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Category: Independence Day
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-gorgeous-second-half-of-the-weekend-storm-chances-return/
Jun 23
Another Active Week Ahead…
Saturday will feature unseasonably refreshing conditions as we’ll remain under the influence of an area of low pressure tracking off to our northeast. Look for considerable cloudiness today along with highs around 10° below average. Enjoy it as significant heat looms late next week.
Sunshine will increase for the second half of the weekend and highs will respond- mid 80s after a refreshing start Sunday morning.
High pressure will briefly build in and control our weather through the early part of the new week. An attempt of a thunderstorm complex to impact central Indiana Monday should be thwarted by a drier air mass in place. That said, moisture will increase Tuesday and beyond and a more active regime will return. Multiple thunderstorm complexes (some heavy) will rumble across the Ohio Valley and Mid West Tuesday through Thursday.
While it’ll certainly turn more humid through midweek, the rain and storms will keep temperatures at seasonable levels. All of that changes once to Thursday and Friday as a building ridge of high pressure expands across the Ohio Valley.
This will limit rain chances and potentially offer up the hottest air of the summer. We expect 5-6 days of low-mid 90s for highs and oppressive overnight lows in the lower to middle 70s.
Thankfully, the hot dome will retrograde west and lead to “less hot” and increasingly stormy conditions after the first week of July. An active northwest flow pattern will take hold and provide an active time of things during this period.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/another-active-week-ahead/
Jun 21
Early July Heat Wave?
While cooler and wetter conditions dominate now, thoughts are shifting ahead to the all-important 4th of July time period.
Models are in relative agreement that a sprawling upper level ridge will park itself over the Ohio Valley, leading to a higher than normal confidence for a medium to longer term forecast period.
The end result would be anomalous heat and a drier pattern, as a whole, as we transition through the early stages of July. Heat to the magnitude of what we experienced last weekend isn’t off the table with such a similar pattern.
Looking ahead, thankfully, one of our more trusted longer range computer models (JMA Weeklies), shows the pattern relaxing as we move into mid-July. The model shows the heat backing west and a more active northwest flow (wetter pattern) returning here…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/early-july-heat-wave/
Jul 03
Monday Morning Rambles…
An early look at the radar this morning shows a couple of lone storms near Decatur and Blufton. These are moving off to the east.
While we’ll maintain mention of a widely scattered thunderstorm today and Independence Day, the majority of both days will remain rain-free.
A wave of low pressure will track through the Ohio Valley Wednesday night into Thursday and this will result in an uptick in storm coverage. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible. While some localized totals could be higher, we think widespread rains of 1″-1.5″ is a good bet Wednesday night into Thursday.
High pressure will build in over the weekend and aid in a drier and cooler theme.
Lows will return to the 50s across central Indiana Sunday morning and refreshing (upper 50s at night and upper 70s to lower 80s during the day) air will remain with us into early next week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/monday-morning-rambles-4/
Jul 01
Mainly Dry Weekend; Stormy Weather Returns Next Week…
Highlights:
- Mostly dry this weekend
- Unsettled next week
- Locally heavy rain
Classic Summertime Weather…While we’ll deal with some clouds from time to time today, most of the region will remain rain-free. Best chances of seeing a passing shower will be across the southern half of the state. Sunday will feature partly cloudy and seasonable conditions. It’ll be a great day to be outdoors!
Unsettled conditions will return next week, including Independence Day. Storm coverage will be most widespread during the afternoon and evening hours in this “rinse and repeat” pattern through late week. That said, each day will offer up many more dry hours than stormy. Just have a “plan B” in mind when those passing storms arrive.
Looking ahead, we may inject a drier and slightly cooler regime next weekend…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/mainly-dry-weekend-stormy-weather-returns-next-week/