Category: Severe Weather
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Windy
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May 20, 2014
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The daytime hours into the evening will be very pleasant today- mostly sunny to partly cloudy, warm, and breezy! A windy warm-up is underway as temperatures are running 17 degrees warmer than 8 o’clock Monday morning. Highs both today and Wednesday will approach 80. We’re eyeing a couple rounds of thunderstorms in our future- late tonight/ early Wednesday and then again Wednesday afternoon. That said, we caution bust potential is high and while a slight risk of severe weather is up for the region for both potential thunderstorm complexes, conditions are far from a “lock.” We’re confident portions of the Ohio Valley will deal with a couple rounds of severe thunderstorms, but there’s the chance the first wave of severe weather is across far eastern portions of the state and targeting more of Ohio and there’s also the chance that round two Wednesday is mostly across downstate Indiana. We’ll keep an eye on things and update later this evening. Regardless, large hail and damaging winds will be of greatest concern. Stay tuned for further updates this evening. Rainfall potential is around half an inch tonight through Wednesday, with locally heavier downpours. As we move forward, we’re very confident on a glorious late week stretch and Memorial Day weekend- lots of sunshine and very pleasant temperatures! A warm front will introduce a chance of an afternoon thunderstorm Monday afternoon, along with a much hotter, more humid feel.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/eyeing-storms-wednesday-beauty-of-a-weekend-on-deck/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, NAM Model, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Videos
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May 13, 2014
Note how dramatic of a temperature shift is occurring to our west- temperatures are down more than 30 degrees from this same time last night.

That cool air will filter into our region tonight and Wednesday. As a matter of fact, we still think Thursday has the potential to remain in the 40s for the better part of the day. The video below has more details on this and a look ahead to continued rainy times.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/tuesday-evening-video-brief-the-cool-down-is-on/
It’s a warm and muggy evening across central Indiana and showers and thunderstorms are in your forecast. More on this and the long advertised BIG cool down looming inside the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/monday-evening-video-update/
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The new work week will feature a very stormy and unsettled weather pattern. While everyone won’t get wet today, we do note the likely chance of afternoon thunderstorms bubbling up during the heating of the day. Like Sunday, any of these storms could feature torrential rain and could quickly pulse to severe levels. More widespread rain chances will arrive Tuesday into Wednesday in direct association with a cold front. The long advertised cooler pattern will arrive behind this front and set up an unseasonably cool time of things to close out the second half of the week and head on into the weekend. Rainfall totals this week will average an additional 1.25″ to 1.50″ with locally higher totals. As for temperatures, we’ll go from well above seasonal levels today (8-10 deg. above normal) to well below seasonal levels by mid week (20 deg. below normal).

Forecast radar at 2:00p today, via the short-term high resolution HRRR forecast model.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unsettled-and-stormy-turning-much-cooler/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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May 8, 2014
Posts this weekend will be a bit “off schedule” as I celebrate my brother’s graduation. That said, posts will hit the site over the weekend and we’ll also keep you updated on our Twitter feed- @indywx. A busy time of things lies ahead and a very active weather pattern will carry us into this time next week. Let’s get into some of the details!
1.) (2) rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be likely Friday. Weakening showers and embedded thunder will dissipate moving into central Indiana Friday morning. That said, depending on the amount of clearing that takes place behind the first wave of showers and storms will go a long way into determining the severity of round two Friday evening. The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) continues to highlight our area for a Slight Risk of severe weather (primary threats are large hail and damaging straight line winds) Friday evening. We also note the latest high resolution NAM simulated radar shows potential strong to severe thunderstorms moving in tomorrow evening.

2.) A second heavy rain and storm maker will arrive early next week. The Gulf of Mexico is open for business and suggests some locally heavy downpours are a good bet with both storms. This isn’t bad news as it’s been dry as of late. We’re now on day 9 without measurable precipitation and that will be changing in a big way over the upcoming 7 day period. Widespread 2″-2.5″ rains are a good bet over the upcoming week, including some locally heavier totals.

The detailed video discussion below covers more on the severe chances, heavy rain threat, and a much cooler pattern ahead!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/smorgasbord-of-weather/