This afternoon’s video update takes a closer look at what continues to appear to be a rather cool, rainy close to the work week. Widespread soaking rains and temperatures that remain in the 60s Friday are very possible for some portions of our area.
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Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
Mon. |
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63/ 83 |
64/ 81 |
64/ 79 |
62/ 79 |
62/ 83 |
66/ 84 |
65/ 84 |
Cold Front Just North…A cold front will slowly sag south into central Indiana over the next 24 hours before stalling nearby. Some added energy will rotate along the boundary Wednesday and lead to somewhat more widespread coverage of thunderstorms across the region (scattered to numerous coverage). As far as today- look for more of those splash and dash afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms, including some locally heavy downpours.
Best Rain Chances Friday? Model data continues to trend towards better chances of widespread moderate to heavy rainfall Friday in response to an area of low pressure moving along the frontal boundary. It’s important to note that there’s still some disagreement among forecast model solutions, but we feel increasingly confident on Friday offering up more in the way of widespread rains in response to this area of low pressure.
Drying Out This Weekend…High pressure will build into the region over the weekend supply drier air and increased sunshine. Perfect timing, heh?!
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
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Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
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62/ 85 |
62/ 84 |
63/ 81 |
63/ 80 |
62/ 82 |
59/ 83 |
62/ 86 |
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Dry Start To The Week…High pressure will remain in control of our weather today and supply lots of sunshine and seasonable temperatures.
Rain Chances Increasing…A cold front will drop closer to the region Tuesday and will help to serve as the trigger in widely scattered shower and thunderstorm development Tuesday afternoon. Mid week is where our questions lie and they have to do with just how far the front makes it before stalling. A combination of the GFS, European, and Canadian forecast models shows a variety of results. The European is most progressive and dries the region out quickly mid week with high pressure building into the area. The Canadian is the exact opposite as it paints a wide swath of heavy rain through the heart of the state (2″ type rains through late week). Finally, the GFS is in between the two. We think the GFS has the best idea as of now, but we’ll keep a close eye on things as we move through the next couple days. Stay tuned.
Pleasant Weekend…We’re confident on a weekend that should feature beautiful late-summer weather conditions- lots of sunshine, seasonable temperatures, and low humidity!
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
Happy Saturday! Upper level energy will hang around the region today, creating a continued chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Similar to Friday, a few of these could be strong…
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Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
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60/ 81 |
60/ 82 |
60/ 83 |
60/ 84 |
61/ 86 |
62/ 84 |
64/ 83 |
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Upper Level Disturbance…An upper level disturbance will help lead to better coverage of shower and thunderstorm activity later this afternoon and again Saturday. While everyone won’t get wet, more neighborhoods can expect to see a passing storm than the past couple of days. Temperatures will remain below seasonal levels.
Drying Out And Warming Up…We’ll build a drier and warmer picture into your forecast for the back half of the weekend on into the first half of the new work week. High pressure should supply a partly cloudy sky and while temperatures will moderate from the cool readings of late, they certainly won’t be too hot for early August. All-in-all, very comfortable readings can be expected with lots of sunshine.
Watching A Potential Late Week Storm…Forecast model guidance is a bit inconsistent at this time period, but we’re still eyeing the next chance of showers and thunderstorms towards the end of next week. More details to come as we move forward.
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
