Category: Heavy Rain

May 30

Much Less Humid Weekend…

Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Warm
May 30, 2014

Fri.	Sat.	Sun.	Mon.	Tue.	Wed.	Thr.

63/ 80	57/ 80	58/ 83	69/ 82	70/ 84	62/ 80	70/ 85
– – –	– – –	– – –	Light	Light	Light	Light

After a week of that famous summer “heavy” air mass filled with plenty of warmth and humidity, Hoosiers can breathe a sigh of relief this weekend as a much more refreshing northeast flow provides greatly reduced humidity levels. Also, we’ll enjoy plenty of sunshine for your weekend! All-in-all, we’ve lucked out with yet another beauty of a weekend! Get out and enjoy! As we flip the page into the new work week, showers and thunderstorm chances will increase as humidity levels do a rather abrupt face and return to the sultry levels we grew accustomed to this week. Locally heavy rainfall will be a possibility with such moisture content. A period of widespread, enhanced, rains may fall late next week. In unrelated weather news, we’ll also monitor the possibility of something “curious” down in the Gulf of Mexico towards the mid to late week period and the possibility of early season tropical mischief…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/30/much-less-humid-weekend/

May 28

Locally Heavy Rain Producing Storms This Afternoon…

Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm
May 28, 2014

Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. 67/ 81 64/ 80 56/ 80 57/ 81 59/ 83 68/ 84 70/ 84 Light Light…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/28/locally-heavy-rain-producing-storms-this-afternoon/

May 27

Another Nice Weekend In The Middle Of An Unsettled Pattern…

Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Canadian Model, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Heavy Rain, Long Range Discussion, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Rambles, Weather Videos
May 27, 2014

The upcoming 7-10 days looks unsettled overall and quite wet. That said, we’re set to enjoy another beautiful weekend with a refreshing northeast breeze in play. We discuss this and look deeper into the month of June in this evening’s video update below!

Latest model data suggests widespread 2-3″ of rain could fall across central Indiana over the course of the upcoming 7-10 days.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/27/another-nice-weekend-in-the-middle-of-an-unsettled-pattern/

May 27

Feeling Like Summer!

Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm
May 27, 2014

Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. 65/ 83 64/ 80 66/ 80 55/ 78 55/ 79 56/ 82 63/ 83 Light Light…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/27/feeling-like-summer/

May 22

Indy Weather Recap And A Look Ahead

Filed under Canadian Model, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Long Range Discussion, Memorial Day weekend, Race Weekend, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
May 22, 2014

Wednesday was a stormy day across central Indiana, including damaging wind and hail. Flooding was also a concern in some areas. Officially here at IndyWx.com HQ we picked up 2.21″ of rain Wednesday- most of which fell in a 3 hour time period. Here’s a cool image from the fine folks at Weatherbell Analytics showcasing the heaviest rainfall.

Despite a couple of showers (primarily south of the city) later this evening the upcoming three days will be beautiful and rain-free!

Temperatures are trending cooler when compared to 24 hours ago and as noted here by the 24 temperature difference, the cooler air to our north will continue to push south tonight.

Temperatures and humidity levels will be below normal levels the next couple days before warmth slowly builds Sunday. Lows Saturday morning will dip into the upper 40s for several communities.

True summer-like heat and humidity will lift north Memorial Day into Tuesday. Note the temperature anomalies do an about face from Day 1 to Day 5. Heat and humidity will be on the rebound for the unofficial start to summer, but, as noted above, should remain in the “comfy range” for race day.

With the increasing warmth and humidity will come a return of scattered shower and thunderstorm chances early next week.

As we look forward to early June, there are indications it could open on the warm side. Note relative agreement between the CFSv2 (Climate Forecast System version 2), NAEFS, and Physical Science Division model. Does the warm pattern stick and hold? Not so fast, my friend… 😉

CFSv2, PSD
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/22/indy-weather-recap-and-a-look-ahead/

May 22

Fantastic Weather Heading Into The Holiday Weekend!

Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
May 22, 2014

Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. 58/ 74 52/ 70 48/ 74 53/ 79 60/ 84 65/ 86 68/ 83 – –…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/22/fantastic-weather-heading-into-the-holiday-weekend/

May 20

Eyeing Storms Wednesday; Beauty Of A Weekend On Deck!

Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Windy
May 20, 2014

Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. 57/ 80 64/ 80 58/ 74 51/ 72 49/ 74 52/ 78 61/ 84 Light Light…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/20/eyeing-storms-wednesday-beauty-of-a-weekend-on-deck/

May 14

Promised Wet, Chilly Pattern Here

Filed under Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather
May 14, 2014

The remainder of the work week will feature plenty of rain and well below normal temperatures.

A surface wave will move up along a cold front today into Thursday and be responsible for widespread rain, some of which will be heavy, across central Indiana. Additionally, severe thunderstorms, including possible quick spin-up tornadoes, will be possible across far eastern Indiana and Ohio this afternoon and evening.

Note the forecast radar stays rather busy in the hours ahead!

Area additional rainfall total will reach between 1-2″ between this morning and Friday afternoon.

The other big story is the chill. Temperatures are drastically cooler this morning than what we’ve gotten used to the past several days, and the step down process will continue. We still think most of Thursday is spent in the 40s.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/14/promised-wet-chilly-pattern-here/

May 13

Showers And Storms Then MUCH Cooler…

Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
May 13, 2014

Tue.	Wed.	Thr.	Fri.	Sat.	Sun.	Mon.

67/ 80	50/ 67	45/ 52	40/ 56	41/ 57	39/ 62	43/ 65
Light	Moderate	Light	Light	Light	– – –	– – –

Stepping outside this morning you would think it was July or August. Unseasonably warm conditions are coupling with dew points in the middle to upper 60s to help create quite the muggy feel to the central Indiana air mass once again. This will help fuel showers and heavy rain producing thunderstorms today, especially during the PM. Perhaps the most widespread rain and thunderstorms will arrive Wednesday into early Thursday as a wave of low pressure moves up along a cold front that will be just east of our region by that time frame. We still forecast locally heavy rainfall amounts during the course of the next 48 hours, including widespread additional 1.25″-1.50″ totals. The other big story will be the dramatically cooler temperatures that filter in tomorrow. We’ve called Wednesday our transition day and that remains our idea now, as well. Temperatures will likely fall through the afternoon and evening hours. Speaking of cool, temperatures will remain in the 40s for the better part of your Thursday (hope you haven’t put those jackets and sweaters away just yet)! We’ll slowly begin to shake the showers and clouds over the weekend and have trended more optimistic for Sunday’s forecast into early next week.

Most widespread shower and thunderstorm activity will likely occur Wednesday into early Thursday.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/13/showers-and-storms-then-much-cooler/

May 12

Unsettled And Stormy; Turning MUCH Cooler!

Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
May 12, 2014

Mon.	Tue.	Wed.	Thr.	Fri.	Sat.	Sun.

63/ 82	66/ 77	52/ 60	44/ 56	42/ 55	37/ 60	38/ 60
Light	Light	Moderate	Light	Light	Light	Light

The new work week will feature a very stormy and unsettled weather pattern. While everyone won’t get wet today, we do note the likely chance of afternoon thunderstorms bubbling up during the heating of the day. Like Sunday, any of these storms could feature torrential rain and could quickly pulse to severe levels. More widespread rain chances will arrive Tuesday into Wednesday in direct association with a cold front. The long advertised cooler pattern will arrive behind this front and set up an unseasonably cool time of things to close out the second half of the week and head on into the weekend. Rainfall totals this week will average an additional 1.25″ to 1.50″ with locally higher totals. As for temperatures, we’ll go from well above seasonal levels today (8-10 deg. above normal) to well below seasonal levels by mid week (20 deg. below normal).

Forecast radar at 2:00p today, via the short-term high resolution HRRR forecast model.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/12/unsettled-and-stormy-turning-much-cooler/

Category: Heavy Rain

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