Apr 22
Updated 04.22.24 @ 7:58a
The work week will start pleasant but take an unsettled turn rather abruptly Tuesday. Clouds will increase and give way to showers and embedded thunder ahead of another unseasonably cool push of air just in time for midweek. The other item of note Tuesday? Strong southwesterly winds upwards of 40 MPH at times ahead of that cold front.
More of a true spring-like pattern takes hold going into the weekend, complete with increasing storm chances.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/22/video-a-little-something-for-everyone-in-the-week-ahead/
Apr 21
Updated 04.21.24 @ 8:54a
It was a frosty start to the morning across central Indiana, especially in outlying areas. We’ll do it all over again tonight and Monday morning as temperatures dip back into the lower and middle 30s. The fine folks over at the Indianapolis National Weather Service office have hoisted a Frost Advisory from 1a to 10a Monday.
Otherwise, the work week will open with a continuation of the sunny skies we’ve enjoyed over the past few days.
That will all begin to change as a cold front arrives from the northwest on Tuesday. Clouds will quickly return and showers and thunderstorms will follow. We’re not talking about excessive rainfall with this system, but 0.25″ to 0.50″ is likely as the front moves through the Ohio Valley. Gusty southwesterly winds can also be expected, including up to 40 MPH at times Tuesday.
This will be a fast moving system and dry conditions will quickly return overnight and into Wednesday morning. This FROPA we’ll also help to reinforce the chilly airmass and a renewed frost (and potentially even a freeze) threat looms by Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
As we roll into next weekend, an overall regime change is on the docket, including a much warmer and more humid airmass engulfing the region. Along with this transition to more of a tropical feel, heavier rain and storms will return as well. As of now, closing out April and opening May is looking to feature numerous heavier rain and storm events. This will all get kicked off Friday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/21/midweek-cold-front-delivers-another-frost-threat-warming-up-and-turning-stormy-next-weekend/
Apr 20
Updated 04.20.24 @ 9:45a
High pressure will dominate our weather this weekend, allowing for an extended dry, but cool stretch. Sunshine can be expected both today and Sunday and the overall pleasant theme will continue into the early stages of the new work week. Rain and storm return Tuesday and again on Friday of the week ahead. It’s just the beginning of another wet stretch as we close out April and head into May…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/20/video-frost-develops-tonight-tracking-our-next-storms-in-the-week-ahead/
Apr 19
Updated 04.19.24 @ 7:45a
While our high officially today was in the middle 60s to lower 70s (location dependent) just after midnight, “daytime highs” won’t even make it out of the 50s. Get used to a cooler stretch through the weekend and into early next week. In fact, we’re even talking about chances of frost in outlying areas Sunday and Monday mornings (and potentially again the middle of next week). The next opportunity of rain, locally, won’t come until Tuesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/19/video-calm-cool-weekend-new-systems-to-track-in-the-week-ahead/
Apr 18
Updated 04.18.24 @ 4:34a
The day will start off quiet, but won’t end that way. We’re monitoring the threat of strong to severe storms later this evening, continuing into and through the overnight hours. The good news? All of these will be off to our east prior to heading out the door to work or school Friday morning. Then we can concentrate on a refreshingly cool weekend with sunshine returning.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/18/video-storms-rumble-in-tonight-long-range-musings-into-may/
Apr 17
Updated 04.17.24 @ 5:17a
While we’re still tracking storm potential today, there are a lot of questions around where these will initialize. Thinking here is right around the city, itself, and then points northeast (better chance of stronger storms for places like Fort Wayne and Muncie than Indianapolis-proper).
Storms should develop around or just after lunchtime (around 1p, or so) across central Indiana and then race off to the east. Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern with the stronger storms. Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of around 40 MPH can also be expected today.
Instability levels are marginal at best today which, thankfully, should prevent widespread severe weather, locally.
A more stable airmass will quickly arrive tonight and remain in place through the daytime Thursday.
Our next round of storms, some of which will likely be gusty, will blow into town overnight into the predawn hours Friday.
High pressure is still slated to build in to allow for a much calmer (and cooler) weekend. Keep an eye on the potential for frost both Sunday and Monday mornings.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/17/rounds-of-storms-to-close-the-work-week-chilly-but-dry-weekend/
Apr 16
Updated 04.16.24 @ 5:43a
It doesn’t get any better around these parts this time of year than what we experienced Monday. Unfortunately, today marks the return of unsettled weather that will continue through midweek. The reward after going through a few days of rain/ storms? An incredible weekend, complete with a return of sunshine!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/16/video-couple-rounds-of-storms-to-get-through-before-a-fabulous-weekend/
Apr 15
Updated 04.15.24 @ 7:45a
We couldn’t ask for better weather to kick off the new work week. Plentiful sunshine, temperatures heading for the 80s, and a generally light, variable wind will make it tough to work indoors today. Rain and storm coverage will grow in the coming days…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/15/video-gorgeous-monday-transitions-to-unsettled-times-cooling-this-weekend-gives-way-to-renewed-warming-in-the-10-15-day/
Apr 14
Updated 04.14.24 @ 8:18a
This morning we’re unveiling a new “hand-crafted” 10-day forecast that will be below the Client video discussion and/ or posts each morning. Enjoy!
Today opens bright and quiet and most of our Masters Sunday will feature calm conditions, locally. The only fly in the ointment will come from a cluster of storms that will erupt across Ohio and make an attempt to back build into at least eastern portions of the state this evening. We’ll keep close eyes on trends. Otherwise, Monday will get back to a return to quiet conditions before an active stretch develops. Eventually, we’ll turn much calmer (and cooler) next weekend into early stages of the following week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/14/video-keeping-an-eye-on-evening-storms-east-busy-week-ahead-of-a-drier-cool-stretch/
Apr 13
Updated 04.13.24 @ 12p
While unseasonably warm air will build in here early next week, don’t put away the cold weather gear just yet. We’re likely even looking at additional frost threats as we get towards late next weekend and/ or early Week 2. More details below in this week’s #AGwx and #Severe Weather Outlook.
“Transitional” is the word to describe the upcoming couple weeks worth of weather around these parts. The warmth to open the period will cool significantly next weekend and early Week 2, only to give way to renewed warming late April.
Note the roller coaster in the temperature anomalies over the next couple of weeks.
The active pattern in the week ahead will dry significantly late in the forecast period as the cooler airmass takes hold.
In the more immediate term, we’re tracking 2 storm systems in the week ahead: Tuesday – Wednesday and again Thursday night into Friday.
The Storm Prediction Center includes western Indiana in a risk of severe weather Tuesday. We’ll monitor for the potential of a further east extension of this risk area.
We think (2) rounds of storms are on deck Tuesday. The first round likely is associated with a warm front lifting north through the state Tuesday morning (hail threat) followed by a second round of activity Tuesday night into Wednesday morning (main concern being damaging straight line winds with this round). As of now, storm total rainfall amounts of 0.50″ to 1″ seem likely during this timeframe.
Another round of showers and embedded thunder will precede a blast of chilly air next weekend. We bracket Thursday night into Friday morning for this particular round of rain. An additional half inch, or so, of rain seems reasonable from this distance.
By the time we get to next weekend and early Week 2, drier and much cooler, more stable air should take up residence.
We note the warm open, chilly finish in the 10-day meteogram. Also note the frost threat at the end of this period.
Upcoming *10-Day Rainfall Projection: 1″ to 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/13/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-51/