Category: Rain

VIDEO: Negative NAO’s Chilly Early April Impacts…

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VIDEO: Nice Today; Messy Friday Night & Accumulating Snow For Some Early Next Week…

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Only The Messenger…

While we continue to believe more of a wholesale pattern change awaits early-mid April, we still have a long way to go before we can shake the overall wintry pattern.  When the pattern does flip, the potential is certainly there (as alluded to last weekend) for a rather “turbulent” time, including an uptick on the severe front.

Before we get to April, we still have a prolonged period of overall colder than normal conditions to deal with.  We don’t have any changes to the idea the northern Plains are ground-zero for coldest anomalies, but, it’ll also be plenty chilly, locally, as well.

A couple of storm systems continue to have our attention over the upcoming week:

Potential of freezing rain, especially across the northern half and northeastern parts of the state Friday night into the morning hours Saturday.

Secondly, rain arriving on the scene Monday that will transition to wet snow Tuesday into Wednesday morning, as illustrated by the European model below.

From this distance, neither storms seem to be a “big deal” for central Indiana.  However, we know March storms can “surprise.”  Just ask our friends across KY earlier this week.  🙂  Spring warmth attacking south of systems combined with unusually cold air, associated with the blocking, just to our north can lead to all sorts of fun and models may have to play catch up last minute in some areas.  At the very least, we recommend keeping an eye on the forecast over the next week, or so.

On a more positive note, it still looks like we’ll enjoy plentiful sunshine tomorrow and after a raw, damp start to our St. Patrick’s Day, drier times should win out Saturday afternoon into Sunday.

Much more later!

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VIDEO: Wintry Open To The Week; Cold Hangs Through Late March…

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Week Ahead: Cold Open Gives Way To Warmer Air In Time For St. Patrick’s Day…

A storm system will gather strength to our south as we progress through the day and into the night.  While central Indiana won’t experience significant impacts from this storm, we’ll indirectly deal with this system with considerable cloudiness and a chilly easterly breeze today.

Our friends to our south (KY and the higher elevations of the southern Appalachians) can expect accumulating snow.  The east TN and western NC mountains will accumulate over 6″ above 5,000 feet late tonight through Monday morning.

The region will be under the grips of a cold northerly flow through the first half of the work week.  Embedded within that air flow will be a couple of upper level disturbances that will drop into the Ohio Valley.  These impulses of energy will help kick off snow showers and localized heavier squalls at times Monday through Wednesday.  Some localized accumulations of a dusting to 1″ will be possible.

High pressure will gain control of our weather Thursday and this will include the start of a nice moderating trend for the second half of the week, including the St. Patrick’s Day weekend.  With full sunshine Thursday, along with WAA (warm air advection) kicking in, we think highs will top out much warmer than the majority of current guidance suggests.  We’ll go with widespread mid to upper 50s Thursday.

Unfortunately, we’ll add more clouds and showers next weekend.  Wet weather will build in Friday and we can’t rule out shower chances Saturday, as well.  Temperatures will warm well into the 60s by St. Patrick’s Day!

In general, we expect 0.25″ to 0.50″ across central IN with showers in the Friday-Saturday time period.

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