Category: Heavy Rain

First “Taste” Of Winter; The Wild Swings Of Autumn…

Updated 10.26.23 @ 6:45a

The next couple days will be the last of temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s until next spring. The first of 2 cold fronts will settle into central Indiana tomorrow evening followed by a strong frontal passage Monday. If you rather go right to the punch line instead of reading through the rest of this post, trick or treaters will need the heavy cold gear this year.

A few showers will skirt northern counties later this evening but the lions share of the next 36 hours will be rain-free. A line of showers and even thunderstorms will be associated with Friday evening’s cold front.

A much more widespread, heavier rain will build into central Indiana through our Saturday afternoon. It’s this period, continuing into Sunday where the bulk of our widespread 1”+ rain will come. A smaller axis of heavier totals (2”+) likely sets up shop south of the city, itself.

After a “step down” process to cooler air Friday into Saturday, the bottom will really fall out Monday. This will set us up for a downright cold Halloween (lows in the upper 20s with highs in the lower 40s). Add in winds and the “feels like” will be in the 10s and 20s into the 1st day of November.

If that isn’t enough, trailing upper level energy will push into the area Halloween night and have enough moisture to generate snow showers late into Wednesday morning. A renewed push of gusty winds can also be expected during this time period.

Coldest mornings of this stretch will likely take place next Wednesday or Thursday with overnight lows into the middle to upper 20s.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/26/first-taste-of-winter-the-wild-swings-of-autumn/

VIDEO: Strong Cold Front; Shot Of Heavy Rain Prior To Halloween…

Updated 10.24.23 @ 7:07a

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Dinner Time Rambles: Prospects Of HVY Rain On The Increase And Brief, Yet Potent Early Season Arctic Jab…

Updated 10.23.23 @ 5:45p

I. Today’s model suite continues to suggest quite the unsettled stretch of weather awaits for pre-Halloween festivities. I know, please don’t shoot the messenger. The culprit? A strong autumn cold front stalling out for a time in response to waves of energy riding along the boundary. The end result will likely be a widespread swath of 1″+ rains over the weekend with a more localized 2″+ band. Details will have to be fine tuned as we get closer, but folks with outdoor activities and ag/ harvest ’23 interests should plan on a rough stretch of weather in the Saturday through Monday timeframe.

Multiple rounds of moderate-heavy rain are becoming likely over the pre-Halloween weekend.

II. The coldest air so far this fall season will come rushing in on the heels of all of the aforementioned rain in the 8-10 day timeframe. Today’s European guidance is going all-in on a potent early season “jab” of arctic air, including highs around freezing and lows deep into the 20s. Perhaps extreme? Certainly, but this also has merit given where the pattern is. Though this will likely only be a brief intrusion of bitter air (at least by early November standards), I’d certainly go ahead and plan on the growing season coming to a screeching halt in just a little over a week from today.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/23/dinner-time-rambles-prospects-of-hvy-rain-on-the-increase-and-brief-yet-potent-early-season-arctic-jab/

VIDEO: Warm-Up This Week; Eyeing Wetter Times This Weekend And A Big Blast Of Chilly Air To Close October/ Open November…

Updated 10.23.23 @ 8a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/23/video-warm-up-this-week-eyeing-wetter-times-this-weekend-and-a-big-blast-of-chilly-air-to-close-october-open-november/

Storms Fire This Evening; Early October Blow Torch…

Updated 09.26.23 @ 7a

A closed upper low will pivot across the Ohio Valley over the next couple days. Our quiet start this morning will give way to “bumpy” times by evening. We expect scattered, but strong to severe storms to fire up after 5p. A couple of these could produce hail/ wind and we can’t rule out a quick spin up tornado with this setup.

The Storm Prediction Center highlights most of the area in a “marginal” risk of severe weather today, and I wouldn’t be surprised if a portion of this area (particularly western and central IN) is upgraded to a “slight” risk at some point.

Storms should become most widespread just before sunset and continue into the overnight hours.

As we transition into Wednesday, morning convection will likely still linger before greatest concentration of rain and storms pivots to eastern and southeastern parts of the state by afternoon.

By the time all is said and done, many central Indiana rain gauges can expect to pick up between 0.50” and 0.75” of rain but there will be a few lucky folks that accumulate much more (type setup capable of 1”-2”+ in localized areas).

As we get set to rumble into the weekend, drier air will return and plentiful sunshine is expected. We still expect an unseasonably warm open to October with an extended stretch of days in the lower to middle 80s- good for 10° to 15° above the norm.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/09/26/storms-fire-this-evening-early-october-blow-torch/

VIDEO: Tracking 2 Cold Fronts This Week And A Hot Close To August…

Updated 08.13.23 @ 9:02a

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VIDEO: Thursday Morning Rambles Highlighted By Continued Wet Pattern And Potential Early Frost Risks This Autumn…

Updated 08.10.23 @ 5a

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Severe Weather And Localized Flooding Threat: Another One Of Those Days To Remain Weather-Aware…

Updated 08.09.23 @ 12:30a

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Wet Pattern: Tracking Heavy Rain And Storms…

Updated 08.08.23 @ 6:14a

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Multiple Rounds Of Strong-Severe Storms This Weekend; Autumn Rambles…

Updated 08.05.23 @ 10:20a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/05/multiple-rounds-of-strong-severe-storms-this-weekend-autumn-rambles/

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