Category Archives: T-storms

Rain Returns Tonight; Batten Down The Hatches Thursday Morning…

Updated 02.08.23 @ 7:20a

Our next storm system will take aim on the region tonight and Thursday. As low pressure tracks into the western Great Lakes, it’ll help pull 2 slugs of moisture north into the state.

A period of rain can be expected this evening (well after the evening rush).

Followed by another period of rain and embedded thunder Thursday morning. Heaviest rain totals (1”+ amounts) will favor western and northern Indiana with this system.

The bigger headline will actually be the strong winds Thursday morning. Sustained wind of 30 MPH with gusts to 50+ MPH will create the potential of downed trees, limbs, and increase the potential of power outages by mid and late morning.

Looking ahead to the “follower” system we’ve been discussing over the past week, modeling now has zeroed in on this being a southern and Mid Atlantic event Friday night through Super Bowl Sunday. While the ole saying goes “never trust a closed upper low,” it’s becoming increasingly likely a heavy, wet snow storm looms for the southern Appalachians and into the southern portion of the Mid Atlantic this weekend.

Meanwhile, an unseasonably mild pattern continues here next week.

Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, snow, T-storms, Windy

Little Something For Everyone This Week…

Updated 02.06.23 @ 5:35a

While the work week will open on a quiet note, busy times await this week as we track 3 storm systems. The first of which will push light showers across the state late tonight and Tuesday morning. “Light” is the key word to focus on with this initial system.

A more robust and organized Storm will rumble out of the southern Plains and into the upper Mid West midweek. As such, a much more organized shield of heavier rain and embedded thunder will make a mess of things here Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. Widespread 1”+ can be expected area-wide with system number 2.

Finally, a 3rd piece of energy will follow on the heels of our midweek storm. While the cold air supply is marginal at best, there still looks to just be enough for more of a wintry theme with this late week system. Stay tuned. We’ll have a more detailed video discussion online this evening. Make it a great Monday!

Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, snow, T-storms, Windy

Classic “Leader-Follower” Setup Next Week…

Updated 02.04.23 @ 8a

All is quiet now, but that will change next week as an active weather pattern returns. A weak frontal boundary will scoot through the Ohio Valley Tuesday with a few showers before a bigger deal unfolds mid and late week. It’s a classic “leader-follower” type setup.

The lead storm system will lift northwest of the region Wednesday, bringing a slug of moisture northward into the region. Moderate to heavy rain is a good bet at times in an unseasonably mild pattern. Highs will zoom into the 50s to near 60° and we’re even talking about some embedded thunder to boot. A solid 1” to 2” of rain seems like a good call with this system, most of which will fall Wednesday.

As this storm exists, it’ll drag a cold front and more seasonally cool air back into the region for late week. That’s when additional energy will track east out of the Plains and towards the East Coast.

While confidence is high on this setup, exactly where the energy phases with the late week system will determine whether we’re talking about an Ohio Valley winter storm threat or more of an East Coast threat. Stay tuned. At the very least, despite the mild pattern, next week sure won’t be boring…

Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Winter Storm