ahead to the next couple weeks.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/07/04/wednesday-evening-rumbles/

Jul 03

Timing Certainly Is On Our Side…

• Filed under Client, Dew points, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Independence Day, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Weather Videos

• July 3, 2023

Updated 07.03.23 @ 7:34a

For most, the long holiday weekend continues on for another couple days. Thankfully, after round upon round of rain and storms, a drier trend will develop today and for Independence Day, itself. While we can’t totally rule out a passing shower today (case in point north and northeast of the city this morning), coverage and intensity of precipitation the next 48 hours will be significantly reduced. I think any sort of rain Tuesday will be very hard to come by (“isolated” coverage at best).

A new frontal boundary will push into the state Wednesday and the Storm Prediction Center has already included a Slight Risk of severe weather by Wednesday afternoon into the evening.

In addition to a damaging wind threat, localized flash flooding is possible as the cold front pushes through the region.

Thereafter, yet again, “timing” will be on our side as a much drier airmass filters into the region just in time for the weekend. Both Friday and Saturday appear dry and comfortable with significantly lower humidity.

A renewed wet, stormy pattern kicks off for the 2nd half of the weekend into next week. Buckle up.

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Jun 29

Short-Term Discussion: Afternoon Storm Complex With Heightened Damaging Wind Potential…

• Filed under Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Severe Weather, Short term update, T-storms, Windy

• June 29, 2023

Updated 06.29.23 @ 12p

The storm complex currently entering IL will likely have a downstream impact on Indiana later this afternoon into the early evening hours. Several ingredients are in place that leads to a higher confidence in this storm cluster including a widespread damaging wind threat (55+ MPH gusts).

High resolution data continues to show this complex gaining steam as it rolls across central Indiana between 4p and 6p. We caution, these kind of storm clusters can pick up momentum downstream so it’ll be important to remain weather-aware and in position to act when (don’t think it’s a matter of “if” any longer) warnings are issued really anytime after 3p.

Ingredients are in play that may carry this wind machine across the entire central IN stretch and even into northern KY and southwestern OH by evening.

I’d recommend taking the opportunity to ensure your electronic devices are charged and severe weather safety plan is in place now prior to this activity moving in over the next few hours. Unfortunately the evolving look to current radar trends just after the 12p timeframe only raises confidence of this being a rather widespread damaging wind maker with resulting power outages.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/06/29/short-term-discussion-afternoon-storm-complex-with-heightened-damaging-wind-potential/