Weekly AG And Severe Weather Update…

Forecast period: 08.18.19 through 08.25.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near average through the forecast period. We’re forecasting widespread 0.50″ to 1″ amounts to be common across central Indiana, but there will be locally heavier amounts where strong storms track.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run near average through the forecast period- balanced by a warmer than normal open to the period and cooler than average close.

Severe Weather Outlook: An active weather pattern will remain with us through the 1st half of the new week. In addition to the threat of severe weather today, we’re also closely monitoring the potential of strong to severe storms Tuesday night-Wednesday as a cold front slices into the hot and humid air mass in place. The pattern will turn much calmer once we get to the 2nd half of the week as cooler, drier air builds in.

Day 1: After a quiet start to our Sunday, a line of thunderstorms is expected to form to our northwest this afternoon. That line should move southeast and begin to impact central Indiana late afternoon into the early evening hours. Some of the stronger cells will promote the chance of large hail and damaging straight line winds.

Day 3: Scattered thunderstorms will remain in the forecast Monday, but widespread severe weather isn’t anticipated. As we look ahead, a cold front will slice into the hot and humid air mass in place across the Ohio Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday. As you might expect, the clash of air masses between significantly cooler and drier air behind the boundary will lead to scattered to numerous storms during the transition. Accordingly, we’ll need to remain on guard for the threat of additional severe weather (threats similar to that of today) during that time frame before much quieter, calmer weather takes over Wednesday night into next weekend.

VIDEO: Severe Weather Event Tonight; A Lot Of “Noise” With Regard To The Late August Pattern…

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Storm Chances Increase Tonight…

A few showers are on the radar this morning, but it’s late tonight through very early Tuesday morning that has our attention for the possibility of severe weather.

The Storm Prediction Center continues to include a large chunk of the state in a Slight Risk of severe weather.


Storms are expected to initiate across eastern Iowa and northwestern Illinois late evening (between 6p and 8p) before rumbling east southeast.

Given the ingredients in place, all modes of severe weather are possible into the overnight, but it’s the potential of damaging straight line winds that is the greatest by the time the storms make it into central Indiana. (Targeting an arrival between 1a and 3a).

We’ll have a video posted early this evening with some of our latest thoughts and most updated high resolution guidance. As things stand now, we’d encourage you to make sure you have a means of getting the latest severe weather headlines that may come later tonight. It’ll be important to set your weather radio alerts to “on” as it’s most likely the storms will arrive when the majority of folks are sleeping.

Much more later this evening!