Category: T-storms
Highlights:
- Sunny, warm Memorial Day
- Scattered storms mid week
- Cooler late in the forecast period
Sunscreen and Sunglasses needed…High pressure will supply plenty of sunshine for Memorial Day. While it’ll be warm, it’ll be a little less humid than the past few days. All-in-all, it’ll be a great day to be outdoors. Enjoy it!
A cold front will move closer to the region come midweek and tap into available Gulf moisture to create a good chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday PM into Thursday.
Come late week, modeling differs on the precise details. For now, we’re leaning towards a cooler, unsettled look. Fine tuning will be required as we move forward.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/30/beautiful-memorial-day-weather/
A quick update on our thinking for this evening, continuing into Race Day!
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/28/race-memorial-day-weekend-video-update/
Highlights:
- Scattered PM storms fire up
- Warm, humid, but mostly dry race day and Memorial Day
- Big cool down looming
Better Coverage Of PM Storms…A warm, humid, and increasingly unstable air mass will be present today. Throw in a couple weak upper level disturbances lifting through the region and we should see a better coverage of afternoon/ evening thunderstorm activity when compared to the past couple days. Some locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
Thankfully, aerial coverage of showers and storms will diminish Sunday and Memorial Day, itself. We’ll maintain mention of an isolated to widely scattered storm. Conditions will remain warm and humid.
Our next best chance of rain and storms will push in Thursday. This is in association with a cold front. Behind this cold front, expect a big push of refreshing, unseasonably cool air to blow into town to close the work week. Temperatures grow cooler next weekend (lows at night in the 40s are possible).
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/28/better-chance-of-afternoon-evening-storms-today-big-cool-down-looming/
Highlights:
- Scattered storms into the weekend
- Isolated storm coverage Sunday-Monday, but drier overall
- Scattered storms return mid week
Not A Bad Forecast…The overall theme with tonight’s forecast package is warm and humid. While scattered thunderstorms will remain in our forecast Friday and Saturday, overall coverage of thunderstorm activity will diminish Sunday-Monday (isolated coverage both days). From this distance, the Indy 500 weather looks nice- just an isolated storm threat and quite warm. Widespread rain totals should remain below half an inch through the weekend, but we caution that locally heavier totals will certainly be possible (though it’s impossible to be precise where exactly those heavier showers and storms track).
Drier times will greet us as we return to work Tuesday, but we’ll be eyeing an approaching late week cold front by this time. This front will present our next chance of widespread shower and thunderstorm activity, along with a transition to a much cooler air mass just beyond the forecast period.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/26/warm-and-humid-more-dry-time-than-stormy/
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Filed under CFSv2, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Indy 500, Long Range Discussion, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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May 25, 2016
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/25/indy-500-and-memorial-day-weekend-video-update/
Highlights:
- Oppressive feel develops
- Scattered storms to close the week
- Less storm coverage for the 500 and Memorial Day
Ready To Sweat? A much more humid and oppressive feel will develop Wednesday (dew points likely surge to 70 by afternoon). Along with the muggy air mass, we expect scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms to develop. We’ll maintain mention of scattered storms into the weekend, but want to stress that these won’t be uniform in the least. That said, with all of the moisture in the air, stronger storms will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall.
We continue to keep a close eye on the data for Sunday and Monday. Thankfully, latest indications suggest we see an overall decrease in aerial coverage of showers and storms both days. We’ll call it “isolated” for now. It’ll be plenty hot and humid.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/24/turning-much-more-humid/
Highlights:
- Dry feel turns much more humid
- Splash and dash storms, but many dry hours
- Warm, humid Memorial Day/ Race weekend
One More Dry Day…High pressure is scooting away from the region, but will remain close enough to supply central IN with dry conditions Tuesday. Though warm, we’ll enjoy one more day with dry air in place.
A SW wind shift will deliver an increasingly moist air mass for mid week, continuing into the long holiday and race weekend ahead. In fact, dew points will surge to readings around 70 (downright oppressive). While there will be times of scattered showers and thunderstorms, there will also be many dry hours, as well. We continue to keep an eye on Wednesday for the potential of a strong to severe storm.
As we continue to grow closer to the holiday and race weekend, questions continue to increase around the forecast specifics, and rightfully so. While we need to be prepared for an afternoon/ evening storm, these will be scattered and there will be “haves and have nots” when it comes to storm/ rain activity over the balance of the upcoming forecast period. Again, we want to emphasize there should be plenty of dry time.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/23/not-as-bad-as-it-may-look/
Highlights:
- Dry open to the week
- Warming up and turning humid
- Storm chances mid week on
Beautiful Open To The Week…High pressure and a dry air mass will result in lots of sunshine to open the week. After a chilly first few weeks of May, we’ll see improvements in the mercury this week. A dry air mass will still result in cool overnight lows through Tuesday morning, but we’ll shift to a much more humid regime for mid and late week. Additionally, temperatures will continue to climb into the lower 80s for highs. Prepare to sweat.
The increased moisture and an approaching frontal boundary will help ignite scattered showers and thunderstorms for the second half of the week. We also have a close eye on Wednesday for the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms. While it won’t rain the entire time, prepare for “splash and dash” showers and storms into the important Memorial Day/ Indy 500 weekend…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/22/feeling-like-summer-3/
Highlights:
- Showers arrive this afternoon
- Better finish to the weekend
- Wet pattern returns next week
Rain Gear Needed This Afternoon…The Friday-Saturday forecast has been a headache all week as models have been “waffling” back and forth between heavy rains and mostly dry weather. As it is, we’re actually going to end up “splitting the difference.” While it’ll rain at times this afternoon into Saturday, totals will be relatively light (0.10″-0.30″ for most).
A brighter second half of the weekend is coming as sunshine returns Sunday. That dry period of weather will carry us into the new work week, but we caution that wet and stormy weather will return by the middle of next week. Expect a much warmer and more humid time of things next week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/20/showers-build-in-this-afternoon/
Highlights:
- Band of showers and t-storms arrives late tonight
- Very cool and blustery weekend
- Drier pattern developing
Unseasonably Chilly Weekend…A cold front is racing towards the region and will serve up a fresh batch of showers and thunderstorms overnight. The bigger story will be a gusty NW wind shift and falling temperatures late tonight. The chill will remain through the weekend with highs well below average and a patchy frost threat in outlying areas Sunday morning. Most of Sunday will be dry, but a widely scattered shower is possible during the afternoon hours.
The majority of the upcoming work week looks much drier when compared to recent. We’re watching a significant storm system, but general consensus of forecast model data at this point keeps the majority of significant rains to our south. We’ll keep a close eye on things. Slowly moderating temperatures can be expected as we progress through the week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/13/chilly-blustery-weekend/
