Category: Labor Day Weekend

Cool Now, But Summer Returns- Along With Storms…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/23/cool-now-but-summer-returns-along-with-storms/

VIDEO: Taste Of Fall Is Replaced With Resurgent Summer Heat…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/21/video-taste-of-fall-is-replaced-with-resurgent-summer-heat/

VIDEO: Hint Of Fall Blows Into Town Tonight…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/21/video-hint-of-fall-blows-into-town-tonight/

Heavy Storms For Some Tonight And Looking Ahead…

A warm front is draped across the state this evening.  At the same time, surface low pressure is spinning across north-central MO with a trailing cold front entering IL.  This evening, a warm and moist airmass continues to advect into central Indiana.

As we type this update, widely scattered thunderstorms are impacting areas from Lafayette to the northeast side of Indianapolis.  A more organized complex of thunderstorms is firing to our southwest- from south-central IL to southeastern MO and into AR.  This is ahead of the cold front.

Looking at forecast radar products, the majority of data brings a couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through central parts of the state around 9p to 10p, continuing into the overnight and predawn hours.

9p forecast radar

11p forecast radar

2a forecast radar

5a forecast radar

With high precipitable water values in place (approaching 2″ through tonight), locally heavy rain is likely with thunderstorms through the night.  We expect widespread additional rainfall tonight of 0.50″ to 1″ with locally heavier amounts.  A few embedded strong to severe storms are also possible tonight with the primary concern being damaging straight line winds and large hail, but an isolated quick spin-up tornado can’t be ruled out.  We suggest ensuring your weather radio is set with the ‘alert mode’ on tonight.

As we flip the page, a few scattered showers will remain in our forecast Tuesday PM before a much cooler and drier air mass invades Tuesday evening- continuing into Friday morning.  Several central Indiana neighborhoods will dip into the 40s Thursday and Friday mornings.

2a forecast temperatures Thursday.

Enjoy the cooler air while you’ve got it, as a developing heat wave will engulf much of the region as we close the month and open September.  Needless to say, despite the unofficial end to summer just around the corner, there’s still plenty of summer left in the tank.  This is the type pattern that can produce an extended stretch of lows around 70° and highs around 90°.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/20/heavy-storms-for-some-tonight-and-looking-ahead/

VIDEO: Stormy Monday; Hint Of Fall On The Doorstep…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/20/video-stormy-monday-hint-of-fall-on-the-doorstep/

Taste Of Early Autumn Before A Toasty Labor Day…

An early fall-like air mass will blow into town Tuesday night on the heels of a cold front and associated area of low pressure.  Most central Indiana neighborhoods will wake up to temperatures in the 50s Wednesday through Friday mornings.  A few communities may even dip into the 40s!  Afternoon highs will only top out in the mid to upper 70s with dry conditions during the period.

Get ready for a “hint” of fall for the 2nd half of the work week.

Temperatures will run well below average Wednesday and Thursday.

As we’d come to expect this time of year, the coming cool change won’t be a permanent “stick and hold” type deal.  An upper ridge will expand as we close August and open September and the result will be renewed summer warmth just in time for the Labor Day weekend. This type of pattern should promote highs at least flirting with the 90° mark and oppressive overnight lows around 70°.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/19/taste-of-early-autumn-before-a-toasty-labor-day/

Early Week Storm Delivers Strong Storms; Taste Of Early Autumn…

After we get rid of the morning fog, a mostly dry weekend is in store for central Indiana.  The potential is present for a widely scattered shower for southern and eastern areas (mainly south of the city), but most of the immediate region will remain rain-free through the weekend.

Attention is now focused on a storm system that will deliver a return of unsettled weather to open the work week, followed by a “taste” of fall for midweek:

A surface low will move out of Iowa Monday evening into the Great Lakes region Tuesday.  A trailing cold front will sweep through the state Tuesday evening.

Scattered thunderstorms will return as early as Monday afternoon, but more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity is expected Tuesday.  While not a textbook set-up for widespread severe weather by any means, enough ingredients are in place to at least raise an eyebrow for a few severe storms ahead of the cold frontal passage.  Don’t be surprised if the ‘marginal’ risk is upgraded to a ‘slight’ risk for Tuesday in future updates from the Storm Prediction Center.

Once the cold front moves through, a rather abrupt wind shift will drive a much drier and cooler air mass southeast and it’ll feel like early autumn around these parts as we progress through the second half of the work week.  Not only will the significant drop in humidity be nice, but some outlying areas away from the city will likely fall into the 40s for overnight lows Thursday and Friday mornings.  Highs will only top out in the mid to upper 70s.

Looking longer term, summer isn’t finished just yet.  Ridging will return for the Labor Day weekend and support building warmth as we put a wrap on August and open September.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/18/early-week-storm-delivers-strong-storms-taste-of-early-autumn/

VIDEO: Severe Potential Tonight, October-Like Chill, And Irma…

The Storm Prediction Center includes an Enhanced Risk of severe weather across north-central parts of the state this evening.  Damaging winds are of greatest concern with the stronger storms embedded in a squall line that will move from north to south this evening (generally between 6p-midnight).

MUCH cooler air will descend into the region as we progress through the week.  Temperatures will be so cool, it’ll feel more like October rather than September, including multiple nights with lows settling into the 40s and highs not making it out of the 60s.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/09/04/video-severe-potential-tonight-october-like-chill-and-irma/

Strong Cold Front Delivers Storms And Another Surge Of October-Like Air…

Today will be dry and pleasant and most of Labor Day, itself, will follow suit.  We’ll notice an increasingly gusty southwest wind by afternoon and this will help boost temperatures into the upper 80s Monday afternoon.

However, once to Labor Day evening, attention will shift off to our north as a line of thunderstorms approaches.  A few embedded storms within this line may reach strong-to-severe levels.  Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern with the stronger storms.  The Storm Prediction Center has included the region in a Slight Risk of severe weather Monday evening.

After a mostly dry and warm Labor Day, we’ll focus on the evening hours (bracketing 6p-10p) for storms to rumble in.  As mentioned, a couple of these could reach strong to severe levels.

6p forecast radar

8p forecast radar

9p forecast radar

10p forecast radar

Once the front blows through, our winds will shift to the northwest and help usher in a much cooler air mass.  Average highs in the upper 60s and lows in the upper 40s don’t occur until early-October.  We’ll be around 30 days ahead of schedule throughout the majority of the upcoming week, as overnight lows in the upper 40s to around 50 and highs in the upper 60s to around 70 will be common.

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/09/03/strong-cold-front-delivers-storms-and-another-surge-of-october-like-air/

Pleasant Labor Day Weekend; Another Cool Shot Next Week…

Highlights:

  • Dry Labor Day weekend
  • Cold front arrives early Tuesday
  • Another cool shot next week

Improving Skies West To East Today…The remnants of Harvey led to heavy, wind-whipped, rain across southern and southeastern portions of the state Friday.  Appropriately, today is the “transition day” towards brighter and briefly warmer times as Labor Day approaches.  We’ll notice improving sky conditions from west to east today as the remnants of Harvey continue to track east.  Today also won’t be nearly as windy as Friday.  We awoke to temperatures at mid-October levels, including many in the 40s across central Indiana this morning.  Despite the increasing sunshine, temperatures will run around 10° below average this afternoon.

A cold front will approach late Labor Day night and early Tuesday.  Sunshine will dominate Monday, but we will note an increasingly gusty SW breeze by afternoon as the cold front draws closer.  That front will slide through Tuesday and could have a scattered shower or thunderstorm with it as it passes (best chances of storms will be across the southern half of the state).  Behind the frontal boundary, another shot of well below normal air (October-like) will descend into the region.  With cold air aloft and just enough upper level energy around, widely scattered showers are possible during the afternoon hours Wednesday and Thursday.

Tropics:  Irma will dominate weather headlines during the upcoming week.  It’s far too early to know precisely where Irma will track, but folks with interests along the East Coast (from the southern FL peninsula all the way up to the north Atlantic coast) should monitor the progress of Irma closely.  In addition to the likelihood of a major hurricane, the overall size of Irma will become larger as the week progresses.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.10″ – 0.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/09/02/pleasant-labor-day-weekend-another-cool-shot-next-week/

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