Weekly AG And Severe Weather Update…

Forecast period: 08.12.19 through 08.19.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near average through the forecast period.

7-Day Temperatures: Temperatures are expected to run near seasonal levels through the period.

Severe Outlook: Severe weather is expected across central Indiana as we open the work week. All modes of severe weather are possible including large hail, damaging winds, and a couple of tornadoes.

Summary: The forecast period will open up on an active note as a rather potent surface wave scoots across the southern Great Lakes region. A complex of thunderstorms is expected to organize across IA and IL Monday afternoon before pushing east southeast Monday evening. Accordingly, chances of strong to severe thunderstorms along with locally heavy rain will be on the increase Monday evening into very early Tuesday across central Indiana, including Indianapolis. Several favorable ingredients are coming together to produce the threat of severe weather, including large hail, damaging wind, and potentially a couple of tornadoes. On average, between 0.50″ and 1″ of rain is expected with this system, however, if thunderstorms “train” over the same communities tomorrow night, amounts will be much higher in localized areas.

Thereafter, weather conditions will quiet down as we move into the middle and latter portions of the work week. While heat and humidity will build to our southwest, immediate central Indiana shouldn’t have to deal with much in the way of excessive heat/ humidity through the forecast period with seasonal temperatures expected around our part of the state much of the week.

Severe Potential East Thursday; Great Weekend On Deck, And Looking Ahead To Next Week…

Needed moisture missed much of immediate central Indiana Tuesday. Areas south of the city picked up some locally heavy downpours, but the early morning diminishing convection to our northwest helped stabilize things just enough to prevent storms from redeveloping locally.

There will be another opportunity for getting some needed rain Thursday, but we caution coverage, yet again, will likely be of the “hit and miss” variety. Given some of the ingredients, a couple of severe cells will be possible ahead of the frontal boundary Thursday afternoon. Best chances of being impacted by a storm Thursday will be across east-central Indiana as a line of storms across Ohio “tails back” into Indiana. Accordingly, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) does include this part of the state in a Slight Risk of severe weather Thursday.

Primary concerns for any stronger thunderstorm that develops will be large hail and straight line winds.

As we look ahead to the weekend, sprawling high pressure is still expected to move overhead and produce plentiful sunshine, low humidity (you’ll notice a big drop in moisture levels Thursday afternoon to Friday morning), and very pleasant temperatures.

Our next chance of rain and storms will arrive Monday into Tuesday.

More a bit later with the issuance of our Wednesday evening video update! Enjoy your Wednesday!