Jan 07
Rain will overspread the state early afternoon and most area rain gauges can expect to accumulate between one tenth and one quarter inch by this evening. Tuesday is a day…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/rain-by-lunchtime-and-more-active-times-in-the-days-ahead/
Jan 06
I. Today won’t feature nearly as much sunshine as we enjoyed Saturday, but considering it’s early-January, we can’t complain about mid-upper 40s and dry conditions. Morning fog in spots will burn off to increasing mid and high level cloudiness today ahead of our approaching Monday storm system.
II. A cold front will push rain back into the state as we open the work week. Rain will reach greatest coverage around the lunchtime hour into the early afternoon. Overall, central Indiana rain gauges can expect to accumulate somewhere between 0.10″ and 0.25″ Monday.
Note this storm system won’t have a Gulf of Mexico (GOM) connection. Thus, the reason behind the lighter rainfall numbers compared to recent events.
III. Colder air will pour in behind the storm system. Highs will struggle to reach the freezing mark Wednesday and Thursday. Dry times return.
IV. A weak system may deliver rain or snow next weekend, but modeling differs on how they handle this energy. We’ll keep an eye on things and update accordingly.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/week-ahead-outlook-relatively-quiet-times-remain/
Jan 03
We’re tracking a couple of storm systems and a continued overall warmer than normal pattern through the upcoming 7-days…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-looking-at-the-upcoming-7-days/
Jan 03
Winter has been on hold over the past few weeks, and there’s really nothing that looks to shake that up anytime soon (at least through the upcoming 10-14 days).
The new JMA Weeklies are in this morning and they continue to highlight the mild times:
Week 1
Week 2
Weeks 3-4
This is a rather dramatic reversal from what this particular model was saying only last week- when it was bringing winter back with authority by Week 2 on. One could easily argue that even out to the Weeks 3-4 time frame that this certainly isn’t an ideal look for “stick and hold” cold to eventually push into the East.
There is a lot going on “behind the scenes” right now and this isn’t us saying winter’s over before it really even began, but it continues to look more and more likely that any sort of sustained cold and potentially snowy times will have to remain on hold until potentially late month. The roaring PAC jet will likely continue to have it’s say until then…
(More later tonight on some of the items that argue for winter to get going as we progress into late January and beyond).
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/new-jma-weeklies-highlight-overall-mild-pattern/
Dec 31
IND has already recorded over half an inch in the rain gauge this morning and there’s more where that came from between now and tonight. Steady rain will be replaced with scattered downpours late morning to around the lunchtime hour before widespread rain and embedded thunder returns early to mid afternoon. Most can expect to tack on an additional half inch to inch of rain today and the latest HRRR sees this as well.
We’re also still monitoring the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms across southern portions of the state. The Storm Prediction Center now includes far southern Indiana in a Slight Risk for severe weather today. The primary concerns remain strong, damaging winds with a line of thunderstorms that may develop between 2p and 4p. If your travels take you south towards Louisville today remain weather-aware.
Temperatures will run 25° to 30° colder New Year’s Day and a couple of scattered snow showers may fly- especially across the favored snowbelt areas to our north.
Have a happy and safe New Year’s Eve, friends!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wet-close-to-2018/