High pressure will build overhead and allow increasing sunshine through midweek. Enjoy that Vitamin D while you can, as a wet pattern emerges for the Easter weekend and into early next week. Multiple rounds of heavy rain may eventually lead to a flood risk by early next week.
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Updated 03.26.24 @ 7:30a Wind is the story this morning, and that will continue through the afternoon and evening. A “big hair warning” is in effect today. đ A bit…
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Updated 03.25.24 @ 7:25a While the work week will open on a quiet note today, we’ll really notice an uptick in winds by afternoon and these will only continue to…
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While a period of unsettled weather looms late Monday and Tuesday, the majority of the upcoming week will feature quiet conditions across our neck of the woods. We’re watching Tuesday afternoon for the potential of severe weather across the state.
The ‘mean’ trough will settle into the western CONUS and that’s where the coldest anomalies will setup shop.
Forecast period: 03.24.24 – 03.31.24
We’ll close the weekend with quiet conditions in place. Anticipate gusty winds to kick up Monday as our next storm system approaches from the west. This will also deliver a few showers Monday night before heavier rain and embedded thunder arrives Tuesday predawn. An additional round of thunderstorms is expected Tuesday afternoon and a few of these could become strong to severe (damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern, but an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out).
A cold front will sweep east and end the rain/ storm threat Tuesday night with calmer weather returning for mid and late week. The next chance of rain will arrive next weekend. Speaking of next weekend, though early, model guidance is suggestive that we may be looking at a heavy rain event around the time that we close out March and open April. Just something we’ll be keeping an eye on in the days ahead.
The âmeanâ trough position will take up shop across the western portion of the country over the upcoming week before shifting into the East in the 10-15 day period. We reiterate while the balance of the upcoming 2 weeks will run cooler than normal, we donât see anything significantly colder than normal on the horizon and also plenty of transitional warmth ahead of approaching storms.
Note how the trough shifts east late in the period.
Back to the immediate term, weâll only see a few light showers later this afternoon (trace to 0.10â). Greatest coverage should arrive after lunch, continuing into mid-afternoon. Again, âlightâ is the key word.
Colder air arrives for the weekend, itself. We can expect mid to upper 20s both Saturday and Sunday morning.
A new, stronger, storm will blow into town with more in the way of widespread heavier rain and thunder Monday night into the day Tuesday.
Another system will follow late week and next weekend.
1â to 2â is a good bet across the greater region by next Sunday. (The bulk of this falls with our Monday night and Tuesday system).