Tracking Two Fronts This Week…

It’s a quiet and cool start to the work week across central Indiana.  In fact, a couple upper 40s are showing up on the morning station plots.  It’s getting to be that time of the year…  (Feel free to click on the image to enlarge).

screen-shot-2016-09-12-at-7-35-53-amTemperatures are running slightly below average, locally, with cooler anomalies across the Northeast.

screen-shot-2016-09-12-at-7-37-20-amHigh pressure will remain entrenched over our region today and supply dry conditions and pleasant humidity levels.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_1Our next storm system will push in Wednesday and as the cold front sags south through the state, it will spark scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_10Reinforcing cool air will move in behind the front for a couple days.  Lows in the lower-middle 50s with highs in the upper 70s.

3As we flip the page to the weekend, it still looks rather damp Saturday as another boundary moves in.  This will have more moisture to work with when compared to Wednesday and rain coverage will be more widespread.  As a whole, (7) day rainfall totals should be in the 0.50″-1.00″ range for most.

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Warmth Next Week Gives Way To A Cool Mid Month…

The refreshingly cool couple days we’ve recently enjoyed will begin to give way to moderating temperatures today.  Humidity levels will remain pleasant and it’ll be a great Labor Day weekend to spend time outdoors.  Highs will top out around 80 today and into the middle 80s Sunday.  Labor Day will feature the mercury climbing closer to the 90 degree mark.  – Fitting, I suppose, for the unofficial end to summer.

Humidity levels will be on the uptick come Monday evening and Tuesday as Gulf moisture is transported northward.

GulfMoistureIt’ll be a downright hot week, as well.  Temperatures will top out around 90 through the end of the short work week.

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_4As we rumble into next weekend and the following week indications continue to point towards wetter and cooler times.

After a dry week ahead, rain and storms will come with that increased humidity next weekend.

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_7Early numbers off the press suggest 1″-2″ rains possible next weekend.

The increased rain and storm chances signal another shift in the pattern towards a cooler one just beyond the Day 10 period.  From experience, I would look for this trough around mid month to trend deeper (more significant) as time draws closer.

gfs-ens_z500a_us_47It’s possible the first push of widespread 40s loom around the middle of the month.  Time will tell…

Hot Weather Returns…

Screen Shot 2016-09-02 at 7.24.49 AMHighlights:

  • Sun-filled days
  • Turning hot
  • Storm chances return by mid week

Refreshing Temperatures (For Now)…High pressure and a dry northeast flow will continue to support refreshing conditions across the region.  Plentiful sunshine along with low humidity values will create ideal weather to spend time outdoors as we go into the long Labor Day weekend.  Perhaps a bonfire is in order this evening?

Eventually, our air flow will back around to the southwest and this will allow a much warmer and increasingly humid air mass to return.  Sunday will be noticeably hotter, but the true push of humidity will arrive Labor Day into Tuesday.  It’ll, officially, feel “oppressive” by mid week.  That increased moisture will also help ignite scattered storm chances Wednesday into Thursday.

Looking just beyond the (7) day period shows the potential of a cooler period building back in next weekend…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″

Refreshing Times Ahead…

Screen Shot 2016-08-31 at 7.16.54 AMHighlights:

  • Scattered afternoon storms
  • Turning much drier and cooler tonight
  • Refreshing into the weekend

Cold Front Inbound…We’re getting to that time of the year where cold fronts will begin to pack more and more of a punch, offering up increasingly cool to, eventually, cold air…  An early fall-like front will surge south this evening.  Ahead of the boundary, scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into the evening- particularly from central into southern portions of the state.  Storms will be moving relatively quickly this evening so flash flood concerns are limited.

Behind the front, much drier and cooler air will ooze into the region tonight and set us up for an absolutely delightful few days of weather, complete with dry skies and low humidity.  Temperatures into the upper 40s wouldn’t surprise us Saturday morning for outlying communities.

Eventually the heat will return from Labor Day into most of next week.  As moisture surges north, scattered storm chances will also return to our forecast by Tuesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″