Category: Severe Weather

VIDEO: Monitoring Storm Potential Wednesday; Updated Summer Thoughts…

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VIDEO: Things Turn More Active; Changeable Pattern…

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Weekly #AGwx And #Severe Weather Outlook…

Weekly Highlights:

I. May ends and June opens with well below normal temperatures and humidity levels.

II. Summer pattern emerges during the 2nd half of next week, along with a return of hefty storms.

The upcoming 7-day period will be dominated by 2 distinct patterns: cool & refreshing (now through Tue.) and hot/ sticky (Wed. on). Overall, this will lead to a week that “averages out” close to normal.
While the pattern looks dry overall (and certainly will be up until the middle of next week), there’s the potential of storm clusters diving in from the northwest and providing heavy rain late in the period.
We’re actually more bullish on the precipitation front than what models currently portray. We’re going with a 7-day total between 1”-2” across central Indiana- most of which falls in the Wednesday-Friday time frame.
The Storm Prediction Center doesn’t currently outline a threat of severe weather in the upcoming period. However, that may change as we get closer to the back half of the week.

Forecast Period: 05.30.20 through 06.06.20

Cool, Canadian high pressure will dominate our weekend weather, continuing into early parts of next week. Enjoy the refreshing air while we have it as an upper ridge will expand east, providing a return of warm to hot and muggy weather by the 2nd half of the forecast period. This transition will also be met with the opportunity of “ridge riding” thunderstorm clusters into the Ohio Valley by mid to late week. These clusters will potentially deliver severe wind and heavy rain and the overall threat will certainly warrant our attention as we move through the next couple of days.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-8/

Weekly #AGwx And #Severe Outlook…

Weekly Highlights:

I. Summer-like pattern arrives for most just in time for the unofficial start to summer.

II. Cold front rumbles in late week with a better chance of organized storms and much cooler air for the weekend.

The upcoming 7-day period will feature above normal temperatures for a change overall. Keep in mind, the period will end cooler but warmth (and humidity) will be the headline for the majority of the week.
Overall, precipitation will run near normal levels for the period, primarily driven by “splash and dash” coverage of storms daily.
We are forecasting between 0.50” and 1” this week on a widespread basis. There will, however, be much higher amounts where slow moving storms track.

Forecast period: 05.24.20 through 05.31.20

The majority of this forecast period will feature a “rinse and repeat” forecast on a daily basis: warm to hot, humid, and daily chances of isolated to widely scattered thunder. The exception will be late week (centered on Friday) as a cold front drops in from the north. This will result in better coverage of thunderstorms along with much cooler air by next weekend (good bet lows fall into the upper 40s by next weekend). Looking ahead to early June looks to continue the “back and forth” theme as we welcome in meteorological summer.

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VIDEO: Rinse And Repeat; Warmth And Humidity On The Rise…

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