Category: snow

Feb 09

ANOTHER Bitterly Cold Air Mass

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Forecast Updated: 02.10.14 @ 5:05p

Bitterly Cold Air To Begin The New Work Week…A fresh batch of bitterly cold air settled into the Hoosier state overnight and is ready to greet us “smack dab in the face” on the way out the door.  We call this “ouch cold.”  Additionally, winds will remain gusty this morning and result in wind chill values as cold as 20-30 degrees below zero Monday.  Normally, this would be a huge deal, but seems to be “just another day” during the snowy and bitterly cold winter of 2013-2014.

As the arctic high moves overhead tonight into Tuesday morning, we’ll experience the coldest air of the week, bottoming out anywhere from 7 to 14 degrees below zero across the snowy central Indiana landscape. Officially, we’re forecasting 9 below to begin the day Tuesday for Indianapolis.

Midweek Moderation…Though we’ll remain below seasonal levels straight through the forecast period, we’ll notice a moderating feel to the air mass by the middle of the week.  The relatively milder air may be offset by strong and gusty winds blowing from the southwest Thursday in advance of our next weather maker.  Some concern will be there for blowing and drifting snow of the existing snow pack Thursday for the open country.

Monitoring Late Week…Forecast models continue to suggest we’ll deal with our next winter weather maker towards late week, but we caution timing and the precise track of the low pressure system will have to be fine tuned as we go through the week.  At this extremely early stage in the game, it does appear as if an accumulating snow will occur with this system in the Friday-Saturday time period. Stay tuned.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/another-bitterly-cold-air-mass/

Feb 08

A Snowy Weekend On Tap

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Forecast Updated 02.08.14 @ 8:49a

Weekend Snow…While we’re not looking at a significant storm system this weekend, we’ll deal with waves of accumulating snow through the period.  A period of light snow will continue today, especially through early afternoon and then we’ll note renewed snow developing to our west this evening.  This area of snow is in response to additional upper level energy moving off the Rockies and will slide into central Indiana late tonight into Sunday.  Finally, there’s the chance portions of central and south-central Indiana see a third wave of light snow Sunday night into early Monday morning.  By the time all is said and done, we’re anticipating 1.5″ to 2″ of snow this weekend for most, with a few 3″ reports where snow persists.  It’ll be a cold weekend, but nothing as bitter as the past few days have been.

Another Arctic Blast…A sprawling arctic high will settle into the Ohio Valley to open the work week. This will supply dry weather, but yet another bitterly cold air mass.  We’ll note below zero overnight lows and highs only in the teens under mostly clear conditions.

Some Questions Around Late Week…Model data is in disagreement with the handling of the southern and northern streams of the jet late next week. As of now, we’re siding with a “middle of the road” approach and introducing snow showers into your forecast Thursday into Friday.  The possibilities range anywhere from an accumulating snow event to dry skies with moderating temperatures. Stay tuned.

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For weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/a-snowy-weekend-on-tap/

Feb 07

More Weekend Snow Talk…

We’re still dealing with some questions that will have to be sorted out for the weekend’s snow.  Latest high resolution data suggests we may see a couple of waves of accumulating snow cross the state this weekend.  Namely, we’re focused on late Saturday night into Sunday morning and again Sunday night into Monday morning.  Scattered snow showers will fall during the day Saturday, but shouldn’t be a big deal and won’t impact everyone.

It’s a tough and challenging pattern we’re in over the next 60 hours and forecast models will continue to struggle with handling upper level energy as it ejects off the Rockies and heads east.  While our initial idea of a more organized, robust, storm system won’t come to fruition, it’s certainly possible some central Indiana neighborhoods deal with a “few” inches of fresh snow by Monday morning.  It’ll be important to stay tuned to latest forecasts this weekend as what may seem to be a rather harmless inch, or so, of snow could pile up to the tune of 2″-5″ for some areas should latest high resolution model data, hot off the press, come to fruition.

Case in point, the latest high resolution NAM model, courtesy of Weatherbell Analytics, paints a couple of stripes of snow across central Indiana and seems to have a pretty good handle on the evolution of things over the next 48-60 hours.  It should be noted that not all model data suggests accumulating snow is ahead this weekend.  THAT SAID, many times, in similar weather patterns, the high resolution data performed better.  We’ll fine tune things and have a fresh updated 7-Day forecast available to you in the morning.  Make it a great night!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/more-weekend-snow-talk/

Feb 06

Bitterly Cold And Snowy Pattern Rolls Along…

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Forecast Updated: 02.07.14 @ 8:07a

Frigid Close To The Work Week…Arctic high pressure will be centered over the Ohio Valley as we close out the work week.  While this will lead to a mostly sunny sky, downright frigid conditions can be expected.  The day will dawn with temperatures solidly below zero and include wind chill values as cold as 30 degrees below- a painfully cold start to the day, needless to say.

Watching A Weekend Snow Maker…We continue to keep a close eye on the weekend as another round of accumulating snow waits on deck.  Questions remain as to just how much snow accumulates and while model data continues to suggest we’re only looking at a light, 1-3″, weekend snow event at the moment, the chance is still there that modeling begins to trend a little more “robust” with upper level energy as it crosses the Ohio Valley.  High snow ratios will be at play here, meaning we’ll squeeze out more than the usual 1″ of snow for every 10th of an inch of liquid.  We bracket Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning as the best chance of accumulating snow, but note this timing could change as we move through the next 24 hours.  Stay tuned.

Weekend Snow Bookended By A Bitter Feel…A fresh blast of bitterly cold air will pour into the Ohio Valley and Mid West region to kick off the new work week.  Temperatures will average more than 20 degrees colder than seasonal levels to begin the new work week and feature at least one, if not two, night(s) below zero.  The brutally cold, snowy winter of 2013-2014 just keeps on keeping on…

Watching The Southern Stream…Model data is really struggling in the longer term and it has to do with how each respected model set handles energy in the southern and northern branch of the jet stream.  We’re taking a “middle of the line” approach for now, including chances of snow the middle of next week.

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For weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/bitterly-cold-and-snowy-pattern-rolls-along/

Feb 05

Accumulating Snow Isn’t Finished

Good morning!  After a night complete with impressive snow totals, lightning and thunder reported downtown shortly after 6am, and significant drifting in the open country, things have “calmed” as of this post.  That said, the accumulating snow isn’t finished and will rotate back into central Indiana by late morning.

We think an additional 1-2″ of snow will fall with the highlighted area of snow below as it tracks east-northeast.  This snow is courtesy of the upper level low moving through the region.  Our storm total here at IndyWx.com HQ- 5 miles northwest of Zionsville is at 8.6″ so far.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/accumulating-snow-isnt-finished/