Category Archives: Long Range Discussion

Merry Christmas Eve: “Complicated” And “Complex” Sums Up Things As We Close The Year And Open 2026…

Updated 12.24.25 @ 10:42a First and foremost, from our home to yours, we’re wishing you a very Merry Christmas! Through the short-term, our weather will be dominated by unseasonably mild…

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No Comments AO, Arctic Cold, Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Client, EPO, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, High-latitude Blocking, Long Range Discussion, MJO, NAO, New Year's Eve/ Day, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy

Planting The Seeds For Winter’s Return?

Updated 12.22.25 @ 5p After a rip roaring start to meteorological winter (both from a snow and cold perspective), a nice respite from the wintry conditions will occur right when…

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No Comments AO, Arctic Cold, Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Client, Ensemble Discussion, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Long Range Discussion, MJO, NAO, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Rambles, WPO

LR Update: And We’ve Come To A Fork In The Road…

Updated 12.18.25 @ 6:06p

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No Comments AO, Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Client, Ensemble Discussion, EPO, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, High-latitude Blocking, JMA, Long Range Discussion, MJO, NAEFS, NAO, New Year's Eve/ Day, Rain, Severe Weather, snow, Snow Squalls, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos, Windy

Short-Term Snow And Cold Update; Fresh Pattern Thoughts On Christmas Into Early January…

Updated 12.08.25 @ 6:09p First let’s focus on the short-term cold and snow. After a windy, but briefly milder (closer to seasonal values) time of things Tuesday, reinforcing cold air…

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No Comments AO, Arctic Cold, Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Client, Ensemble Discussion, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Long Range Discussion, MJO, NAEFS, New Year's Eve/ Day, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Winter thoughts..., WPO

VIDEO: Pattern Evolution Through The Holidays And Into The New Year; Arctic Blast Next Weekend?

Updated 12.06.25 @ 9:20a Average for 12/6: 28.6°; 43.2°

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No Comments 10-day, AO, Arctic Cold, Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Client, El Niño, Ensemble Discussion, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, High-latitude Blocking, Long Range Discussion, MJO, New Year's Eve/ Day, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Videos, Windy, Wintry Mix