Category: Rain

Apr 03

Topsy-Turvy Forecast…

Highlights:

  • Strong-severe thunderstorm potential Wednesday
  • Turning colder to close the week with snow showers
  • Beautiful weekend ahead

Changeable Weather…The region will be in between storm systems Tuesday.  We think clouds will hang tough and the storms from overnight will move off to the east.  In place, scattered showers will dot the north-central Indiana landscape especially through the morning hours.

A new storm system will take aim on the region Wednesday and strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible.  Many questions remain in regards to instability, but shear will be plentiful and we’ll have to keep a close eye on future developments over the next 24-36 hours.  Stay tuned.  From this distance, conditions seem favorable for super cells to develop especially across southern Indiana.  We’ll transition from storms to more of a wintry-like feel Thursday and Friday and continue to think the air will grow cold enough to support mention of wet snowflakes mixing with the rain by Thursday evening into Friday morning.

As we flip the page into the weekend, high pressure will build into the Ohio Valley and support increasingly sunny conditions.  After a cold and frosty start Saturday morning, temperatures will rebound nicely under that strong early-April sunshine.

Our next storm system won’t begin to impact the region until Sunday afternoon (increasing southwest winds) and Monday (scattered showers and thunderstorms).

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 2.00″ – 2.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/topsy-turvy-forecast/

Apr 03

Monday Morning Rambles…

1.)  Showers moved through the region early this morning and we’ll go through several dry hours before dealing with our next round of rain and thunderstorms by evening.  Most widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms appears to come in the 5p-7p range.

2.)  We’ll get a breather on Tuesday, but our next storm system will move in quickly and begin impacting central Indiana during the day Wednesday.  A couple strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Wednesday and will require our attention over the next day, or so.  We’ll have more details with our updated 7-day later today.

3.)  We’ll get into the colder side of the storm to close the work week and thoughts will shift from storms to snow.  Wind-whipped snow showers will be a good bet in the unseasonably cold air Thursday into Friday morning.

4.)  Timing will once again be our friend as we push into the weekend.  Weak high pressure will arrive on the scene and help ensure dry conditions.  After a cold start Saturday, a moderating trend will develop.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/monday-morning-rambles-3/

Apr 02

Active Week Of Weather Ends Wintry…

Highlights:

  • Pleasant close to the weekend
  • Rainy open to the work week
  • Turning colder with rain and snow late week

Sunshine Gives Way To Rain…The weekend will end on a pleasant note as weak high pressure provides a variably cloudy sky today.  That early-April sunshine will help temperatures top out in the lower 60s this afternoon.

Clouds will increase tonight and showers will develop during the overnight period.  We’ll add a little instability to the mix by afternoon and introduce thunderstorms into the forecast Monday afternoon and evening.  This storm system will then exit just as quickly as it arrives Monday night and help set up a pleasant Tuesday.

Eyes will then shift to a stronger storm system that will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms Wednesday, with locally heavy rain a good bet.  As the storm wraps up over the Great Lakes region late week, colder air will spill into the state on gusty northwesterly winds.  Backlash, wind-whipped, rain showers will transition to wet snow showers Thursday into Friday as colder air settles in.  The good news here is that the weekend will get off to a nice start…after a cold beginning Saturday morning.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 2.00″ 2.50″ with locally heavier totals

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/active-week-of-weather-ends-wintry/

Mar 31

Active Times In The Forecast Office…

Highlights:

  • Wet, chilly close to the work week
  • Dry weekend
  • Couple storms and turning colder late next week

Busy Weather Pattern Continues…An area of low pressure is swirling overhead this morning and will help promote periods of showers into the early afternoon before drier air begins to push in.  Perhaps the bigger story will be falling daytime temperatures.  By the evening rush, most neighborhoods should be deep into the 40s with a gusty northerly breeze at times.

We still forecast a dry weekend as high pressure builds in.  Early fog and clouds will be slow to give way to sunshine Saturday, but by afternoon and evening we should see some breaks in the cloud cover.  We’ll label Saturday as “mostly cloudy” before more in the way of sunshine works in for the second half of the weekend.

The dry times won’t last, unfortunately, and another storm system promises showers and thunderstorms as early as Monday.  This will then be followed by a bigger storm the middle of the week that will, once again, lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms.  The other point we want to drive home for late next week will be an increasingly chilly regime.  Temperatures will fall Thursday and even though it’s beyond the current forecast period, sub-freezing lows are a good bet next weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 2.00″ – 2.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/active-times-in-the-forecast-office/

Mar 30

Thursday Morning Rambles…

1.)  Morning showers and thunderstorms continue to impact north-central Indiana this morning and given the look to downstream trends on radar and satellite, it would seem like it’s going to be tough to get into any sort of significant sunshine this afternoon. This is great news as it’ll limit severe potential.  That said, we still can’t rule out a severe thunderstorm this evening with large hail and damaging straight line winds of greatest concern.  The updated (9a eastern) outlook from the Storm Prediction Center continues the “enhanced risk” for the southern half of Indiana.

2.)  We bracket the hours of 2p-8p (couple hours earlier from yesterday’s thinking) as the period of potential most widespread strong to severe thunderstorms across central Indiana, and the HRRR forecast radar shows what the radar may look like this evening. Have a means of getting the latest warnings.

3.)  Scattered showers will continue into Friday morning before drier air arrives during the evening hours.

4.)  This drier trend Friday PM is one that will continue into the weekend.  High pressure will supply mostly dry weather through the entire weekend (small shower chances return Sunday evening), including sunshine.

5.)  Another active period of weather awaits next week, including multiple rain chances early and late week.  The latter storm looks to be the bigger event with heavy rain and thunderstorm potential Wednesday into Thursday.  7-day rain numbers check in between 1.5″-2″ with locally heavier amounts.

6.)  The story becomes a chilly one next weekend, and models suggest central Indiana may be dealing with frost and freeze conditions by next Saturday or Sunday morning.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/thursday-morning-rambles-2/