Mar 31
We’re still focused on the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. After morning showers move out of the region we should get into a drier…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/31/still-eyeing-an-evening-severe-threat/
Mar 30
Showers and embedded thunder increase tonight and we eye Thursday for severe weather potential across the region…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/30/wednesday-morning-video-update-turning-stormy/
Mar 27
Happy Easter! From all of us at IndyWx.com, we wish you a blessed day!
Easter Sunday is off to a beautiful start with lots of sunshine, temperatures in the 40s, and light winds. Unfortunately, things will begin to change in rather significant fashion as early as the evening hours. Beforehand, expect sunshine to help boost temperatures into the lower 70s across many central IN neighborhoods. It’ll turn increasingly moist, as well, as surface dew points jump into the lower 60s.
Highs today will reach the lower 70s.
Dew points will climb into the lower 60s by evening.
An approaching area of low pressure and associated cold front will provide just enough spin/ lift, in combination with the warmth and increasingly moist air mass, to ignite storms this evening. Some of these storms will likely reach strong to severe levels. We’re most concerned for the potential of damaging straight line winds and large hail.
High resolution simulated radar data suggests storms ignite around 6p across central IN. We caution that this image should be used as guidance and not taken verbatim.
Have a way to get the latest weather information later this afternoon and evening. Watches or warnings may be required…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/27/strong-to-severe-storms-by-easter-evening/
Mar 26
We open the forecast period dry and pleasant, but we turn stormy late Easter Sunday and MUCH colder air still looks to arrive as we welcome April. Details can be…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/26/saturday-morning-video-update-4/
Mar 24
Highlights:
Showers And Embedded Thunder Today…Showers and thunderstorms will be with us for the majority of the late morning and afternoon hours before a cold front sweeps through the state tonight and sets up a dry, but much colder time of things for Good Friday. Locally heavy downpours are a good bet today, including some 1″+ totals across central parts of the state.
The first half of the Easter weekend is looking very nice. Certainly of the two days, we’d recommend getting that Easter Egg Hunt in on Saturday as clouds will increase Easter Sunday and give way to late day rain. Modeling isn’t in agreement on the timing of rain Easter, but we’re siding more with the GFS approach for now (earlier arrival when compared to the European). Stay tuned as we fine tune ;-).
Our “topsy turvy” weather pattern will continue into next week, but we still eye a significant cold front and associated MUCH colder air mass during the first (10) days of April…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/24/wet-day-on-tap/
Mar 21
Highlights:
Ice Scrapers Needed This Morning…Many Indiana neighborhoods awoke to temperatures in the 20s this morning. Thankfully, that late March sun angle will help boost temperatures quickly today to around 50 for afternoon highs.
A warm front will lift through the region Tuesday and could spark a shower or two, but most will remain dry. We’ll turn briefly milder Tuesday and Wednesday before better coverage of showers and embedded thunder arrive on scene Thursday. This is in association with a cold front that will deliver a quick pop of colder air to close the week, including Good Friday. There’s the chance enough cold air could catch lingering moisture to allow for a few snow showers late Thursday night before we dry things out completely.
As we look ahead to Easter, another storm system will arrive quickly. As such, we’re forced to increase rain chances (and coverage) Easter Sunday.
Longer term, indications continue to point towards a rather rude open to April, including well below normal temperatures.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/21/the-ups-and-downs-of-spring/
Mar 20
1.) Indianapolis is running much warmer (+9.1°) and slightly drier than normal (-0.15″) month-to-date. 2.) Snow is flying to our southwest, and accumulating for some in and around St.…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/20/sunday-weather-rambles/
Mar 19
Highlights:
Chilly Weekend…We’re dealing with a much colder feel this weekend (jackets and coats required as you venture out to watch the “madness” at your favorite local spot later today). That said, not all of the region will deal with precipitation. This morning into the early afternoon, showers will be most widespread from Indy and points south. Later tonight, another band of precipitation will develop in association with upper level energy, but mainly be confined to the western and southwestern parts of the state. It’s within this band, that we expect wet snow to mix in. With the exception of some early morning snow showers tomorrow, drier air should win out for the majority of the day. It’ll remain colder than normal.
We’ll open the work week on a chilly, dry note, but a warm front will lift through the state Tuesday. A quick-hitting shower is possible as the front lifts north, but the bigger deal will be a noted SW wind shift (it’ll turn gusty) and a much warmer feel by afternoon/ evening. Better chances of showers and thunderstorms will rumble into the state Thursday before we turn quickly colder by Good Friday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/19/chilly-weekend/
Mar 14
Highlights:
Rainy Monday; Severe Storms Possible Tuesday…A disturbance is helping push showers and thunderstorms north into central IN to open the work week. Most of the rain and embedded thunderstorms will fall during the morning into the afternoon hours before drier air works in here tonight. That will set us up for a mostly dry, breezy, and warm Tuesday, but all attention will be on Tuesday night. We still think thunderstorms that ignite in IL Tuesday afternoon will race eastward and impact Indiana Tuesday night. More specifically, we’re bracketing the hours of 8p-2a for severe prospects locally. All modes of severe weather are in play, particularly damaging winds and hail. Stay tuned.
As we progress into the second half of the week, things remain rather busy. A couple weak disturbances could offer up Thursday showers (especially south). The evolution of things this weekend is still very much up in the air, but for now we’ll go with increasing clouds Saturday giving way to showers. As colder air gets involved with this storm system, precipitation may mix or end as wet snow Sunday.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/14/rainy-monday-severe-weather-possible-tuesday-night/
Mar 13
We have scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms to deal with today and Monday (along with plenty of dry time, too), but our attention is beginning to shift to the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday- particularly Tuesday night.
The SPC has outlined most of the state for a *Slight Risk* of severe thunderstorms Tuesday.
We note surface dew points surge into the upper 50s and lower 60s Tuesday.
This should be sufficient enough to help fuel a developing thunderstorm cluster in IL Tuesday afternoon/ evening that will likely race eastward with time Tuesday night. We note a strong area of low pressure over the upper Mid West that will “bull-whip” a cold front through the region Tuesday night. This will tap into the available moisture and relative warmth (lower to middle 70s a good bet for highs Tuesday) to continue the storm threat through IN and into western OH during the late evening/ overnight.
All modes of severe weather appear to be in play right now, but we’re particularly concerned about the potential of damaging straight line winds within any thunderstorm complex that develops Tuesday afternoon/ evening. We’ll also have to monitor the potential of discrete cells that develop away from the primary storm complex.
We turn cooler and windy Wednesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/13/monitoring-severe-potential-tuesday-night/