Category Archives: Rain

Scattered Storm Chances Return…

Highlights:

  • Scattered t-storm chances return
  • Mostly dry, pleasant weekend
  • Rain chances return early next week

Frontal Boundary Moves In Friday…Another sunny, pleasant late-summer day is on tap before a cold front approaches late tonight. This frontal boundary will be responsible for creating scattered thunderstorms Friday across central IN.  Current indications suggest rain won’t be widespread or particularly heavy, but don’t be surprised by a local downpour or two as we wrap up the work week.

Dry and pleasant weather will return over the weekend, complete with plentiful sunshine.  Our next storm system approaches Sunday night into Monday with the potential of more widespread rain.  With that said, there’s considerable model disagreement with regard to overall rain coverage and amounts Monday (European is the most aggressive with widespread rain).  We’ll go with a blend of the two for now (scattered thunderstorm chances) and hope for better agreement later today.  We’ll provide updates after taking a good look at 12z data.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Considerable Cloudiness To Open The Work Week…

Highlights:

  • Mostly cloudy start to the work week
  • Another cold front moves in
  • Turning cooler late in the weekend

Comfortable Late-Summer Week Ahead…Talk about a bust of a Sunday forecast on our part.  Dry air and lack of forcing resulted in steady rains remaining across southern parts of the state.  With the exception of a couple of brief showers, central and northern portions of the state remained dry most of the day.

While we’ll remain with mostly cloudy skies today, most of the region will once again remain free of any rain.  The exception will be across southeastern Indiana where steady rains have been falling this morning.  That will continue to move east into Ohio as we push forward.  Otherwise, drier air will arrive tonight and set the stage for increasing sunshine Tuesday and Wednesday.  With low humidity and below normal temperatures, both days will be great to spend time outdoors, or perhaps a trip to the Indiana State Fair is in order?

Moisture will begin to return by Thursday and with an approaching cold front, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be with us through the weekend.  As of now, most widespread storm coverage is expected late Saturday into Sunday morning.  We’ll turn significantly cooler than normal (yet again) early next week.

Tropics:  As expected in August into September, the tropics are turning increasingly active.  This morning, Tropical Storm Franklin continues to grab headlines as he is becoming more organized and positioned to impact the Yucatan today through Wednesday.  From there, Franklin is anticipated to move into the southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday.  With very warm waters and a low shear environment, Franklin should strengthen yet again before making a second landfall late in the work week along the east-central Mexican coast.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Wet, Chilly Second Half Of The Weekend…

We’ve still got time to soak up this superb Saturday weather, but clouds will continue to increase from now through sunset- eventually lowering and thickening tonight.  Temperatures have moderated under the early August sun from the crisp start in the lower 50s for most, but we’re still around 10° below average this afternoon.

Sunday will feature rather damp and unseasonably cool conditions.  The day will start dry (going to take a little while to moisten up the air mass), but showers will arrive on the scene mid-to-late morning.

As we progress into the afternoon and evening hours, showers will expand in coverage and intensity to more of a widespread, uniform type rain event.  A good ole-fashioned soaking appears to be in the works Sunday afternoon-evening.

When you factor in an already established unseasonably cool pattern with our approaching rain event then you have the makings for another early October-like feel Sunday that will feature temperatures struggling to make it out of the 60s for highs.

By the time the rain comes to an end Monday morning we think most central IN gauges can expect to pick up 0.75″ – 1″ of rain, but there will be locally heavier amounts under any thunderstorm that develops.  Drier weather will return Monday afternoon and continue through the middle of next week.

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No Comments Autumn, Forecast Discussion, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather