Updated 07.12.22 @ 7:29a
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Category: Summer
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/12/video-discussing-continued-wetter-model-trends/
Jul 11
VIDEO: Potential Of Scattered Strong-Severe Storms This Evening; Refreshing By Mid-July Standards Thereafter…
Updated 07.11.22 @ 7:11a
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/11/video-potential-of-scattered-strong-severe-storms-this-evening-refreshing-by-mid-july-standards-thereafter/
Jul 10
VIDEO: Weak Front Moves Through Tuesday Morning; Perhaps The Longer Range Pattern Isn’t As Dire After All…
Updated 07.10.22 @ 8:25a
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/10/video-weak-front-moves-through-tuesday-morning-perhaps-the-longer-range-pattern-isnt-as-dire-after-all/
Jul 09
VIDEO: Heading Back Into A Dry Pattern…
Updated 07.09.22 @ 9:20a
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/09/video-heading-back-into-a-dry-pattern/
Jul 08
Central Indiana Poised To Finally Cash In On Heavy Rains…
Updated 07.08.22 @ 7:30a
0.14″. That’s it in the rainfall department, officially recorded at IND, for the month so far. While several neighborhoods have seen much more rainfall than that, it reiterates just how dry it’s been here for most immediate central Indiana communities. In fact, we have to go all the way back to June 12th to find the last 24 hour period where IND recorded anything close to even half an inch of rain (0.49″).
With all of that said, a combination of ingredients should come together to finally allow a widespread chunk of central Indiana to accumulate hefty rain totals as we get set to close out the work week.
I. We have added forcing from a cold front and wave of low pressure that will move along the boundary as it sags south this evening. This will aid in helping more widespread coverage of rain and thunderstorms fire, especially as we progress into the afternoon and evening.
II. A truly tropical airmass engulfs the region this morning and this will remain in place until the cold front clears the area late tonight. Precipitable water values in excess of 2″ combined with dew points in the lower to middle 70s will allow rain and storms to feed off the juicy air this afternoon and evening. Rainfall rates of 2″+ per hour will be common in the heavier cells. Should storms train over the same areas, flash flooding will likely develop.
III. As the wave of low pressure moves across the state this afternoon and evening, it could help enhance the threat of severe weather, especially along and south of the I-70 corridor. A quick spin-up tornado isn’t out of the realm of possibility but the bigger severe threats appear to be from wet microbursts (damaging wind/ hail).
We anticipate many central Indiana neighborhoods to accumulate at least an inch of rain today with some communities seeing locally heavier totals. Again, where heavier cells train, localized flash flooding will develop.
Eventually the front will settle south and clear the state tonight. This will allow drier and MUCH less humid to return to the region just in time for the weekend. We expect plentiful sunshine, low humidity, and cooler temperatures to dominate through the day Monday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/08/central-indiana-poised-to-finally-cash-in-on-heavy-rains/
Jul 07
VIDEO: Fingers Crossed For More Widespread Rain Tomorrow; Longer Range Pattern Takes On A Drier, Warmer Than Average Look…
Updated 07.07.22 @ 8:42a
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/07/video-fingers-crossed-for-more-widespread-rain-tomorrow-longer-range-pattern-takes-on-a-drier-warmer-than-average-look/
Jul 06
VIDEO: Looking At The 2nd Half Of The Week And Into Week 2…
Updated 07.06.22 @ 5:05p
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/06/video-looking-at-the-2nd-half-of-the-week-and-into-week-2/
Jul 05
And Then Came The Rain (And Storms)…
Updated 07.05.22 @ 7:58a
A very busy mid-summer pattern will take up residence through the remainder of the week. Multiple storm clusters will ride southeast into the region, some of which will feature severe wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center includes a threat of severe weather for Indiana today through Thursday (this will likely get extended into the Friday/ Saturday time period before drier, more stable air can work in here).
Localized flash flooding will also become a concern, especially towards mid and late week as these storm clusters track over the same areas. Juicy precipitable water values (2”+) will help feed these storm clusters, turning them into prolific rain makers at times. It should be noted that some central IN communities have missed out on recent rains, so rainfall rates of 2”+ / hour falling on rock hard soils will have no problem running off and leading to flash flooding at times.
Drier air will eventually build in here by the weekend and this will lead to a temporary pull back in rain/ storm coverage, and a much more pleasant airmass. Timing, yet again, is on our side.
Tomorrow is a travel day so please expect a later than normal client video post. Should have things online by mid evening, or so, Wednesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/05/and-then-came-the-rain-and-storms/
Jul 04
Happy Independence Day; Opportunity For Multiple Strong Storm Clusters This Week…
Updated 07.04.22 @ 8a 1.) Happy Independence Day! We should squeeze in one more dry day. It’ll be hot with highs surging into the lower 90s. We’ll also notice an…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/04/happy-independence-day-opportunity-for-multiple-strong-storm-clusters-this-week/
Jul 03
Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…
Updated 07.03.22 @ 6:40a
Forecast Period: 07.03.22 through 07.13.22
After a quiet holiday weekend, a much more active pattern will take hold as we navigate the 1st half of July. It won’t rain everyday, but chances of benefitting from soaking rain in more widespread fashion will be on the rise as we move into the middle and latter part of this week into the following week.
Serious heat will bake the Plains while a cooler pattern dominates the Northeast region. In between, here on the home front, we’ll note heat trying to expand northeast into the Ohio Valley (and there will be several 90°+ days thrown in the 10-day period), but each time it may look like the heat is here to stay for more than a few days, we’ll likely get cooling relief from cold fronts moving southeast around the periphery of the ridge.
We’ll have to pay close attention to some of the more “mature” storm complexes including a heightened threat of damaging straight line winds give the overall pattern. It’s impossible to pin down which complexes may include a better threat of severe weather from this distance, but this threat may include a closer look as we move into the middle and latter part of the week.
10-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1”-2”
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/03/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-44/