Monday Evening Rambles: Looking Towards October….

Irma: Irma’s remnants will begin to impact the state Tuesday. We noticed an increasing mid and high level cloud deck today and moisture will spread north to encompass southern Indiana…

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Chamber Of Commerce Weather…

Highlights:

  • Plentiful sunshine
  • Unseasonably cool
  • Watching Irma

High Pressure Dominates…There’s no reason to get “wordy” with the short-term forecast, as high pressure will dominate our region.  This will result in plentiful sunshine, low humidity, and unseasonably cool, refreshing temperatures.  Find time to spend the weekend outside!

All eyes will most certainly be on dangerous Hurricane Irma as she begins to impact the Florida peninsula as early as Saturday.  Our thoughts and prayers are with all in Irma’s path, including interior portions of the southeast that will also deal with hurricane conditions late in the weekend into early next week.  Here on the home front, we still only expect minimal impacts from Irma.  We’ll notice an increasingly gusty easterly breeze late Monday into Tuesday.  Additionally, showers are possible (especially across the southern half of the state) Tuesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″

All Eyes On Irma…

Highlights:

  • Unseasonably cool weather continues
  • All eyes on Irma
  • Impacts TBD, locally

Unseasonably Cool; Irma Dominates Headlines…Upper level energy did, indeed, spark a couple of showers (even some small hail was reported in stronger showers) Wednesday evening.  Here at IndyWx.com HQ, we picked up a quick half inch of much needed rainfall!  While a couple of showers are possible once again this afternoon, these will be primarily confined to northern portions of the state.  Otherwise, the balance of the upcoming forecast period is easy through the weekend: dry with reinforcing cool air arriving over the weekend.

Hurricane Irma will continue to dominate the headlines and will require our focus, locally, for potential impacts early next week.  While we’ve built rain into our forecast Tuesday into Wednesday, it’s crucial to note this is an incredibly tough forecast and will require a great deal of fine tuning as we move forward.  With that said, a blend of latest data and upper air analysis does suggest portions of the region (particularly eastern areas of the state) do stand a chance to get in on the action of Irma’s remnants Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday morning.  Otherwise, breezy easterly winds are expected for the entire region beginning Monday evening.  Stay tuned as we continue to analyze things.  Thoughts and prayers are certainly with residents and family along the Southeast coast from southern FL to the Carolinas, including the southern Appalachian region.  Speaking of, it should be noted Irma’s impacts will stretch well inland.  Irma is forecast to remain a major hurricane wherever she comes ashore (window of opportunity for landfall up from the southern tip of FL all the way up to the Carolina coastline) and her forward speed into the southern Appalachians will combine with the rugged terrain and high elevations to create significant problems inland given the most up-to-date forecast track.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.50″ – 1.00″ (highly dependent on where Irma’s remnants track)