Category: T-storms

Monday Evening Severe Weather Update

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/13/monday-evening-severe-weather-update/

Busy Severe Weather Day…

The Storm Prediction Center continues the Moderate Risk of severe weather for our region today.    A busy and potentially dangerous day awaits, including multiple rounds of severe weather, flooding,…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/13/busy-severe-weather-day/

Active Pattern; Severe Weather A Major Concern…

Screen Shot 2015-07-12 at 9.43.43 AMHighlights:

  • Another round of strong to severe storms rumble in tonight
  • Significant severe weather outbreak Monday
  • Storms and flood threat continue Tuesday
  • Drying out and turning hot late week

A very active weather pattern will remain through the short-term.  Overnight storms have exited to the southeast and we’re now dealing with dry weather and sunshine. A few storms could bubble up this afternoon in the very humid air mass, but the more widespread showers and thunderstorms will hold off until late tonight as another northwest to southeast moving complex rumbles in.  Similar to early this morning, flash flooding will be a concern, along with the potential of damaging wind, and hail.

Perhaps more concerning is what we think will be a secondary thunderstorm complex Monday evening into Monday night.  Furthermore, conditions appear to favor the threat of a couple super cells developing in advance of the big storm cluster.  These individual super cells will have the potential of producing tornadoes and large hail.  We’re then concerned of a widespread damaging wind threat with the large storm complex as it moves southeast.  Torrential rains and flash flooding will also be a big concern.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue Tuesday, but there’s a light at the end of this wet tunnel by mid week.  We forecast a few days of dry weather in the Wednesday through Saturday time period.  As ridging expands, heat and humidity will build in a big time way.  For those holding out for true summer heat, next weekend may be your time!  That said, the long range pattern still supports a wetter/ cooler than normal regime quickly returning so enjoy!

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″-3″ with locally heavier totals

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/12/active-pattern-severe-weather-a-major-concern/

Multiple Rounds Of Severe Weather Beginning Sunday…

Good morning and happy Saturday, friends!  After a prolonged stretch of clouds, rain, drizzle, and fog, today will feature a good deal of sunshine and very pleasant conditions.  Unfortunately, the sunshine and pleasant weather won’t last long as storms and severe weather chances ramp up beginning Sunday, and continues through Monday.

A hot dome (high pressure ridge) will be centered over Texas and this will place our immediate region under a rather busy northwest flow.  Multiple disturbances (highlighted in blue below) will rotate northwest to southeast around the periphery of the Texas ridge.  Each disturbance will be capable of producing heavy rain and thunderstorms, including severe weather.

Sunday morning

1Monday morning

2Tuesday morning

3The Storm Prediction Center has outlined the region for a risk of severe weather both Sunday and Monday, and they mention large hail, widespread damaging wind potential, and isolated tornadoes- particularly with Monday’s event.

Day Two Outlook (Sunday)

SundayDay Three Outlook (Monday)

MondayWe’ll begin the action late tonight/ Sunday morning (forecast radar below is a time stamp series from 7a to 12p Sunday) with the first in the expected series of thunderstorms rumbling in from the northwest.  

Moral of the story? Enjoy today’s sunshine, but get ready for more active weather in the coming days!
   

  

  

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/11/multiple-rounds-of-severe-weather-beginning-sunday/

Same Song And Dance…

Well, here we go again: cloudy skies, rain showers moving in, and cooler than normal temperatures. Another gloomy and wet day is ahead for central Indiana as a couple waves…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/10/same-song-and-dance/

Turning Drier This Afternoon…

Screen Shot 2015-07-09 at 7.07.09 AMHighlights:

  • Wet start turns drier this afternoon
  • More sunshine going into the weekend, but we still have storm chances
  • Severe weather possible Sunday
  • Scattered storms continue next week

Scattered showers remain on the radar this morning, but drier air will work in from the west this afternoon and we may even see some late day sunshine!  While we can’t forecast dry weather this weekend, it won’t rain the entire time and periods of sunshine can also be expected.  That said, we’ll have to be on the look out for a couple waves of showers and thunderstorms- particularly Friday and again Sunday afternoon/ evening.  Those storms Sunday may reach strong to severe levels.  As of now, the most isolated coverage of storms looks to come Saturday.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ -2″ (locally higher totals)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/09/turning-drier-this-afternoon/

More Rain And Storms Ahead…

Screen Shot 2015-07-07 at 12.49.30 PMHighlights:

  • Periods of showers and storms through mid week
  • Can’t shake weekend storm chances, but drier, and turning hot
  • Scattered storms return early next week

A frontal boundary will slip south of central IN later this evening and take most of the heavy rain and storms south tonight into a good chunk of Wednesday.  However, the boundary will return north Wednesday evening in response to an area of surface low pressure moving northeast out of the lower and middle MS River Valley.  This will return the focus of showers and heavier thunderstorms for our region Wednesday evening into the first half of Thursday.  Similar to that of today, locally heavy rainfall is a good bet at times.

The area of low pressure will track east Thursday afternoon and take most of the moisture with it.  We’ll forecast drier times to wrap up the work week along with rising temperatures.  While we can’t shake weekend storm chances, Friday through Sunday will be drier, overall, when compared to the next couple days.  With the heat and humidity around, a few strong to severe storms are possible- particularly Sunday afternoon.  We’ll keep an eye on things.

Scattered, “splash and dash,” coverage of storms returns early next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/07/more-rain-and-storms-ahead/

Sunday Morning Catch Up…

We hope this finds you coming off an enjoyable Independence Day with friends and family! As we look at the snap shot of the opening to July we see that…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/05/sunday-morning-catch-up-2/

Beautiful Weekend Shaping Up…

Screen Shot 2015-07-03 at 7.32.25 AMHighlights:

  • Scattered showers around today
  • Awesome weekend weather on tap
  • Dry conditions continue into early next week
  • Cold front delivers unsettled weather

A disturbance is moving along a cold front that sits to our south this morning.  This will keep scattered showers around central IN through the afternoon hours.

As we move into the holiday weekend we expect the frontal system to sink further south and focus best shower and thunderstorm coverage through the TN Valley.  Dry air will move in this evening and set the stage for perfect weekend weather- look for lots of sunshine, comfortable temperatures, and a light northeast breeze Saturday.

Our next weather maker will head our direction early next week in the form of a cold front. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will be on the uptick Tuesday into the mid week period as the front stalls nearby.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.75″-1″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/03/beautiful-weekend-shaping-up/

Mostly Dry And Cool; Looking Nice For The 4th!

Screen Shot 2015-07-02 at 7.32.56 AMHighlights:

  • Lots of clouds, but mostly dry and cooler than normal
  • Increasing sunshine for the holiday weekend
  • Scattered storm chances increase early next week

While we have considerable cloudiness around, rain chances across central IN will remain few and far between over the next several days (great news)!  Better chances of rain and storms will remain across southwestern portions of the state.

We’ll increase our sunshine going into the holiday weekend with only an isolated thunderstorm chance.  With the increasing sunshine, temperatures will also be on the rise, but still remain a couple degrees below normal.

Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected as we roll into early next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/02/mostly-dry-and-cool-looking-nice-for-the-4th/

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