Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/17/focusing-on-wednesday-evening-severe-potential/
Jun 16
Walking out the door this morning feels dramatically different than what we’ve enjoyed over the weekend! Not only are humidity levels much higher, but temperatures are 15-20 degrees warmer than what they were this time 24 hours ago across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.
With the increased warmth and humidity, it’s not going to take much to kick scattered showers and thunderstorms off. That’s exactly what we’re seeing across central Indiana this morning. Locally heavy downpours are possible under any of the stronger storms.
Look at the Northeast region radar snapped at 8am, courtesy of the Penn State e-wall site:
As for precipitation amounts, it still appears as if we’re in a wetter than normal regime over the next couple weeks. As of this morning, we’re officially running 1.56″ above normal at IND year-to-date. A look over a blend of GFS, Euro, and Canadian would imply widespread 2-3″ amounts over the upcoming two weeks, with locally heavier totals where local downpours occur. This is NOT what one wanting a hot pattern to lock in wants to hear.
While warmth and humidity will be the story this week, we still think we turn cooler to wrap up June. We’ve been talking about a cooler than normal pattern developing for late month and latest guidance continues to suggest that thinking has merit. Much more later! BTW- your 7-day forecast can be found here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/16/monday-morning-weather-rambles-2/
Jun 14
Our nice weekend is set to continue for another 18-24 hours with another unseasonably cool night ahead. While humidity will increase during the afternoon Sunday, most of Sunday will be dry, albeit warmer. High temperatures will climb into the middle 80s for many central Indiana communities.
Times will begin to change as we go into Sunday night as just the beginning of a series of convective elements come together to impact the region through Tuesday. Thunderstorms will likely rumble into far western portions of the state as early as 4-5pm. Speaking of far western portions of Indiana, the updated severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center highlights western Indiana for a slight risk of severe thunderstorms. Again, this is a late day severe weather risk with damaging wind and large hail of greatest concern.
Forecast simulated radar shows the convection rumbling east Sunday night and most of central and eastern Indiana get in on the thundery action before Sunday is finished. Here’s a look at what the radar may look like from 8pm Sunday to midnight Monday morning.
While the storms will likely weaken as they track east, a strong thunderstorm or two is certainly possible for the greater Indianapolis region Sunday night. We’ll keep you posted with future updates. Have a relaxing Saturday night.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/14/sunday-night-thunder/
Jun 13
|
Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58/ 71 |
49/ 73 |
53/ 82 |
67/ 82 |
69/ 87 |
70/ 87 |
69/ 83 |
|
Light |
– – – |
– – – |
Moderate |
Light |
– – – |
Light |
A noisy thunderstorm rolled through the northern suburbs last night. I was awaken from a deep sleep around 12:30 to plenty of lightning, thunder, and heavy rain. While there are a couple showers around this morning, those will track east rather quickly and a pleasant northwest wind will usher in amazingly cool and refreshing air for this time of year. Simply put (yet again) today and Saturday will feature weather that just cannot get any better this time of year. We forecast many outlying communities away from the city to reach the upper 40s Saturday morning and highs both today and Saturday will only climb into the lower 70s. Ahhh, anyone else craving fall?! For those summer lovers, have no fear as heat and humidity will build late in the weekend and really set the tone for the week ahead. Additionally, a couple round of showers and heavy thunderstorms will be possible next week. Right now we target Monday and Thursday for best chances of heavy rain.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/13/perfect-bonfire-weather/
Jun 11
Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. 64/ 74 60/ 79 60/ 73 51/ 75 59/ 83 70/ 84 71/ 88 Light Light…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/11/unsettled-wednesday/
Jun 10
Good evening and thank you for logging onto IndyWx.com! Tonight’s video covers the unsettled time of things tonight into Wednesday morning as low pressure continues to have a hold on our area’s weather. Also, we talk long range weather and give you an idea of what you can expect for the rest of the month of June, temperature-wise! While we didn’t get into the precipitation side of things in tonight’s video for late month, I will say it continues to look very unsettled with above average rainfall anticipated to wrap up the month of June. Anywhere from an additional 3-5″ of rain is possible as we go through the rest of the month here across central Indiana.
While the CFSv2 can be a bit erratic at times, we feel the model has a good handle on the way the overall pattern will evolve late June into July.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/10/tuesday-evening-video-update/
Jun 10
Widespread light to moderate rain moved into central Indiana during the predawn hours. Most communities picked up .20″-.30″ since midnight. Some of asked if this is it for the rain today? Unfortunately not. The large low pressure system that’s sitting and spinning to our southwest will continue to pump copious amounts of moisture north through the afternoon and into Wednesday. Heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms (non-severe) will redevelop this afternoon and evening and be responsible for locally heavy rainfall.
Forecast radar through the afternoon and heading into the evening hours.
We still anticipate widespread rainfall totals of 1-2″ across central Indiana when you look at the 48 hour period- 12a Tuesday through 12a Thursday.
Grab a good book and settle in for a wet day!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/10/wet-day-ahead/
Jun 09
Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. 62/ 71 64/ 76 58/ 78 63/ 73 52/ 75 56/ 86 66/ 87 Moderate Light…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/09/soaking-rain-tuesday/
Jun 07
Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. 59/ 75 55/ 77 62/ 75 66/ 76 66/ 77 61/ 75 55/ 78 Light –…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/07/unsettled-stretch-ahead/
Jun 07
Quick video update this afternoon to discuss what we can expect this evening into the overnight.
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/07/video-brief-on-tonights-storms/
