Category: Severe Weather

Weekly AG And Severe Weather Update…

Forecast period: 08.04.19 through 08.11.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near average through the forecast period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run near average before turning cooler than normal late in the period.

Severe Outlook: Organized severe weather isn’t anticipated through the forecast period.

Summary: The forecast period will start off on a quiet note, but that will begin to change by the middle of the work week. The first of a series of cold fronts will approach the region Tuesday with an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity that will continue into Wednesday with the frontal passage itself. On the heels of that FROPA, a second front will sweep into the area Thursday, continuing scattered showers and thunderstorms. High pressure is then expected to build over the Ohio Valley heading into the weekend, resulting in drier conditions.

As you’d imagine, temperatures will trend cooler behind these frontal systems late week and into the weekend. As for rainfall, widespread amounts should average between 0.40″ and 0.80″ during the Tuesday-Thursday time frame with locally heavier amounts where stronger storms track.

More a bit later with the issuance of our afternoon video package! Make it a great Sunday, friends!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/08/04/weekly-ag-and-severe-weather-update-2/

VIDEO: T-storms Increase Today; “Hint” Of Fall Later Next Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/29/video-t-storms-increase-today-hint-of-fall-later-next-week/

Weekly AG And Severe Weather Update…

Forecast period: 07.28.19 through 08.04.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run below average through the forecast period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run slightly below average through the period.

Severe Outlook: While organized severe weather isn’t anticipated through the period, a few strong storms are possible across central Indiana Monday afternoon as a cold front moves into the region.

Summary: It’s generally going to be another quiet week of weather across not only central Indiana, but a large part of the Ohio Valley. A cold front will pass early Tuesday and this will help spark scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening. Thereafter, mainly dry conditions are expected through the remainder of the week. As we look ahead to next week, that’s when things are expected to take on an increasingly “busy” regime (both with respect to cooler and wetter trends).

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/28/weekly-ag-and-severe-weather-update/

VIDEO: Big Changes On Deck; Looking Into August…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/20/video-big-changes-on-deck-looking-into-august/

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 07.21.19 through 07.28.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run below average through the forecast period.

Severe Outlook: A strong cold front will slice into the unusually hot and humid air tomorrow afternoon and likely spark an increase in overall thunderstorm coverage. A few storms may become severe with large hail and damaging winds. Otherwise, after Sunday, severe weather isn’t expected through the remainder of the forecast period.

Summary: Hang in there, friends. Today will be the last ridiculously hot and humid day before we start to note relief. Sunday will still be hot and plenty humid, but will be the start of a cooler regime that will take hold in earnest by early parts of the work week. Before that, a cold front will spark scattered to numerous thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and evening and a few of these could become strong to severe. Linger upper level energy will keep shower chances in our forecast Tuesday with the much cooler temperatures. As we look forward, the next organized chance of rain and thunderstorms will come next weekend as another cold front sweeps through the Ohio Valley along with reinforcing pleasantly cool air behind the boundary.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/20/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-7/

“Sneaky” Storms Precede Dangerous Heat…

As we prepare for the hottest air of the summer, we’ll have to remain on guard for the potential of thunderstorms impacting at least a part of the state Thursday morning.

Upper level energy will track southeast into the state late tonight and early Thursday and combine with just enough energy to allow thunderstorms that should develop during the overnight (across southern WI and northern IL) to track into western Indiana during the predawn hours. (It should be pointed out this is separate from the convection that is currently resulting in warnings across MO and IL- as of 6:20p eastern time). Thereafter, these storms are expected to rumble into central Indiana in a weakening format around the morning rush Thursday.

Upper level energy will likely result in a weakening complex of storms pushing into central IN Thursday morning.
Forecast radar at 8a Thursday.

Thereafter, the big story will be the high heat and humidity that will lead to truly dangerous conditions across central Indiana beginning tomorrow afternoon into Sunday. Heat indices will top out between 100-105 each afternoon and in some cases a few degrees higher. It’ll be important to build in frequent breaks inside and drink plenty of water. Most, if not all, neighborhoods can expect to remain rain-free through the first half of the weekend (after we deal with our Thursday morning storms).

Thankfully, we still are forecasting a “game changer” of a cold front to plow through the region late Sunday and early Monday with storms (a few could be severe) followed by a much cooler and more refreshing air mass next week.

This is likely the first of a couple of cold fronts that will pass through the region between now and the end of the month, ensuring we wrap up July seasonal to cooler than average.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/17/sneaky-storms-precede-dangerous-heat/

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 07.14.19 through 07.21.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near to slightly above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run well above average by the end of the period.

Severe Outlook: While widespread, organized severe weather isn’t expected through the forecast period, a couple isolated strong to severe cells are possible this afternoon (large hail is the primary concern, along with downburst wind potential). Additionally, we’ll also keep an eye on the threat of thunderstorm complexes riding southeast through the state late in the period- towards next weekend.

Summary: The story early in the forecast period will be Barry’s remnant moisture moving north and northeast across the Ohio Valley early in the work week. While we’re not expecting excessive rain across central Indiana, rain chances will be on the increase Monday through Wednesday. Thereafter, heat and humidity will be the story as a ridge of high pressure expands over the region. Dangerous heat and humidity is in store, including highs in the middle 90s and lows of 75-80 degrees into next weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/14/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-6/

VIDEO: Strong Storm Threat NW Tomorrow; Where Will Soon-To-Be Barry’s Remnants Track Next Week?

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/09/video-strong-storm-threat-nw-tomorrow-where-will-soon-to-be-barrys-remnants-track-next-week/

VIDEO: #AGwx And Severe Weather Update- What Role Will Soon-To-Be Barry Play Down The Road?

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/08/video-agwx-and-severe-weather-update-what-role-will-soon-to-be-barry-play-down-the-road/

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 07.01.19 through 07.08.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run above average through the period.

Severe Outlook: A ‘Marginal’ risk of severe weather is hoisted from the Storm Prediction Center for Wednesday, July 3rd. Otherwise, widespread organized severe weather isn’t anticipated.

Summary: A “rinse and repeat” pattern will spell daily chances of showers and thunderstorms along with an overall continuation of our hot and humid pattern from last week. Coverage of thunderstorms will likely be greatest Tuesday afternoon and evening, Wednesday afternoon and evening, and Friday evening into Saturday morning. Widespread rainfall amounts through the period should top out between 1″ and 1.5″, but there will be locally heavier amounts where stronger storms track. (A wholesale pattern change back to much cooler conditions is still on deck just past this forecast period).

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/07/01/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-5/

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