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Category: Heavy Rain
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/20/video-update-monday-morning-thoughts-on-a-busy-week-ahead/
Jun 19
Stormy At Times…
Highlights:
- Front arrives late Monday
- Strong storms; heavy rain threat Wednesday
- Unsettled pattern
Busy Week Ahead…The overall pattern features the mean ridge position across the Four Corners region and sets up an active NW flow for our part of the country. It’s a pattern we need to get used to as it’ll remain intact to close the month and open July. Challenges are present in regards to specifics with timing and track of thunderstorm complexes we’ll deal with this week, particularly Wednesday.
In the shorter term, a frontal boundary will slip into central IN Monday night and a broken band of thunderstorms will accompany it. A few storms could reach strong to severe levels Monday evening.
Attention will then shift to Wednesday. Ingredients are coming together to present both a severe component (damaging wind the biggest threat) and localized flash flood threat. We’ll update our latest thinking Monday morning.
As we progress into late week, additional shower and thunderstorm complexes are possible, but we stress timing issues abound. It’ll be a warm and humid end to the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″-2.00″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/19/stormy-at-times/
Jun 16
Thursday Evening Video Update…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/16/thursday-evening-video-update-4/
Jun 15
Video Update: Stormy For Some This Afternoon…
Do we rid the morning convection and cloudiness to allow strong to severe thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and evening? This morning’s video has more.
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/15/video-update-stormy-for-some-this-afternoon/
Jun 14
Strong Storm Threat Wednesday…
Highlights:
- Scattered strong-severe storm threat Wednesday
- Drier close to the week
- Next front arrives Monday PM
Keeping An Eye On Wednesday’s Storm Threat…Today’s rain numbers weren’t uniform in the least, but several neighborhoods picked up beneficial rains of over 1.5″. Wednesday will also feature the threat of showers and thunderstorms (again, some with locally heavy downpours). Some of these storms could also reach strong to severe levels during the afternoon/ evening, particularly if morning rain doesn’t “get in the way.” We’ll watch data overnight and update accordingly come morning.
We’ll turn drier and slightly cooler to close the work week and head on into the weekend. The heat will begin to crank again early next week, with highs around 90 Sunday and Monday. Our next weather maker looks to arrive Monday evening as a cold front pushes in from the north. We’ll feature shower and thunderstorm chances in our Monday PM forecast.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00 (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/14/strong-storm-threat-wednesday/
Jun 13
Mid Week Storms…
Highlights:
- Less humid open to the week
- Mid week storms
- Drier weekend
Warm, But Less Humid…As Sunday afternoon progressed into evening, notably drier air moved into central IN. That less humid feel will be with us as we open the work week, but will still warm quickly (upper 80s this afternoon).
An increasingly moist air mass will return Tuesday into Wednesday and will promote locally heavy rainfall within thunderstorms that develop. We expect isolated to widely scattered storm coverage Tuesday and scattered coverage Wednesday. While uniform significant rainfall isn’t likely, localized torrential downpours will be possible as precipitable water values (PWATs) increase. Additionally, strong to severe storms will be possible.
A drier air mass will return to close the week and head into the weekend. At one time, models suggested we’d deal with a slow-moving “cut off” low pressure system, but recent trends continue the drier theme.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.75″ (locally heavier amounts)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/13/mid-week-storms/
Jun 04
Video Update: Rainy, Stormy Saturday…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″-1.50″ (locally heavier amounts)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/04/video-update-rainy-stormy-saturday/
Jun 03
Wet Saturday On Deck…
It’s been a nice Friday across central IN, including filtered sunshine and lower humidity levels. Unfortunately, the pleasant weather won’t last as we welcome in the weekend.
A warm front will lift north late tonight and should help moisten things up enough to allow rain to reach the surface across most of central IN during the overnight into the predawn Saturday.
Steady rain and embedded thunderstorms will continue through the morning hours and into the afternoon.
Eventually, a cold front will sweep through the state Saturday night and help “slosh” the widespread rain shield east of the region. By the time this happens, we expect widespread rainfall totals between 0.50″ and 1.00″ across central IN (with locally heavier totals).
Cooler weather will push in this weekend and continue into early and middle parts of next week. While the widespread rain will come to an end, upper level energy will remain and could help ignite scattered showers at times (particularly during the afternoon and evening hours) into early next week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/03/wet-saturday-on-deck/
Jun 01
Drier Close To The Work Week; Unsettled, Cooler Weekend…
Highlights:
- Drier close to the work week
- Strong storm chance Saturday PM
- Unsettled and cooler early next week
Turning Cooler Over The Weekend…A cold front tapped into available moisture and resulted in locally heavy rain Wednesday afternoon and evening. In some spots, as much as 2″ of rain fell in a very short period of time. We’ll begin to dry things out to wrap up the work week, along with partly cloudy and less humid conditions.
An upper trough will dig into the Ohio Valley Saturday and could help spark strong to potentially severe thunderstorms for portions of the region Saturday afternoon and evening. We’ll keep a close eye on things over the next day or two.
We’ll turn significantly cooler over the weekend into early next week. With plenty of upper level energy around the region, we’ll have to mention the chance of a scattered shower into early next week. Dry conditions return by the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/01/drier-close-to-the-work-week-unsettled-cooler-weekend/
Jun 01
Scattered PM Strong Storms…
A cold front will slice into a warm and very humid air mass this afternoon. Accordingly, we anticipate scattered strong storms to develop after the lunchtime hour, continuing into the early evening.
As precipitable water values climb to around 2″, locally heavy rainfall will accompany any storms that develop.
We caution that the key word here is “scattered.” There will be “haves and have nots” when it comes to rainfall totals by tonight. Some neighborhoods may receive less than 0.10″ while others receive over 1″.
As we look ahead, active times continue going into the weekend, with the potential of strong thunderstorms Saturday as an anomalous trough digs southeast into the Ohio Valley.
Unseasonably cool air will follow for the mid range.
A fresh 7-day will be up later today! Have a nice Wednesday, friends.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/01/scattered-pm-strong-storms/