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Category: Rain
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-hot-humid-weather-gives-way-to-better-storm-chances/
Jun 11
Model Data Remains Consistent On A More Active Pattern Returning…
Today’s 12z model suite is in and it remains consistent on a more active weather pattern returning to the delight of many Hoosiers! A blend of the GFS and European 10-day rainfall numbers print out 2″ for Indianapolis. The GFS ensemble ‘mean’ (a blend of 21 individual members) agrees.
Best overall coverage of showers and thunderstorms should come in (3) waves over the upcoming 10-day period:
- Wednesday into Thursday
- Saturday into Sunday
- Middle parts of the following week
While we don’t see any sort of uniform type rains in the upcoming period, the “smattering” of storms should help most neighborhoods get in on the rainy “goods” at one time or another over the upcoming week and a half. Keep in mind, we’re in mid-June now and it’s mighty difficult to ask for anything much more than scattered storms this time of year on through late-summer…unless a tropical entity gets involved. That’s just the way this time of year is. With that said, localized torrential downpours are a very good bet from time to time, beginning as early as mid-week, as precipitable water values approach, or exceed, 2″ (about as moisture-rich as you can ask the air mass to get around these parts) into the upcoming weekend.
As I type this outside on the back porch this evening, I hear the sounds of sprinklers in full-force through the ‘hood. Thankfully, Mother Nature will help save on the water bill later this week. Longer-term, you’ll hear us use the word “transient” many times this summer when discussing the overall weather pattern. Thankfully that tends to result in a fairly busy time of things. Before you know it, college football season will be back (83 days until my beloved Auburn Tigers kick-off), those wetter autumn storms will return, and thoughts will begin to shift to winter (they may have already started here :-))- not that we’re trying to rush summer away or anything…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/model-data-remains-consistent-on-a-more-active-pattern-returning/
Jun 10
Developing Hot Pattern Doesn’t Last; Cooler And Wetter Times Loom…
Through the short-term, there are two words that will sum up Indiana’s weather: Dry and Hot. We’re entering a stretch where the overall weather pattern will promote an expanding hot dome in the coming days, and put many communities across the state solidly in position to break the 90° mark on multiple days.
Expanding upper ridge means hot times loom late weekend into early next week.
However, this increasingly hot and dry pattern will be a transient one. This morning’s European model shows the evolution to cooler and increasingly wet, unsettled times nicely as we progress into the 6-10 day period.
The GFS ensemble would also agree in the overall pattern shift back to cooler and unsettled conditions as early as mid-late next week.
The 10-day GEFS ‘mean’ is a beautiful sight as moisture returns.
Updated 7-day out later this afternoon! Enjoy a beautiful Saturday, friends!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/developing-hot-pattern-doesnt-last-cooler-and-wetter-times-loom/
Jun 07
Another Pleasant Day Then It’s Time To Sweat…
Highlights:
- Another pleasant day ahead!
- Dry weather continues.
- The heat is on!
Dry Weather Continues; Summer Feel Develops…We’ll enjoy one more very pleasant and refreshing day Thursday, including plentiful sunshine, low humidity, and below normal temperatures. Many central Indiana neighborhoods will begin the day in the mid to upper 40s away from the city. Enjoy the pleasant weather while we’ve got it!
As we progress into the weekend, temperatures and humidity will begin to increase. By this time next week, overnight lows will be closer to today’s official (IND) high of 72°. One word: YUCK.
A couple of showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon, but most, if not all, of these look to remain confined to the northern third of the state. That’s the only chance of moisture until we rumble into the middle of next week. In addition to the continued bone dry conditions, unseasonably hot weather will build in over the Mid West and result in highs of 90°, or higher, Sunday into early next week.
Looking into the longer range, a more active and increasingly wet regime looks to return just past mid-month. While the early season heat and dry weather will be significant, thankfully it doesn’t look like it’ll last…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/another-pleasant-day-then-its-time-to-sweat/
Jun 06
VIDEO: Pleasant Weather Gives Way To Weekend Heat…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-pleasant-weather-gives-way-to-weekend-heat/